Jessica Pegula and Maria Sakkari will face off in the semifinal of the Qatar TotalEnergies Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:30 pm on Center Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.61
Maria Sakkari -> 2.32

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Maria Sakkari

This will be the 7th time that Jessica Pegula and Maria Sakkari clash against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Sakkari won 7-6(6) 7-6(4)

in the R in Fort Worth back in 2022.

Highlights Maria Sakkari vs Jessica Pegula – Fort Worth 31-October-2022

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
6
High
3
LWLWLWWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 35-12 11-5 3-4 4-2 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 4, Jessica got to the semifinal after defeating Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 2-6 7-5 and Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-3 6-2.

In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Haddad Maia (6-3 6-2). During the match, Pegula scored 65 points vs Haddad Maia’s 49. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pegula fired 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Jessica Pegula lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 55% of her first serves in, winning 65% (22/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Haddad Maia 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has lost 1 set in this competition to win 53% of the points she played.

Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (250-150). 10-2 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pegula has an aggregate 151-80 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2.

Jessica has a compiled 10-2 win-loss record in 2023, 10-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Doha

Doha
Pegula's Record

Maria Sakkari

Maria Sakkari

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
52
High
3
LWWLLWLLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-29 14-19 7-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2024 25-17 12-8 11-6 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 38-25 26-17 5-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
2022 40-23 21-12 8-5 4-2 7-4 0-0
2021 38-20 23-13 9-4 5-2 1-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 7, Maria reached the semifinal after defeating Qinwen Zheng 6-2 3-6 6-3, Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-3 6-2 and Caroline Garcia 6-2 6-75 7-65.

In the quarter, The Greek defeated Garcia (6-2 6-75 7-65). During the match Sakkari scored 112 points vs Garcia’s 106. Maria was extremely aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Talking about serving, Sakkari recorded 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Maria Sakkari was quite effective on serve to win 73% (53/73) of her 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Greek broke Garcia twice after converting 40% of her break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Greek has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Sakkari’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Australia and Linz.

Maria has an aggregate 11-3 win-loss record in 2023, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Doha

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See her history

.
Doha
Sakkari's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Pegula
M.Sakkari
3h:17
3h:17
Time on court​
!
6h:11
6h:11
1h:25
1h:25
Last match​
!
2h:41
2h:41
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
45
45
Games Played​
77
77
5
5
Set played​​
8
8
158
158
Total points​
269
269
79
79
Avg point​
89.7
89.7
57
57
Winners
108
108
28.5
28.5
Avg Winners​
36
36
36%
36%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
18
18
1
1
Avg Aces
6
6
6
6
Double Faults
5
5
3
3
Avg Double Faults
1.7
1.7
57/91
57/91
1st won total​
108/150
108/150
63%
63%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
41/70
41/70
2nd won total​
56/92
56/92
59%
59%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
8/14
8/14
BP won
10/19
10/19
4/7
4/7
Avg BP won
3.3/6.3
3.3/6.3
!
57%
57%
Won
!
53%
53%
14
14
Conceded
11
11
7
7
Avg Conceded
3.7
3.7
4
4
Broken
3
3
2
2
Avg Broken
1
1
10
10
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pegula Sakkari
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 5 8
Tot Games 45 77
Pts 158-140 269-232
Total Points 298 501
Winners 57 108
%Winners 36% 40%

Pegula played 2 matches while Sakkari competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jessica Pegula conceded 1 set, while Maria Sakkari surrendered 2 sets. Pegula has played 3 set(s) less than Sakkari (5 vs 8). Therefore, Pegula played 32 games less than Sakkari. The American scored 57 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Greek bagged 108 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pegula Sakkari
Aces 2 18
Avg per match 1 6
1st in 91/161 150/242
%1st in 57% 62%
1st pts 57/91 108/150
%1st pts 63% 72%
2nd pts 41/70 56/92
%2nd pts 59% 61%

Pegula managed to score 2 aces (1 per match). Sakkari blasted 18 aces (6 per match). Pegula won 63% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Sakkari won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pegula Sakkari
Won 8 10
Converted 8/14 10/19
% Converted 57% 53%
Conceded 14 11
Saved 10 8
% Saved 71% 73%
Times Broken 4 3

Pegula broke her opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Pegula conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. Sakkari broke her opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Greek conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
R2
Ostapenko		 1/4
Haddad Maia		 Total
Score 6-2 2-6 7-5 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 28 17 45
pts 93-91 65-49 158-140
Total points 184 114 298
Winners 35 22 57
%Winners 38% 34% 36%
SERVE
Aces 0 2 2
Double Faults 5 1 6
1st in 57/99 34/62 91/161
% 1st in 58% 55% 57%
1st pts 35/57 22/34 57/91
% 1st pts 61% 65% 63%
2nd pts 23/42 18/28 41/70
% 2nd pts 55% 64% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/6 4/8 8/14
Converted % 67% 50% 57%
Conceded 11 3 14
Saved 8/11 2/3 10
Saved % 73% 67% 70%
Times Broken 3 1 4
Sakkari
R1
Zheng		 R2
Alexandrova		 1/4
Garcia		 Total
Score 6-2 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-2 6-2 6-75 7-65
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 26 17 34 77
pts 88-72 69-54 112-106 269-232
Total points 160 123 218 501
Winners 35 20 53 108
%Winners 40% 29% 47% 40%
SERVE
Aces 7 5 6 18
Double Faults 1 2 2 5
1st in 47/73 30/58 73/111 150/242
% 1st in 64% 52% 66% 62%
1st pts 35/47 20/30 53/73 108/150
% 1st pts 74% 67% 73% 72%
2nd pts 15/26 17/28 24/38 56/92
% 2nd pts 58% 61% 63% 61%
Breaks
Won 4 4 2 10
Converted 4/7 4/7 2/5 10/19
Converted % 57% 57% 40% 53%
Conceded 5 3 3 11
Saved 3/5 2/3 3/3 8
Saved % 60% 67% 100% 114%
Times Broken 2 1 0 3

Tennis Scores in Doha

Upcoming matches in the draw

Pegula
More Stats
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Sakkari

Click for FULL STATS