Jessica Pegula and Victoria Azarenka will play each other in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 7:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.46
Victoria Azarenka -> 2.72
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Victoria Azarenka
This will be the 5th time that Jessica Pegula and Victoria Azarenka clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Pegula won 7-6(3) 6-1 in the semifinal in Guadalajara back in 2022.
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 35-12 | 11-5 | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Jessica got to the quarter after beating Jaqueline Cristian 6-0 6-1, Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-2 7-65, Marta Kostyuk 6-0 6-2 and Barbora Krejcikova 7-5 6-2.
In the 4th round, The American had a good straight sets win against Krejcikova (7-5 6-2). During the match, Pegula scored 81 points vs Krejcikova’s 63. Pegula was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the match and she was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Pegula put 56% of her first serves in, winning 63% (20/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Krejcikova 5 times after converting 28% of her break points (5/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pegula hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (248-149). 8-1 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has an overall 149-79 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where she beat Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2.
Pegula has a composed 8-1 win-loss record in 2023, 8-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Victoria Azarenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-12 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-15 | 20-10 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 17-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-13 | 18-9 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-9 | 18-6 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, the Belarussian got to the quarter after beating Sofia Kenin 6-4 7-63, Nadia Podoroska 6-1 6-0, Madison Keys 1-6 6-2 6-1 and Lin Zhu 4-6 6-1 6-4.
In the 4th round against Zhu, Azarenka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-4). During the match Azarenka scored 103 points vs Zhu’s 99. The Belarussian was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Azarenka struck 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Victoria Azarenka lost the serve 5 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Azarenka put 63% of her first serves in, winning 70% (45/64) of the points behind her 1st serve and 32% (12/38) on the 2nd serve. Azarenka broke Zhu 7 times after converting 47% of her break points (7/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Victoria has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
The Belarussian has an aggregate 6-2 win-loss record in 2023, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, she won this tournament twice in 2012 and 2013. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 68 | 85 |
| Pts | 284-202 | 305-253 |
| Total Points | 486 | 558 |
| Winners | 97 | 128 |
| %Winners | 34% | 42% |
Both Pegula and Azarenka played 4 matches. At the moment, Victoria Azarenka dropped 2 sets while Jessica Pegula hasn’t lost a set so far. Pegula has played 2 set(s) less than Azarenka (8 vs 10). Therefore, Pegula played 17 games less than Azarenka. Jessica scored 97 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Azarenka struck 128 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 136/224 | 177/273 |
| %1st in | 61% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 97/136 | 128/177 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 45/88 | 43/96 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 45% |
Pegula managed to score 5 aces (1.3 per match). Azarenka made 12 aces (3 per match). Pegula won 71% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Azarenka won 72% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 21 |
| Converted | 21/49 | 21/44 |
| % Converted | 43% | 48% |
| Conceded | 21 | 28 |
| Saved | 15 | 18 |
| % Saved | 71% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 10 |
Jessica broke her opponents 21 times with a 43% conversion rate. Pegula surrendered her serve 6 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. The Belarussian broke her opponents 21 times with a 48% conversion rate. Victoria conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | ||||||
| R1 Cristian |
R2 Sasnovich |
R3 Kostyuk |
R4 Krejcikova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | 6-2 7-65 | 6-0 6-2 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 21 | 14 | 20 | 68 | |
| pts | 61-32 | 78-63 | 64-44 | 81-63 | 284-202 | |
| Total points | 93 | 141 | 108 | 144 | 486 | |
| Winners | 25 | 31 | 21 | 20 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% | 33% | 25% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 30/45 | 47/72 | 27/50 | 32/57 | 136/224 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 65% | 54% | 56% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 31/47 | 21/27 | 20/32 | 97/136 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 66% | 78% | 63% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 11/25 | 10/23 | 17/25 | 45/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 44% | 43% | 68% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/11 | 6/12 | 5/18 | 21/49 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 45% | 50% | 28% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 4/7 | 8/9 | 0/2 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 57% | 89% | 0% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| Azarenka | ||||||
| R1 Kenin |
R2 Podoroska |
R3 Keys |
R4 Zhu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-63 | 6-1 6-0 | 1-6 6-2 6-1 | 4-6 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 13 | 22 | 27 | 85 | |
| pts | 82-71 | 50-22 | 70-61 | 103-99 | 305-253 | |
| Total points | 153 | 72 | 131 | 202 | 558 | |
| Winners | 39 | 21 | 23 | 45 | 128 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 42% | 33% | 44% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 52/79 | 27/34 | 34/58 | 64/102 | 177/273 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 79% | 59% | 63% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 39/52 | 21/27 | 23/34 | 45/64 | 128/177 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 78% | 68% | 70% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/27 | 4/7 | 11/24 | 12/38 | 43/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 57% | 46% | 32% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21 | |
| Converted | 2/10 | 6/7 | 6/12 | 7/15 | 21/44 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 86% | 50% | 47% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 28 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 0/0 | 3/7 | 9/14 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 86% | – | 43% | 64% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWWWL
LWWLLWWWLW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Laslo Urrutia FuentesUrrutia Fuentes (1-6 7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Magda LinetteLinette (7-2) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Donna VekicVekic (1-5) – H2H and prediction
