Daria Kasatkina and Qinwen Zheng will fight against each other in the quarter of the Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on Stadium Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 3 sets.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.9
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.9
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Qinwen Zheng
There is no head to head record between Daria Kasatkina and Qinwen Zheng since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-22 | 12-13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8 (career-high), Kasatkina got to the quarter after beating Jil Teichmann 1-6 6-0 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Belen Teichmann, Darya recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-0 6-2). During the match, Kasatkina scored 75 points vs Belen Teichmann’s 65. Kasatkina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kasatkina wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 78% of her first serves in, winning 64% (32/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 21% (3/14) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Belen Teichmann 7 times after converting 44% of her break points (7/16).
Kasatkina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (305-170). 3-3 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has a composed 132-94 match record in the last years on hard.
Kasatkina’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Adelaide.
Kasatkina has a compiled 3-3 win-loss record in 2023, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Abu Dhabi
Qinwen Zheng
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-12 | 8-6 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-18 | 31-10 | 17-4 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-19 | 23-11 | 11-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-19 | 27-12 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-11 | 7-1 | 16-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, the Chinese reached the quarter after beating Rebecca Marino 6-3 6-3 and Jelena Ostapenko 7-610 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Zheng had a good straight sets win against Ostapenko (7-610 6-1). During the match Zheng scored 84 points vs Ostapenko’s 78. The Chinese was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Zheng managed to score 10 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 54% of her first serves in, winning 74% (32/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (15/37) on the 2nd serve. Zheng broke Ostapenko 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chinese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Zheng has an aggregate 7-3 win-loss record in 2023, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 38 |
| Pts | 75-65 | 148-125 |
| Total Points | 140 | 273 |
| Winners | 32 | 57 |
| %Winners | 43% | 39% |
Kasatkina played 1 match while Zheng competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Daria Kasatkina lost 1 set while Qinwen Zheng hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kasatkina has played 1 set(s) less than Zheng (3 vs 4). Therefore, Kasatkina played 17 games less than Zheng. The Russian scored 32 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Qinwen recorded 57 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 10 |
| 1st in | 50/64 | 71/131 |
| %1st in | 78% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 32/50 | 57/71 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 3/14 | 29/60 |
| %2nd pts | 21% | 48% |
Kasatkina didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Zheng bagged 20 aces (10 per match). Kasatkina won 64% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 21% of the points. On the other side, Zheng won 80% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 7 |
| Converted | 7/16 | 7/18 |
| % Converted | 44% | 39% |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 33% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Darya broke her opponent 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Darya surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. The Chinese broke her opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Qinwen conceded her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | |||
| R2 Belen Teichmann | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 75-65 | 75-65 | |
| Total points | 140 | 140 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 50/64 | 50/64 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 32/50 | 32/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 3/14 | 3/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 21% | 21% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/16 | 7/16 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Zheng | ||||
| R1 Marino | R2 Ostapenko | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 7-610 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 38 | |
| pts | 64-47 | 84-78 | 148-125 | |
| Total points | 111 | 162 | 273 | |
| Winners | 25 | 32 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 28/51 | 43/80 | 71/131 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 25/28 | 32/43 | 57/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 74% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/23 | 15/37 | 29/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 41% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/11 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 36% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 3/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 60% | 160% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Shelby RogersRogers – Belinda BencicBencic (1-4) – H2H and prediction