Alejandro Tabilo and Timofey Skatov will face off in the quarter of the Concepcion Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Tabilo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alejandro Tabilo is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Tabilo -> 1.61
Timofey Skatov -> 2.25
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Prediction and head to head Alejandro Tabilo vs. Timofey Skatov
This will be the 2nd time that Alejandro Tabilo and Timofey Skatov clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Skatov (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Skatov won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in the Montevideo Challenger back in 2021.
Alejandro Tabilo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-27 | 13-8 | 15-10 | 3-7 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-26 | 13-5 | 39-19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 7-6 | 23-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-30 | 13-9 | 22-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 102, Alejandro reached the quarter after beating Mariano Navone 1-6 7-60 6-1 and Luciano Darderi 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Alejandro had a good straight sets win against Darderi (6-4 7-5). During the match, Tabilo scored 77 points vs Darderi’s 68. Tabilo was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Tabilo struck 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alejandro Tabilo lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Tabilo put 57% of his first serves in, winning 79% (34/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (12/33) on the 2nd serve. Alejandro broke Darderi 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alejandro has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.
Tabilo has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 60% of his matches (250-168). 4-1 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Tabilo has an overall154-96 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
Tabilo has a compiled 5-2 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Concepcion Challenger
Timofey Skatov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-12 | 6-7 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-23 | 5-7 | 29-14 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 6-4 | 23-22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-32 | 4-3 | 30-27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 0-2 | 33-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 144, the Kazakhstani got to the quarter after defeating Tung-Lin Wu 7-5 7-66 and Nicolas Mejia 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Skatov had a good straight sets win against Mejia (6-2 6-2). During the match Skatov scored 64 points vs Mejia’s 47. Skatov was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Skatov scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Timofey Skatov conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Skatov put 77% of his first serves in, winning 63% (26/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 83% (10/12) on the 2nd serve. Timofey broke Mejia 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Timofey hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Timofey has a compiled 4-2 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tabilo | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 41 |
| Pts | 175-159 | 151-123 |
| Total Points | 334 | 274 |
| Winners | 80 | 63 |
| %Winners | 46% | 42% |
Both Tabilo and Skatov played 2 matches. At the moment, Alejandro Tabilo conceded 1 set while Timofey Skatov hasn’t dropped a set so far. Tabilo has played 1 set more than Skatov (5 vs 4). Therefore, Tabilo played 8 games more than Skatov. The Chilean scored 80 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Timofey struck 63 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tabilo | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 110/175 | 96/138 |
| %1st in | 63% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 80/110 | 63/96 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 23/65 | 23/42 |
| %2nd pts | 35% | 55% |
Tabilo blasted 6 aces (3 per match). Skatov struck 4 aces (2 per match). Tabilo won 73% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 35% of the points. On the other side, Skatov won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tabilo | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 9 |
| Converted | 8/13 | 9/17 |
| % Converted | 62% | 53% |
| Conceded | 19 | 11 |
| Saved | 12 | 7 |
| % Saved | 63% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 4 |
Alejandro broke his opponents 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. Tabilo surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Timofey conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tabilo | ||||
| R1 Navone |
R2 Darderi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 7-60 6-1 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 22 | 49 | |
| pts | 98-91 | 77-68 | 175-159 | |
| Total points | 189 | 145 | 334 | |
| Winners | 46 | 34 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 44% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 67/99 | 43/76 | 110/175 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 57% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 46/67 | 34/43 | 80/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 79% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/32 | 12/33 | 23/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 34% | 36% | 35% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/6 | 8/13 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 67% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 10 | 19 | |
| Saved | 4/9 | 8/10 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 44% | 80% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Skatov | ||||
| R1 Wu |
R2 Mejia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-66 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 16 | 41 | |
| pts | 87-76 | 64-47 | 151-123 | |
| Total points | 163 | 111 | 274 | |
| Winners | 37 | 26 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 55/85 | 41/53 | 96/138 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 77% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 37/55 | 26/41 | 63/96 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 63% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/30 | 10/12 | 23/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 83% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/9 | 9/17 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 44% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 3/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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