Matteo Arnaldi and Nicolas Alvarez Varona will face off in the semifinal of the Tenerife 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.5
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Nicolas Alvarez Varona
This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Nicolas Alvarez Varona face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Alvarez (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Alvarez won 7-5 6-3 in the 1st round in M15 Getafe Madrid back in 2019.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-16 | 10-8 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 130 (career-high), the Italian reached the semifinal after defeating Alessandro Giannessi 6-3 6-75 6-3, Shintaro Mochizuki 6-0 2-6 6-3 and Oleksii Krutykh 6-4 6-1.
In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Krutykh (6-4 6-1). During the match, Arnaldi scored 59 points vs Krutykh’s 41. Matteo was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Arnaldi made 3 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve once. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 57% of his first serves in, winning 68% (19/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Krutykh 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 2 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Arnaldi has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 63% of his matches (142-85). 6-2 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Arnaldi has an aggregate42-15 record in the last 6 years on hard.
Matteo has an overall 6-3 win-loss record in 2023, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tenerife 2 Challenger
Arnaldi has never competed in this tournament before.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-9 | 3-2 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-34 | 3-7 | 13-19 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-26 | 11-8 | 29-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-9 | 21-6 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 290, Nicolas got to the semifinal after beating Salvatore Caruso 6-3 7-5, Ryan Peniston 5-7 6-2 6-1 and Alejandro Moro Canas 1-6 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter against Moro Canas, Nicolas recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-2 6-3). During the match Alvarez scored 71 points vs Moro Canas’s 65. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Alvarez bagged 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Nicolas Alvarez Varona lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Alvarez put 67% of his first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. Nicolas broke Moro Canas 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Nicolas has a compiled 3-0 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 71 | 72 |
| Pts | 242-196 | 237-201 |
| Total Points | 438 | 438 |
| Winners | 87 | 106 |
| %Winners | 36% | 45% |
Both Arnaldi and Alvarez played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Arnaldi surrendered 2 sets, while Nicolas Alvarez Varona conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Arnaldi and Alvarez have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Arnaldi played 1 game less than Alvarez. Arnaldi scored 87 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard bagged 106 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 2.7 | 3 |
| 1st in | 131/228 | 153/243 |
| %1st in | 57% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 87/131 | 106/153 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 64/97 | 41/90 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 46% |
Arnaldi managed to score 8 aces (2.7 per match). Alvarez struck 9 aces (3 per match). Arnaldi won 66% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Alvarez won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 16 |
| Converted | 12/19 | 16/25 |
| % Converted | 63% | 64% |
| Conceded | 12 | 25 |
| Saved | 7 | 15 |
| % Saved | 58% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 10 |
Matteo broke his opponents 12 times with a 63% conversion rate. Arnaldi conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded. Alvarez broke his opponents 16 times with a 64% conversion rate. Alvarez conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | |||||
| R1 Giannessi |
R2 Mochizuki |
1/4 Krutykh |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-75 6-3 | 6-0 2-6 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 23 | 17 | 71 | |
| pts | 108-87 | 75-68 | 59-41 | 242-196 | |
| Total points | 195 | 143 | 100 | 438 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | 19 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 45% | 32% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 52/97 | 51/82 | 28/49 | 131/228 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 62% | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 34/52 | 34/51 | 19/28 | 87/131 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 67% | 68% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 34/45 | 15/31 | 15/21 | 64/97 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 48% | 71% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/4 | 4/7 | 12/19 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 100% | 57% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 4/6 | 0/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 67% | 0% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Alvarez | |||||
| R1 Caruso |
R2 Peniston |
1/4 Moro Canas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 5-7 6-2 6-1 | 1-6 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 27 | 24 | 72 | |
| pts | 73-60 | 93-76 | 71-65 | 237-201 | |
| Total points | 133 | 169 | 136 | 438 | |
| Winners | 29 | 44 | 33 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 47% | 46% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 8 | 1 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 43/78 | 61/92 | 49/73 | 153/243 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 66% | 67% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 29/43 | 44/61 | 33/49 | 106/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 72% | 67% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/35 | 11/31 | 12/24 | 41/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 35% | 50% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 7/13 | 4/5 | 16/25 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 54% | 80% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 12 | 7 | 25 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 8/12 | 4/7 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 57% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWWLWL
LWLWLLLLWL Tennis Scores in Tenerife 2 Challenger
- Christian Harrison/Shintaro MochizukiHarrison/Shintaro Mochizuki – Salvatore Caruso/Alessandro GiannessiCaruso/Alessandro Giannessi (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lloyd HarrisHarris – Raul BrancaccioBrancaccio (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
