Caroline Garcia and Jasmine Paolini will play each other in the quarter of the Open 6 Sens for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on Court Central. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Caroline Garcia who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Caroline Garcia is the pick to win this match.
Caroline Garcia -> 1.21
Jasmine Paolini -> 4.45

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Prediction and head to head Caroline Garcia vs. Jasmine Paolini

This will be the 4th time that Caroline Garcia and Jasmine Paolini play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Garcia (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they locked horns, Garcia won 6-1 6-2 in the semifinal in Warsaw back in 2022.

Highlights Caroline Garcia vs Jasmine Paolini – Warsaw 30-July-2022

Caroline Garcia

Caroline Garcia

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
311
High
4
LLWLLWLWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 4-9 4-8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 17-17 10-10 6-6 0-0 1-1 0-0
2023 40-27 23-17 4-4 7-3 6-3 0-0
2022 46-21 21-13 11-4 4-1 10-3 0-0
2021 27-26 15-14 8-6 3-3 1-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 5, Garcia reached the quarter after beating Tereza Martincova 6-4 7-64 and Alison Van Uytvanck 2-6 6-0 6-1.

In the 2nd round against Van Uytvanck, Caroline recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-0 6-1). During the match, Garcia scored 77 points vs Van Uytvanck’s 56. Caroline was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Regarding the service games, Garcia struck 7 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Caroline Garcia was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (27/37) of her 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve 3 times. Garcia broke Van Uytvanck 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Caroline has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points she played.

Garcia has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (309-210). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Garcia has a composed 35-21 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Caroline has an overall 8-2 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Lyon

Lyon
Garcia's Record

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
8
High
4
LLLLWWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 46-21 27-12 13-3 3-3 3-3 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 66, the Italian got to the quarter after defeating Rebeka Masarova 6-3 6-2 and Erika Andreeva 6-2 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Jasmine had a good straight sets win against Andreeva (6-2 6-3). During the match Paolini scored 61 points vs Andreeva’s 38. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Paolini recorded 4 aces and she was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jasmine Paolini was extremely efficient on serve to win 86% (30/35) of her 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jasmine broke Andreeva 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Paolini hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.

Paolini has a composed 3-3 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Lyon

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See her history.

Lyon
Paolini's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Garcia
J.Paolini
!
3h:41
3h:41
Time on court​
2h:17
2h:17
1h:38
1h:38
Last match​
1h:05
1h:05
2
2
Match played
2
2
44
44
Games Played​
34
34
5
5
Set played​​
4
4
165
165
Total points​
125
125
82.5
82.5
Avg point​
62.5
62.5
63
63
Winners
53
53
31.5
31.5
Avg Winners​
26.5
26.5
38%
38%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
15
15
Aces
5
5
7.5
7.5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
2
2
Double Faults
2
2
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1
1
63/88
63/88
1st won total​
53/72
53/72
!
72%
72%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
30/66
30/66
2nd won total​
24/37
24/37
45%
45%
2nd won %
!
65%
65%
-- Break Points --
9/23
9/23
BP won
7/13
7/13
4.5/11.5
4.5/11.5
Avg BP won
3.5/6.5
3.5/6.5
39%
39%
Won
!
54%
54%
12
12
Conceded
4
4
6
6
Avg Conceded
2
2
5
5
Broken
1
1
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
7
7
Saved
3
3
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Garcia Paolini
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 4
Tot Games 44 34
Pts 165-137 125-84
Total Points 302 209
Winners 63 53
%Winners 38% 42%

Both Garcia and Paolini played 2 matches. At the moment, Caroline Garcia dropped 1 set while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Garcia has played 1 set more than Paolini (5 vs 4). Therefore, Garcia played 10 games more than Paolini. Caroline scored 63 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Paolini recorded 53 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Garcia Paolini
Aces 15 5
Avg per match 7.5 2.5
1st in 88/154 72/109
%1st in 57% 66%
1st pts 63/88 53/72
%1st pts 72% 74%
2nd pts 30/66 24/37
%2nd pts 45% 65%

Garcia recorded 15 aces (7.5 per match). Paolini bagged 5 aces (2.5 per match). Garcia won 72% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Garcia Paolini
Won 9 7
Converted 9/23 7/13
% Converted 39% 54%
Conceded 12 4
Saved 7 3
% Saved 58% 75%
Times Broken 5 1

The French player broke her opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Garcia dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded. The Italian broke her opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.

Garcia
R1
Martincova		 R2
Van Uytvanck		 Total
Score 6-4 7-64 2-6 6-0 6-1
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 23 21 44
pts 88-81 77-56 165-137
Total points 169 133 302
Winners 36 27 63
%Winners 41% 35% 38%
SERVE
Aces 8 7 15
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 51/84 37/70 88/154
% 1st in 61% 53% 57%
1st pts 36/51 27/37 63/88
% 1st pts 71% 73% 72%
2nd pts 13/33 17/33 30/66
% 2nd pts 39% 52% 45%
Breaks
Won 3 6 9
Converted 3/9 6/14 9/23
Converted % 33% 43% 39%
Conceded 8 4 12
Saved 6/8 1/4 7
Saved % 75% 25% 50%
Times Broken 2 3 5
Paolini
R1
Masarova		 R2
Andreeva		 Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 17 17 34
pts 64-46 61-38 125-84
Total points 110 99 209
Winners 23 30 53
%Winners 36% 49% 42%
SERVE
Aces 1 4 5
Double Faults 2 0 2
1st in 37/61 35/48 72/109
% 1st in 61% 73% 66%
1st pts 23/37 30/35 53/72
% 1st pts 62% 86% 74%
2nd pts 16/24 8/13 24/37
% 2nd pts 67% 62% 65%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/6 3/7 7/13
Converted % 67% 43% 54%
Conceded 4 0 4
Saved 3/4 0/0 3
Saved % 75% – 38%
Times Broken 1 0 1

Tennis Scores in Lyon

Upcoming matches in the draw

Garcia
More Stats
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Paolini

Click for FULL STATS