H2H, PREDICTION Karen Khachanov vs Sebastian Korda | Australian Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Khachanov and Korda will fight against each other in the quarter of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Sebastian Korda

Karen Khachanov and Sebastian Korda will clash against each other in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 2:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Korda who should win in 5 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Sebastian Korda is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Korda -> 1.66
Karen Khachanov -> 2.22

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Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Sebastian Korda

This will be the 4th time that Karen Khachanov and Sebastian Korda fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Korda (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Korda won 7-5 7-6(9) in the 2nd round in Antwerp back in 2022.

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov
Karen Khachanov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
21
High
8
LLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 2-4 2-3 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 37-22 14-12 8-4 14-3 1-3 0-0
2023 34-18 18-10 10-5 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 20, Khachanov got to the quarter after defeating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 7-63 6-2 6-0, Jason Murray Kubler 6-4 5-7 6-4 6-2, Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-69 and Yoshihito Nishioka 6-0 6-0 7-64.

In the 4th round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Nishioka (6-0 6-0 7-64). During the match, Khachanov scored 95 points vs Nishioka’s 53. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Regarding the service games, Khachanov struck 15 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Karen Khachanov lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Khachanov put 59% of his first serves in, winning 93% (43/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Khachanov broke Nishioka 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Karen has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Khachanov has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (345-227). 7-2 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Khachanov has an overall 139-85 record in the last years on hard.

The Russian has an aggregate 7-2 win-loss record in 2023, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Khachanov
Australian Open
Khachanov's Record

Sebastian Korda

Sebastian Korda
Sebastian Korda

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
22
High
15
LLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 3-3 3-2 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 31-19 17-9 5-5 2-2 7-3 0-0
2023 26-16 18-8 1-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2022 34-22 13-9 8-6 12-5 1-2 0-0
2021 36-20 12-8 6-5 13-5 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 31, Sebastian got to the quarter after defeating Cristian Garin 6-4 1-6 6-3 6-2, Yosuke Watanuki 6-2 7-5 6-4, Daniil Medvedev 7-67 6-3 7-64 and Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 6-3 6-2 1-6 7-67.

In the 4th round, Sebastian had a tough win against Hurkacz to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (3-6 6-3 6-2 1-6 7-67). During the match Korda scored 146 points vs Hurkacz’s 144. Korda was extremely aggressive to blast 65 winners.

Talking about serving, Korda blasted 8 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Sebastian Korda was extremely efficient on serve to win 75% (65/87) of his 1st serve and 53% (33/62) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Sebastian broke Hurkacz 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sebastian has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The American’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Adelaide.

Korda has a compiled 8-1 win-loss record in 2023, 8-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.

Korda
Australian Open
Korda's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

K.Khachanov
S.Korda
10h:25
10h:25
Time on court​
11h:28
11h:28
1h:58
1h:58
Last match​
!
3h:28
3h:28
4
4
Match played
4
4
133
133
Games Played​
145
145
14
14
Set played​​
15
15
485
485
Total points​
500
500
121.3
121.3
Avg point​
125
125
227
227
Winners
213
213
56.8
56.8
Avg Winners​
53.3
53.3
47%
47%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
61
61
Aces
37
37
!
15.3
15.3
Avg Aces
9.3
9.3
9
9
Double Faults
17
17
2.3
2.3
Avg Double Faults
4.3
4.3
227/295
227/295
1st won total​
213/293
213/293
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
77/147
77/147
2nd won total​
104/198
104/198
52%
52%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
22/41
22/41
BP won
19/36
19/36
5.5/10.3
5.5/10.3
Avg BP won
4.8/9
4.8/9
!
54%
54%
Won
!
53%
53%
30
30
Conceded
46
46
7.5
7.5
Avg Conceded
11.5
11.5
7
7
Broken
12
12
1.8
1.8
Avg Broken
3
3
23
23
Saved
34
34

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Khachanov Korda
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 14 15
Tot Games 133 145
Pts 485-379 500-452
Total Points 864 952
Winners 227 213
%Winners 47% 43%

Both Khachanov and Korda played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Karen Khachanov lost 2 sets, while Sebastian Korda dropped 3 sets. Khachanov has played 1 set(s) less than Korda (14 vs 15). Therefore, Khachanov played 12 games less than Korda. Karen scored 227 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 213 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Khachanov Korda
Aces 61 37
Avg per match 15.3 9.3
1st in 295/442 293/491
%1st in 67% 60%
1st pts 227/295 213/293
%1st pts 77% 73%
2nd pts 77/147 104/198
%2nd pts 52% 53%

Khachanov scored 61 aces (15.3 per match). Korda fired 37 aces (9.3 per match). Khachanov won 77% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Khachanov Korda
Won 22 19
Converted 22/41 19/36
% Converted 54% 53%
Conceded 30 46
Saved 23 34
% Saved 77% 74%
Times Broken 7 12

Khachanov broke his opponents 22 times with a 54% conversion rate. Karen surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 19 times with a 53% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.

Khachanov
R1
Zapata Miralles
R2
Murray Kubler
R3
Tiafoe
R4
Nishioka
Total
Score 7-63 6-2 6-0 6-4 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-69 6-0 6-0 7-64
Tot Set 3 4 4 3 14
Tot Games 27 40 41 25 133
pts 110-71 128-112 152-143 95-53 485-379
Total points 181 240 295 148 864
Winners 50 64 70 43 227
%Winners 45% 50% 46% 45% 47%
SERVE
Aces 11 15 20 15 61
Double Faults 1 2 4 2 9
1st in 68/90 81/117 100/157 46/78 295/442
% 1st in 76% 69% 64% 59% 67%
1st pts 50/68 64/81 70/100 43/46 227/295
% 1st pts 74% 79% 70% 93% 77%
2nd pts 14/22 18/36 31/57 14/32 77/147
% 2nd pts 64% 50% 54% 44% 52%
Breaks
Won 6 5 4 7 22
Converted 6/12 5/9 4/10 7/10 22/41
Converted % 50% 56% 40% 70% 54%
Conceded 7 5 14 4 30
Saved 6/7 3/5 11/14 3/4 23
Saved % 86% 60% 79% 75% 75%
Times Broken 1 2 3 1 7
Korda
R1
Garin
R2
Watanuki
R3
Medvedev
R4
Hurkacz
Total
Score 6-4 1-6 6-3 6-2 6-2 7-5 6-4 7-67 6-3 7-64 3-6 6-3 6-2 1-6 7-67
Tot Set 4 3 3 5 15
Tot Games 34 30 35 46 145
pts 112-96 119-95 123-117 146-144 500-452
Total points 208 214 240 290 952
Winners 46 49 53 65 213
%Winners 41% 41% 43% 45% 43%
SERVE
Aces 16 10 3 8 37
Double Faults 5 2 5 5 17
1st in 61/105 71/119 74/118 87/149 293/491
% 1st in 58% 60% 63% 58% 60%
1st pts 46/61 49/71 53/74 65/87 213/293
% 1st pts 75% 69% 72% 75% 73%
2nd pts 25/44 27/48 19/44 33/62 104/198
% 2nd pts 57% 56% 43% 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 6 5 3 19
Converted 5/9 6/8 5/10 3/9 19/36
Converted % 56% 75% 50% 33% 53%
Conceded 13 17 6 10 46
Saved 10/13 15/17 2/6 7/10 34
Saved % 77% 88% 33% 70% 67%
Times Broken 3 2 4 3 12

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Khachanov
LLLWWL
Korda
LLWLWW
2025 2024 2023
2 - 4
3 - 3
2-3
Hard
3-2

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

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