H2H, PREDICTION Novak Djokovic vs Andrey Rublev | Australian Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Djokovic and Rublev will face off in the quarter of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Andrey Rublev

Novak Djokovic and Andrey Rublev will clash against each other in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.25
Andrey Rublev -> 4.9

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Andrey Rublev

This will be the 4th time that Novak Djokovic and Andrey Rublev fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Djokovic won 6-4 6-1 in the R in Nitto atp finals back in 2022.

Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Andrey Rublev – Nitto atp finals 16-November-2022

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
WWWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 18-6 8-3 10-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 56-7 27-1 12-3 11-2 6-1 0-0
2022 42-7 2-1 14-4 19-2 7-0 0-0
2021 55-7 19-3 18-3 11-1 7-0 0-0
2020 41-5 26-1 11-1 4-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 5, Djokovic reached the quarter after defeating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-3 6-4 6-0, Enzo Couacaud 6-1 6-75 6-2 6-0, Grigor Dimitrov 7-67 6-3 6-4 and Alex De Minaur 6-2 6-1 6-2.

In the 4th round, The Serbian had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (6-2 6-1 6-2). During the match, Djokovic scored 91 points vs De Minaur’s 59. The Serbian was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Djokovic scored 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Novak Djokovic was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (33/44) of his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Djokovic broke De Minaur 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Novak has conceded 2 set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points he played.

Djokovic has a remarkable match record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (497-74). 9-0 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Djokovic has an overall 234-32 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Adelaide where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 6-7(8) 7-6(3) 6-4.

Novak has an overall 9-0 win-loss record in 2023, 9-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Djokovic
Australian Open
Djokovic's Record

Andrey Rublev

Andrey Rublev
Andrey Rublev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
6
High
5
LWWLWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 24-10 13-5 9-4 2-1 0-0 0-0
2023 56-26 23-12 19-5 6-7 8-2 0-0
2022 51-20 19-7 14-6 18-6 0-1 0-0
2021 53-23 25-10 9-5 12-6 7-2 0-0
2020 41-10 17-4 10-2 14-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 6, Rublev got to the quarter after beating Dominic Thiem 6-3 6-4 6-2, Emil Ruusuvuori 6-2 6-4 6-72 6-3, Daniel Evans 6-4 6-2 6-3 and Holger Rune 6-3 3-6 6-3 4-6 7-69.

In the 4th round, Rublev had a tough win against Rune to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-3 3-6 6-3 4-6 7-69). During the match Rublev scored 168 points vs Rune’s 158. Andrey was exceptionally aggressive to blast 77 winners.

Talking about serving, Rublev overpowered his opponent with 22 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve 5 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 65% of his first serves in, winning 73% (77/105) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (27/57) on the 2nd serve. Andrey broke Rune 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rublev has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Rublev has a compiled 4-2 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.

Rublev
Australian Open
Rublev's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

N.Djokovic
A.Rublev
10h:19
10h:19
Time on court​
10h:38
10h:38
!
2h:06
2h:06
Last match​
!
3h:37
3h:37
4
4
Match played
4
4
114
114
Games Played​
144
144
13
13
Set played​​
15
15
452
452
Total points​
507
507
113
113
Avg point​
126.8
126.8
186
186
Winners
238
238
46.5
46.5
Avg Winners​
59.5
59.5
41%
41%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
33
33
Aces
55
55
8.3
8.3
Avg Aces
!
13.8
13.8
12
12
Double Faults
11
11
3
3
Avg Double Faults
2.8
2.8
186/234
186/234
1st won total​
238/309
238/309
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
69/122
69/122
2nd won total​
81/160
81/160
57%
57%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
23/54
23/54
BP won
18/58
18/58
5.8/13.5
5.8/13.5
Avg BP won
4.5/14.5
4.5/14.5
43%
43%
Won
31%
31%
12
12
Conceded
32
32
3
3
Avg Conceded
8
8
3
3
Broken
6
6
!
0.8
0.8
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
9
9
Saved
26
26

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Djokovic Rublev
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 13 15
Tot Games 114 144
Pts 452-320 507-433
Total Points 772 940
Winners 186 238
%Winners 41% 47%

