Carlos Alcaraz and Bernabe Zapata Miralles will play each other in the semifinal of the Argentina Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:00 pm on COURT GUILLERMO VILAS. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.139
Bernabe Zapata Miralles -> 5.75

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Bernabe Zapata Miralles

This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Bernabe Zapata Miralles square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Alcaraz and Zapata Miralles (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Alcaraz won 6-3 2-6 6-1 7-6(4)

in the 1st round in at the French Open back in 2021.

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 2, Carlos reached the semifinal after defeating Laslo Djere 6-2 4-6 6-2 and Dusan Lajovic 6-4 6-2.

In the quarter, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Lajovic (6-4 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 69 points vs Lajovic’s 52. Alcaraz was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz scored just 1 ace and he committed only 4 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 65% of his first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Lajovic 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 77% of his matches (170-51). 2-0 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a compiled101-28 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.

Carlos has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Buenos Aires

Alcaraz has never competed in this tournament before.

Buenos Aires
Alcaraz's Record

Bernabe Zapata Miralles

Bernabe Zapata Miralles

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
426
High
37
LLLLLLLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-28 3-4 16-19 3-5 0-0 0-0
2024 20-30 1-4 16-22 2-3 1-1 0-0
2023 22-29 1-9 20-13 1-4 0-3 0-0
2022 44-30 2-6 35-18 4-5 3-1 0-0
2021 41-28 6-5 23-10 8-10 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 74, the Spaniard reached the semifinal after beating Pedro Martinez Portero 6-1 3-6 6-4, Diego Schwartzman 6-1 6-3 and Francisco Cerundolo 6-3 6-74 6-3.

In the quarter, Zapata Miralles defeated Cerundolo (6-3 6-74 6-3). During the match Zapata Miralles scored 115 points vs Cerundolo’s 103. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 57 winners.

About the serving games, Zapata Miralles wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Bernabe Zapata Miralles lost the serve twice and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Zapata Miralles put 72% of his first serves in, winning 67% (57/85) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Cerundolo 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Zapata Miralles has an aggregate 4-4 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Buenos Aires
Zapata Miralles's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
B.Zapata Miralles
3h:33
3h:33
Time on court​
!
6h:30
6h:30
1h:33
1h:33
Last match​
!
2h:33
2h:33
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
44
44
Games Played​
73
73
5
5
Set played​​
8
8
151
151
Total points​
270
270
75.5
75.5
Avg point​
90
90
60
60
Winners
107
107
30
30
Avg Winners​
35.7
35.7
40%
40%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
3
3
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
1
1
4
4
Double Faults
5
5
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1.7
1.7
60/84
60/84
1st won total​
107/175
107/175
!
71%
71%
1st won %
61%
61%
24/40
24/40
2nd won total​
33/73
33/73
60%
60%
2nd won %
45%
45%
-- Break Points --
9/22
9/22
BP won
21/47
21/47
4.5/11
4.5/11
Avg BP won
7/15.7
7/15.7
41%
41%
Won
45%
45%
12
12
Conceded
31
31
6
6
Avg Conceded
10.3
10.3
3
3
Broken
13
13
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
!
4.3
4.3
9
9
Saved
18
18

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Zapata Miralles
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 5 8
Tot Games 44 73
Pts 151-120 270-231
Total Points 271 501
Winners 60 107
%Winners 40% 40%

Alcaraz played 2 matches while Zapata Miralles competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz lost 1 set, while Bernabe Zapata Miralles dropped 2 sets. Alcaraz has played 3 set(s) less than Zapata Miralles (5 vs 8). Therefore, Alcaraz played 29 games less than Zapata Miralles. Alcaraz scored 60 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard managed to score 107 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Zapata Miralles
Aces 5 3
Avg per match 2.5 1
1st in 84/124 175/248
%1st in 68% 71%
1st pts 60/84 107/175
%1st pts 71% 61%
2nd pts 24/40 33/73
%2nd pts 60% 45%

Alcaraz fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Zapata Miralles struck 3 aces (1 per match). Alcaraz won 71% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Zapata Miralles won 61% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Zapata Miralles
Won 9 21
Converted 9/22 21/47
% Converted 41% 45%
Conceded 12 31
Saved 9 18
% Saved 75% 58%
Times Broken 3 13

Carlos broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Bernabe broke his opponents 21 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R2
Djere
1/4
Lajovic
Total
Score 6-2 4-6 6-2 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 26 18 44
pts 82-68 69-52 151-120
Total points 150 121 271
Winners 37 23 60
%Winners 45% 33% 40%
SERVE
Aces 4 1 5
Double Faults 0 4 4
1st in 51/73 33/51 84/124
% 1st in 70% 65% 68%
1st pts 37/51 23/33 60/84
% 1st pts 73% 70% 71%
2nd pts 15/22 9/18 24/40
% 2nd pts 68% 50% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/12 5/10 9/22
Converted % 33% 50% 41%
Conceded 7 5 12
Saved 6/7 3/5 9
Saved % 86% 60% 73%
Times Broken 1 2 3
Zapata Miralles
R1
Martinez Portero
R2
Schwartzman
1/4
Cerundolo
Total
Score 6-1 3-6 6-4 6-1 6-3 6-3 6-74 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 26 16 31 73
pts 98-89 57-39 115-103 270-231
Total points 187 96 218 501
Winners 31 19 57 107
%Winners 32% 33% 50% 40%
SERVE
Aces 3 0 0 3
Double Faults 2 2 1 5
1st in 61/85 29/45 85/118 175/248
% 1st in 72% 64% 72% 71%
1st pts 31/61 19/29 57/85 107/175
% 1st pts 51% 66% 67% 61%
2nd pts 10/24 6/16 17/33 33/73
% 2nd pts 42% 38% 52% 45%
Breaks
Won 10 7 4 21
Converted 10/21 7/14 4/12 21/47
Converted % 48% 50% 33% 45%
Conceded 16 3 12 31
Saved 8/16 0/3 10/12 18
Saved % 50% 0% 83% 67%
Times Broken 8 3 2 13

Tennis Scores in Buenos Aires

  • Nicolas Barrientos/Ariel BeharBarrientos/Ariel BeharMaximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (3-6 6-4 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Juan Pablo VarillasPablo VarillasCameron NorrieNorrie (0-0) – H2H and prediction
  • Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz GarfiaBernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (1-1) – H2H and prediction