Tommy Paul and Ben Shelton will fight against each other in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.4
Ben Shelton -> 2.96
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Ben Shelton
There is no head to head record between Tommy Paul and Ben Shelton since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, Paul reached the quarter after beating Jan-Lennard Struff 6-1 7-66 6-2, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-2 2-6 6-74 6-3 6-4, Jenson Brooksby 6-1 6-4 6-3 and Roberto Bautista Agut 6-2 4-6 6-2 7-5.
In the 4th round, Tommy defeated Bautista-Agut (6-2 4-6 6-2 7-5). During the match, Paul scored 135 points vs Bautista-Agut’s 118. Paul was quite aggressive to blast 54 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paul blasted 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Tommy Paul was quite effective on serve to win 71% (54/76) of his 1st serve and 56% (28/50) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Tommy broke Bautista-Agut 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tommy has conceded 3 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Paul has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (309-177). 5-1 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paul has an aggregate151-89 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Paul has a compiled 5-1 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Ben Shelton
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-26 | 22-13 | 8-4 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-26 | 21-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-11 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 24-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-7 | 7-3 | 5-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 89 (career-high), Ben reached the quarter after defeating Zhizhen Zhang 4-6 6-3 6-2 2-6 7-64, Nicolas Jarry 7-63 7-63 7-5, Alexei Popyrin 6-3 7-64 6-4 and Jeff Wolf 6-75 6-2 6-74 7-64 6-2.
In the 4th round, Ben had a tough win against Wolf to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-75 6-2 6-74 7-64 6-2). During the match Shelton scored 171 points vs Wolf’s 149. The American was very aggressive to blast 88 winners.
Talking about serving, Shelton buried his opponent with 23 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Ben Shelton was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 82% (88/107) of his 1st serve and 69% (35/51) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Shelton broke Wolf 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Shelton has an aggregate 5-2 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Ben has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 15 | 16 |
| Tot Games | 140 | 173 |
| Pts | 503-412 | 537-470 |
| Total Points | 915 | 1007 |
| Winners | 215 | 255 |
| %Winners | 43% | 47% |
Both Paul and Shelton played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul surrendered 3 sets, while Ben Shelton dropped 4 sets. Paul has played 1 set(s) less than Shelton (15 vs 16). Therefore, Paul played 33 games less than Shelton. Paul scored 215 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Shelton scored 255 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 56 | 61 |
| Avg per match | 14 | 15.3 |
| 1st in | 285/441 | 308/497 |
| %1st in | 65% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 215/285 | 255/308 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 83/156 | 123/189 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 65% |
Paul scored 56 aces (14 per match). Shelton made 61 aces (15.3 per match). Paul won 75% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Shelton won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 23 | 11 |
| Converted | 23/53 | 11/30 |
| % Converted | 43% | 37% |
| Conceded | 27 | 15 |
| Saved | 19 | 11 |
| % Saved | 70% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 4 |
Tommy broke his opponents 23 times with a 43% conversion rate. Tommy lost his serve 8 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Shelton broke his opponents 11 times with a 37% conversion rate. Ben conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | ||||||
| R1 Struff |
R2 Davidovich Fokina |
R3 Brooksby |
R4 Bautista-Agut |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-66 6-2 | 6-2 2-6 6-74 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 4-6 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 48 | 26 | 38 | 140 | |
| pts | 96-62 | 171-157 | 101-75 | 135-118 | 503-412 | |
| Total points | 158 | 328 | 176 | 253 | 915 | |
| Winners | 45 | 79 | 37 | 54 | 215 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 46% | 37% | 40% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 20 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 56 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 54/79 | 109/158 | 46/78 | 76/126 | 285/441 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 69% | 59% | 60% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 45/54 | 79/109 | 37/46 | 54/76 | 215/285 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 72% | 80% | 71% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 21/49 | 19/32 | 28/50 | 83/156 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 43% | 59% | 56% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 7/14 | 5/14 | 6/15 | 23/53 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 36% | 40% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 27 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 5/10 | 4/4 | 8/10 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 100% | 80% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | |
| Shelton | ||||||
| R1 Zhang |
R2 Jarry |
R3 Popyrin |
R4 Wolf |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-2 2-6 7-64 | 7-63 7-63 7-5 | 6-3 7-64 6-4 | 6-75 6-2 6-74 7-64 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | |
| Tot Games | 48 | 38 | 32 | 55 | 173 | |
| pts | 153-139 | 110-101 | 103-81 | 171-149 | 537-470 | |
| Total points | 292 | 211 | 184 | 320 | 1007 | |
| Winners | 66 | 49 | 52 | 88 | 255 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 45% | 50% | 51% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 18 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 61 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 81/143 | 60/104 | 60/92 | 107/158 | 308/497 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 58% | 65% | 68% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 66/81 | 49/60 | 52/60 | 88/107 | 255/308 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 82% | 87% | 82% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 36/62 | 31/44 | 21/32 | 35/51 | 123/189 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 70% | 66% | 69% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/7 | 2/8 | 4/9 | 11/30 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 29% | 25% | 44% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 15 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 0/1 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
W
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