Daria Kasatkina and Qinwen Zheng will fight against each other in the quarter of the Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on Stadium Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Qinwen Zheng is the pick to win this match.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.9
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Qinwen Zheng

There is no head to head record between Daria Kasatkina and Qinwen Zheng since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Daria Kasatkina

Daria Kasatkina

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
37
High
8
LLLWWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-22 12-13 5-5 0-0 2-4 0-0
2024 40-23 24-16 8-4 0-1 8-2 0-0
2023 39-25 19-15 12-6 2-1 6-3 0-0
2022 41-22 24-14 12-5 1-1 4-2 0-0
2021 38-19 19-10 5-5 7-1 7-3 0-0

Ranked no. 8 (career-high), Kasatkina got to the quarter after beating Jil Teichmann 1-6 6-0 6-2.

In the 2nd round against Belen Teichmann, Darya recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-0 6-2). During the match, Kasatkina scored 75 points vs Belen Teichmann’s 65. Kasatkina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kasatkina wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 78% of her first serves in, winning 64% (32/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 21% (3/14) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Belen Teichmann 7 times after converting 44% of her break points (7/16).

Kasatkina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (305-170). 3-3 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has a composed 132-94 match record in the last years on hard.

Kasatkina’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Adelaide.

Kasatkina has a compiled 3-3 win-loss record in 2023, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Abu Dhabi

Abu Dhabi
Kasatkina's Record

Qinwen Zheng

Qinwen Zheng

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
24
High
4
LWLLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-12 8-6 10-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2024 52-18 31-10 17-4 3-2 1-2 0-0
2023 37-19 23-11 11-4 3-1 0-3 0-0
2022 39-19 27-12 10-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2021 34-11 7-1 16-6 11-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 29, the Chinese reached the quarter after beating Rebecca Marino 6-3 6-3 and Jelena Ostapenko 7-610 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Zheng had a good straight sets win against Ostapenko (7-610 6-1). During the match Zheng scored 84 points vs Ostapenko’s 78. The Chinese was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Zheng managed to score 10 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 54% of her first serves in, winning 74% (32/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (15/37) on the 2nd serve. Zheng broke Ostapenko 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Chinese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Zheng has an aggregate 7-3 win-loss record in 2023, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.
Abu Dhabi
Zheng's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Kasatkina
Q.Zheng
1h:43
1h:43
Time on court​
!
3h:16
3h:16
1h:43
1h:43
Last match​
1h:58
1h:58
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
21
21
Games Played​
38
38
3
3
Set played​​
4
4
75
75
Total points​
148
148
75
75
Avg point​
74
74
32
32
Winners
57
57
32
32
Avg Winners​
28.5
28.5
43%
43%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
0
0
Aces
20
20
0
0
Avg Aces
10
10
3
3
Double Faults
5
5
3
3
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
32/50
32/50
1st won total​
57/71
57/71
64%
64%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
3/14
3/14
2nd won total​
29/60
29/60
!
21%
21%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
7/16
7/16
BP won
7/18
7/18
7/16
7/16
Avg BP won
3.5/9
3.5/9
44%
44%
Won
39%
39%
6
6
Conceded
6
6
6
6
Avg Conceded
3
3
4
4
Broken
2
2
4
4
Avg Broken
1
1
2
2
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kasatkina Zheng
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 3 4
Tot Games 21 38
Pts 75-65 148-125
Total Points 140 273
Winners 32 57
%Winners 43% 39%

Kasatkina played 1 match while Zheng competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Daria Kasatkina lost 1 set while Qinwen Zheng hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kasatkina has played 1 set(s) less than Zheng (3 vs 4). Therefore, Kasatkina played 17 games less than Zheng. The Russian scored 32 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Qinwen recorded 57 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kasatkina Zheng
Aces 0 20
Avg per match 0 10
1st in 50/64 71/131
%1st in 78% 54%
1st pts 32/50 57/71
%1st pts 64% 80%
2nd pts 3/14 29/60
%2nd pts 21% 48%

Kasatkina didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Zheng bagged 20 aces (10 per match). Kasatkina won 64% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 21% of the points. On the other side, Zheng won 80% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kasatkina Zheng
Won 7 7
Converted 7/16 7/18
% Converted 44% 39%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 2 4
% Saved 33% 67%
Times Broken 4 2

Darya broke her opponent 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Darya surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. The Chinese broke her opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Qinwen conceded her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Kasatkina
R2
Belen Teichmann
Total
Score 1-6 6-0 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 21 21
pts 75-65 75-65
Total points 140 140
Winners 32 32
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 50/64 50/64
% 1st in 78% 78%
1st pts 32/50 32/50
% 1st pts 64% 64%
2nd pts 3/14 3/14
% 2nd pts 21% 21%
Breaks
Won 7 7
Converted 7/16 7/16
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 2/6 2
Saved % 33% 33%
Times Broken 4 4
Zheng
R1
Marino
R2
Ostapenko
Total
Score 6-3 6-3 7-610 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 20 38
pts 64-47 84-78 148-125
Total points 111 162 273
Winners 25 32 57
%Winners 39% 38% 39%
SERVE
Aces 10 10 20
Double Faults 1 4 5
1st in 28/51 43/80 71/131
% 1st in 55% 54% 54%
1st pts 25/28 32/43 57/71
% 1st pts 89% 74% 80%
2nd pts 14/23 15/37 29/60
% 2nd pts 61% 41% 48%
Breaks
Won 3 4 7
Converted 3/7 4/11 7/18
Converted % 43% 36% 39%
Conceded 1 5 6
Saved 1/1 3/5 4
Saved % 100% 60% 160%
Times Broken 0 2 2

Upcoming matches in the draw