Belinda Bencic and Shelby Rogers will square off in the quarter of the Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on Stadium Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Belinda Bencic who should win in 2 sets.
Belinda Bencic -> 1.363
Shelby Rogers -> 3.14
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Prediction and head to head Belinda Bencic vs. Shelby Rogers
This will be the 6th time that Belinda Bencic and Shelby Rogers play each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Bencic (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Bencic won 7-6(1) 6-1 in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2021.
Belinda Bencic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-17 | 31-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-13 | 24-10 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-18 | 13-9 | 13-4 | 10-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 22-9 | 5-5 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Belinda got to the quarter after defeating Marta Kostyuk 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Belinda had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (6-4 7-5). During the match, Bencic scored 69 points vs Kostyuk’s 52. Belinda was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bencic was unable to score even 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Belinda Bencic lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Bencic put 65% of her first serves in, winning 66% (23/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 84% (16/19) on the 2nd serve. Belinda broke Kostyuk 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Bencic has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (306-165). 9-2 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bencic has an overall 153-86 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Adelaide where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-0 6-2.
Bencic has an overall 9-2 win-loss record in 2023, 9-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Abu Dhabi
Belinda has never competed in this tournament before.
Shelby Rogers
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-14 | 11-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-20 | 13-9 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-23 | 20-12 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-10 | 16-9 | 1-1 | 4-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 46, Rogers reached the quarter after defeating Vera Zvonareva 6-2 6-3, Magdalena Frech 1-6 6-3 6-4, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-4 6-75 6-1 and Anett Kontaveit 4-6 6-3 4-1 ret..
In the 2nd round against Kontaveit, Shelby had a free pass after Kontaveit retired on a 4-6 6-3 4-1 . scoreline.
The American has an aggregate 8-4 win-loss record in 2023, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bencic | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 97 |
| Pts | 69-52 | 320-267 |
| Total Points | 121 | 587 |
| Winners | 23 | 135 |
| %Winners | 33% | 42% |
Bencic played 1 match while Rogers competed in 4 matches. Rogers started her run from the qualifications while Bencic had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Shelby Rogers conceded 3 sets while Belinda Bencic hasn’t conceded a set so far. Bencic has played 10 set(s) less than Rogers (2 vs 12). Therefore, Bencic played 75 games less than Rogers. The Swiss scored 23 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Shelby blasted 135 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bencic | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 35/54 | 177/291 |
| %1st in | 65% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 23/35 | 135/177 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 16/19 | 63/114 |
| %2nd pts | 84% | 55% |
Bencic didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Rogers scored 21 aces (5.3 per match). Bencic won 66% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 84% of the points. On the other side, Rogers won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bencic | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 15 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 15/29 |
| % Converted | 67% | 52% |
| Conceded | 2 | 25 |
| Saved | 0 | 19 |
| % Saved | 0% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
Bencic broke her opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Belinda dropped her serve twice and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. Shelby broke her opponents 15 times with a 52% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 76% of the break points that she conceded.
| Bencic | |||
| R2 Kostyuk | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 69-52 | 69-52 | |
| Total points | 121 | 121 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 35/54 | 35/54 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 23/35 | 23/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/19 | 16/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 84% | 84% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Rogers | ||||||
| Q1 Zvonareva | Q3 Frech | R1 Annie | R2 Kontaveit | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-75 6-1 | 4-6 6-3 4-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 26 | 30 | 24 | 97 | |
| pts | 58-36 | 87-85 | 103-81 | 72-65 | 320-267 | |
| Total points | 94 | 172 | 184 | 137 | 587 | |
| Winners | 21 | 36 | 46 | 32 | 135 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 41% | 45% | 44% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 24/38 | 51/93 | 57/89 | 45/71 | 177/291 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 55% | 64% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 21/24 | 36/51 | 46/57 | 32/45 | 135/177 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 71% | 81% | 71% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 19/42 | 22/32 | 14/26 | 63/114 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 45% | 69% | 54% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 3/5 | 3/6 | 4/6 | 15/29 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 60% | 50% | 67% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 8/11 | 4/4 | 6/8 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 73% | 100% | 75% | 298% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Shelby RogersRogers – Belinda BencicBencic (1-4) – H2H and prediction