Both Djokovic and Rublev played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic conceded 1 set, while Andrey Rublev lost 3 sets. Djokovic has played 2 set(s) less than Rublev (13 vs 15). Therefore, Djokovic played 30 games less than Rublev. Novak scored 186 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Andrey bagged 238 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Djokovic Rublev
Aces 33 55
Avg per match 8.3 13.8
1st in 234/356 309/469
%1st in 66% 66%
1st pts 186/234 238/309
%1st pts 79% 77%
2nd pts 69/122 81/160
%2nd pts 57% 51%

Djokovic scored 33 aces (8.3 per match). Rublev made 55 aces (13.8 per match). Djokovic won 79% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Djokovic Rublev
Won 23 18
Converted 23/54 18/58
% Converted 43% 31%
Conceded 12 32
Saved 9 26
% Saved 75% 81%
Times Broken 3 6

Djokovic broke his opponents 23 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Serbian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Andrey broke his opponents 18 times with a 31% conversion rate. Andrey conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded.

Djokovic
R1
Carballes Baena
R1
Carballes Baena
R2
Couacaud
R2
Couacaud
R3
Dimitrov
R3
Dimitrov
R4
De Minaur
R4
De Minaur
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-0 6-3 6-4 6-0 6-1 6-75 6-2 6-0 6-1 6-75 6-2 6-0 7-67 6-3 6-4 7-67 6-3 6-4 6-2 6-1 6-2 6-2 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 26
Tot Games 25 25 34 34 32 32 23 23 228
pts 93-55 93-55 145-101 145-101 123-105 123-105 91-59 91-59 904-640
Total points 148 148 246 246 228 228 150 150 1544
Winners 39 39 54 54 60 60 33 33 372
%Winners 42% 42% 37% 37% 49% 49% 36% 36% 41%
SERVE
Aces 9 9 9 9 11 11 4 4 66
Double Faults 1 1 6 6 2 2 3 3 24
1st in 45/70 45/70 64/106 64/106 81/112 81/112 44/68 44/68 468/712
% 1st in 64% 64% 60% 60% 72% 72% 65% 65% 66%
1st pts 39/45 39/45 54/64 54/64 60/81 60/81 33/44 33/44 372/468
% 1st pts 87% 87% 84% 84% 74% 74% 75% 75% 79%
2nd pts 16/25 16/25 24/42 24/42 13/31 13/31 16/24 16/24 138/244
% 2nd pts 64% 64% 57% 57% 42% 42% 67% 67% 57%
Breaks
Won 5 5 7 7 5 5 6 6 46
Converted 5/9 5/9 7/21 7/21 5/12 5/12 6/12 6/12 46/108
Converted % 56% 56% 33% 33% 42% 42% 50% 50% 43%
Conceded 3 3 1 1 8 8 0 0 24
Saved 3/3 3/3 1/1 1/1 5/8 5/8 0/0 0/0 18
Saved % 100% 100% 100% 100% 63% 63% 66%
Times Broken 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 6
Rublev
R1
Thiem
R2
Ruusuvuori
R3
Evans
R4
Rune
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-2 6-2 6-4 6-72 6-3 6-4 6-2 6-3 6-3 3-6 6-3 4-6 7-69
Tot Set 3 4 3 5 15
Tot Games 27 40 27 50 144
pts 98-78 139-121 102-76 168-158 507-433
Total points 176 260 178 326 940
Winners 48 72 41 77 238
%Winners 49% 52% 40% 46% 47%
SERVE
Aces 7 16 10 22 55
Double Faults 3 3 1 4 11
1st in 59/88 94/138 51/81 105/162 309/469
% 1st in 67% 68% 63% 65% 66%
1st pts 48/59 72/94 41/51 77/105 238/309
% 1st pts 81% 77% 80% 73% 77%
2nd pts 13/29 21/44 20/30 27/57 81/160
% 2nd pts 45% 48% 67% 47% 51%
Breaks
Won 4 5 4 5 18
Converted 4/16 5/14 4/15 5/13 18/58
Converted % 25% 36% 27% 38% 31%
Conceded 2 9 4 17 32
Saved 2/2 8/9 4/4 12/17 26
Saved % 100% 89% 100% 71% 45%
Times Broken 0 1 0 5 6

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Djokovic
WWWWLWWLWL
Rublev
LWWLWWWWWW
2024 2023 2022
18 - 6
24 - 10
8-3
Hard
13-5
0-0
I Hard
2-1
10-3
Clay
9-4

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

  • Karen KhachanovKhachanovSebastian KordaKorda (7-65 6-3 3-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan ZielinskiBenjamin Bonzi/Arthur RinderknechBonzi/Arthur Rinderknech (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw