Aryna Sabalenka and Magda Linette will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Australian Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 9:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.34
Magda Linette -> 3.26

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Magda Linette

This will be the 3^rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Magda Linette square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Sabalenka won 6-2 6-1 in the 1^st round in Tokyo back in 2021.

Aryna Sabalenka

Ranked no. 5, Aryna reached the semifinal after beating Tereza Martincova 6-1 6-4, Shelby Rogers 6-3 6-1, Elise Mertens 6-2 6-3, Belinda Bencic 7-5 6-2 and Donna Vekic 6-3 6-2.

In the quarter, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Vekic (6-3 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 81 points vs Vekic’s 67. Sabalenka was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka blasted 9 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice and she saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 56% of her first serves in, winning 70% (31/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 35% (12/34) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Vekic 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 66% of her matches (272-140). 9-0 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has an overall163-76 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4).

The Belarussian has a composed 9-0 win-loss record in 2023, 9-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Magda Linette

Ranked no. 45, the Pole got to the semifinal after beating Mayar Sherif 7-5 6-1, Anett Kontaveit 3-6 6-3 6-4, Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-3 6-4, Caroline Garcia 7-6³ 6-4 and Karolina Pliskova 6-3 7-5.

In the quarter, Magda had a good straight sets win against Pliskova (6-3 7-5). During the match Linette scored 70 points vs Pliskova’s 53. The Pole was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Linette managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Magda Linette was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (29/40) of her 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Magda broke Pliskova 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Linette has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

The Pole’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Australia.

Magda has an aggregate 8-2 win-loss record in 2023, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2018. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sabalenka	Linette
Match played	5	5
Tot Set	10	11
Tot Games	87	110
Pts	343-249	371-296
Total Points	592	667
Winners	127	155
%Winners	37%	42%

Both Sabalenka and Linette played 5 matches. At the moment, Magda Linette dropped 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Linette (10 vs 11). Therefore, Sabalenka played 23 games less than Linette. Aryna scored 127 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Linette blasted 155 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sabalenka	Linette
Aces	23	20
Avg per match	4.6	4
1st in	166/286	224/331
%1st in	58%	68%
1st pts	127/166	155/224
%1st pts	77%	69%
2nd pts	63/120	67/107
%2nd pts	53%	63%

Sabalenka blasted 23 aces (4.6 per match). Linette struck 20 aces (4 per match). Sabalenka won 77% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Linette won 69% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sabalenka	Linette
Won	21	19
Converted	21/42	19/40
% Converted	50%	48%
Conceded	27	19
Saved	22	9
% Saved	81%	47%
Times Broken	5	10

The Belarussian broke her opponents 21 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sabalenka lost her serve 5 times and she saved 81% of the break points that she conceded. The Pole broke her opponents 19 times with a 48% conversion rate. Magda conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 47% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
	R1 Martincova	R2 Rogers	R3 Mertens	R4 Bencic	1/4 Vekic	Total
Score	6-1 6-4	6-3 6-1	6-2 6-3	7-5 6-2	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	2	10
Tot Games	17	16	17	20	17	87
pts	60-40	75-52	63-43	64-47	81-67	343-249
Total points	100	127	106	111	148	592
Winners	27	23	21	25	31	127
%Winners	45%	31%	33%	39%	38%	37%
SERVE
Aces	3	3	4	4	9	23
Double Faults	3	0	4	4	9	20
1st in	31/55	31/49	28/50	32/54	44/78	166/286
% 1st in	56%	63%	56%	59%	56%	58%
1st pts	27/31	23/31	21/28	25/32	31/44	127/166
% 1st pts	87%	74%	75%	78%	70%	77%
2nd pts	12/24	11/18	14/22	14/22	12/34	63/120
% 2nd pts	50%	61%	64%	64%	35%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	5	4	4	5	21
Converted	3/6	5/11	4/7	4/5	5/13	21/42
Converted %	50%	45%	57%	80%	38%	50%
Conceded	5	4	3	1	14	27
Saved	5/5	3/4	2/3	0/1	12/14	22
Saved %	100%	75%	67%	0%	86%	66%
Times Broken	0	1	1	1	2	5

Linette
	R1 Sherif	R2 Kontaveit	R3 Alexandrova	R4 Garcia	1/4 Pliskova	Total
Score	7-5 6-1	3-6 6-3 6-4	6-3 6-4	7-63 6-4	6-3 7-5
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	2	11
Tot Games	19	28	19	23	21	110
pts	69-39	87-80	62-51	83-73	70-53	371-296
Total points	108	167	113	156	123	667
Winners	27	43	24	32	29	155
%Winners	39%	49%	39%	39%	41%	42%
SERVE
Aces	2	7	5	3	3	20
Double Faults	1	2	0	1	1	5
1st in	35/52	65/92	35/58	49/65	40/64	224/331
% 1st in	67%	71%	60%	75%	63%	68%
1st pts	27/35	43/65	24/35	32/49	29/40	155/224
% 1st pts	77%	66%	69%	65%	73%	69%
2nd pts	14/17	13/27	13/23	11/16	16/24	67/107
% 2nd pts	82%	48%	57%	69%	67%	63%
Breaks
Won	4	5	4	3	3	19
Converted	4/10	5/6	4/5	3/10	3/9	19/40
Converted %	40%	83%	80%	30%	33%	48%
Conceded	2	8	2	3	4	19
Saved	1/2	4/8	0/2	1/3	3/4	9
Saved %	50%	50%	0%	33%	75%	42%
Times Broken	1	4	2	2	1	10

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

• Dragos DimaDima – Franco AgamenoneAgamenone (6-4 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Magda LinetteLinette – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction