Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula will face off in the final of the Qatar TotalEnergies Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:00 pm on Center Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.26
Jessica Pegula -> 3.86
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Jessica Pegula
This will be the 7th time that Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula fight against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Pegula won 6-2 6-2 in the semifinal in Australia back in January 2023.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek – Australia 06-January-2023
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 4-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Swiatek reached the final after beating Danielle Rose Collins 6-0 6-1, Belinda Bencic w/o and Veronika Kudermetova 6-0 6-1.
In the semifinal, Iga had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (6-0 6-1). During the match, Swiatek scored 50 points vs Kudermetova’s 17. Swiatek was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and she was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Iga Swiatek was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 83% (19/23) of her 1st serve and 90% (9/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Iga broke Kudermetova 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Iga hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 74% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 80% of her matches (225-58). 8-2 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has an overall99-31 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Iga’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Australia and Doha.
The Pole has a compiled 8-2 win-loss record in 2023, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the American reached the final after defeating Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 2-6 7-5, Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-3 6-2 and Maria Sakkari 6-2 4-6 6-1.
In the semifinal, The American defeated Sakkari (6-2 4-6 6-1). During the match Pegula scored 97 points vs Sakkari’s 77. Pegula was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Pegula wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 6 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 5 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 79% of her first serves in, winning 54% (38/70) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Sakkari 9 times after converting 53% of her break points (9/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jessica has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where she defeated Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2.
Jessica has a compiled 11-2 win-loss record in 2023, 11-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 70 |
| Pts | 103-37 | 255-217 |
| Total Points | 140 | 472 |
| Winners | 42 | 95 |
| %Winners | 41% | 37% |
Swiatek played 2 matches while Pegula competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula surrendered 2 sets while Iga Swiatek hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Swiatek has played 4 set(s) less than Pegula (4 vs 8). Therefore, Swiatek played 44 games less than Pegula. The Pole scored 42 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Jessica managed to score 95 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 1st in | 54/77 | 161/250 |
| %1st in | 70% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 42/54 | 95/161 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 18/23 | 50/89 |
| %2nd pts | 78% | 56% |
Swiatek made 3 aces (1.5 per match). Pegula struck 2 aces (0.7 per match). Swiatek won 78% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 78% of the points. On the other side, Pegula won 59% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 17 |
| Converted | 10/13 | 17/31 |
| % Converted | 77% | 55% |
| Conceded | 0 | 28 |
| Saved | 0 | 19 |
| % Saved | 0% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 9 |
The Pole broke her opponents 10 times with a 77% conversion rate. The Pole pretty solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. The American broke her opponents 17 times with a 55% conversion rate. Jessica conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||||
| R2 Collins |
1/4 Bencic |
1/2 Kudermetova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | w/o | 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | – | 13 | 26 | |
| pts | 53-20 | – | 50-17 | 103-37 | |
| Total points | 73 | – | 67 | 140 | |
| Winners | 23 | – | 19 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 43% | – | 38% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | – | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | – | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 31/44 | – | 23/33 | 54/77 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | – | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 23/31 | – | 19/23 | 42/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | – | 83% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | – | 9/10 | 18/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | – | 90% | 78% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | – | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | – | 5/6 | 10/13 | |
| Converted % | 71% | – | 83% | 77% | |
| Conceded | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | – | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | |
| Pegula | |||||
| R2 Ostapenko |
1/4 Haddad Maia |
1/2 Sakkari |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 2-6 7-5 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 4-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 17 | 25 | 70 | |
| pts | 93-91 | 65-49 | 97-77 | 255-217 | |
| Total points | 184 | 114 | 174 | 472 | |
| Winners | 35 | 22 | 38 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% | 39% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 6 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 57/99 | 34/62 | 70/89 | 161/250 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 55% | 79% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 35/57 | 22/34 | 38/70 | 95/161 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 65% | 54% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/42 | 18/28 | 9/19 | 50/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 64% | 47% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/8 | 9/17 | 17/31 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 53% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 3 | 14 | 28 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 2/3 | 9/14 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 67% | 64% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLWWWWLW
LLLWLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Doha
- Cori Gauff/Jessica PegulaGauff/Jessica Pegula – Lyudmyla Kichenok/Jelena OstapenkoKichenok/Jelena Ostapenko (6-4 2-6 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jeroen VannesteVanneste – Louis WesselsWessels (5-7 6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Jessica PegulaPegula (4-2) – H2H and prediction
