Aryna Sabalenka and Jelena Ostapenko will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Dubai Duty Free Championships for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.32
Jelena Ostapenko -> 3.4
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jelena Ostapenko
This will be the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Jelena Ostapenko clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Sabalenka won 6-1 6-2 in the 2nd round in Zhengzhou back in 2019.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko – Zhengzhou 13-September-2019
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-5 | 23-4 | 8-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Belarussian got to the 3rd round after defeating Lauren Davis 6-0 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Davis (6-0 6-1). During the match, Sabalenka scored 55 points vs Davis’s 27. The Belarussian was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka made 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 63% of her first serves in, winning 88% (23/26) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Davis 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 66% of her matches (275-140). 12-0 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled166-76 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and at the Australian Open where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4.
The Belarussian has a compiled 12-0 win-loss record in 2023, 12-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-10 | 6-8 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, Jelena got to the 3rd round after beating Katarina Zavatska 6-1 6-4 and Linda Fruhvirtova 6-2 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Jelena had a good straight sets win against Fruhvirtova (6-2 6-0). During the match Ostapenko scored 56 points vs Fruhvirtova’s 33. Ostapenko was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Ostapenko recorded 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve once. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 67% of her first serves in, winning 79% (22/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (5/14) on the 2nd serve. Jelena broke Fruhvirtova 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Latvian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.
The Latvian has a composed 9-5 win-loss record in 2023, 9-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 13 | 31 |
| Pts | 55-27 | 118-78 |
| Total Points | 82 | 196 |
| Winners | 23 | 51 |
| %Winners | 42% | 43% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Ostapenko competed in 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Ostapenko (2 vs 4). Therefore, Sabalenka played 18 games less than Ostapenko. Sabalenka scored 23 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Ostapenko recorded 51 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 5 |
| 1st in | 26/41 | 64/99 |
| %1st in | 63% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 51/64 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 13/35 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 37% |
Sabalenka scored 6 aces . Ostapenko recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Sabalenka won 88% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Ostapenko won 80% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 37% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 10 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 10/20 |
| % Converted | 71% | 50% |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Aryna broke her opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Sabalenka was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. Ostapenko broke her opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Latvian conceded her serve twice and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R2 Davis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 55-27 | 55-27 | |
| Total points | 82 | 82 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 26/41 | 26/41 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 23/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 7/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Ostapenko | ||||
| R1 Zavatska |
R2 Fruhvirtova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 14 | 31 | |
| pts | 62-45 | 56-33 | 118-78 | |
| Total points | 107 | 89 | 196 | |
| Winners | 29 | 22 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 39% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 2 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 36/57 | 28/42 | 64/99 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 67% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 29/36 | 22/28 | 51/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 79% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/21 | 5/14 | 13/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 36% | 37% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 6/11 | 10/20 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 55% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWLWWW
LWWWWWLWLL Tennis Scores in Dubai
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lauren DavisDavis (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Ana BogdanBogdan – Shelby RogersRogers (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-77 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (w/o) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (4-6 6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (5-7 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Caroline GarciaGarcia (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (6-2 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori Gauff/Jessica PegulaGauff/Jessica Pegula – Miyu Kato/Aldila SutjiadiKato/Aldila Sutjiadi (4-6 7-65 10-2) – See score progression
- Peter NagyNagy – Marton SzappanosSzappanos (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Markus ErikssonEriksson – Matej SabanovSabanov (6-79 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Milan DrinicDrinic – Milen IanakievIanakiev (4-6 6-1 7-65) – See score progression
- Thomas StatzbergerStatzberger – Alexander ErlerErler (6-72 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Zsombor PirosPiros – Danylo KalenichenkoKalenichenko (4-6 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Dennis NovakNovak – Lukas KleinKlein (3-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (w/o) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (4-6 6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-7(7) 7-6(5) 6-4) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-4 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Ana BogdanBogdan – Shelby RogersRogers (7-6(3) 6-3) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (6-2 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lauren DavisDavis (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ana BogdanBogdan – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
