Alexander Merino and Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva will play each other in the qualifications of the Concepcion Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on CANCHA 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva is the pick to win this match.
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva -> 1.033
Alexander Merino -> 9.3
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Merino vs. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
There is no head to head record between Alexander Merino and Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Alexander Merino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-8 | 0-1 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, the Peruvian reached the qualifications after defeating Esteban Bruna 6-3 7-5.
In the qualifications, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Bruna (6-3 7-5). During the match, Merino scored 73 points vs Bruna’s 63. Merino was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Merino scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 6 double faults. Alexander Merino lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Merino put 46% of his first serves in, winning 77% (24/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (15/36) on the 2nd serve. Merino broke Bruna 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Merino has a unfavourable match record in the last 6 years having won 17% of his matches (3-15). 1-0 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Merino has an overall3-13 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
The Peruvian has a composed 1-0 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Concepcion Challenger
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 50-32 | 0-2 | 50-30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-28 | 3-3 | 21-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-32 | 4-7 | 24-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-24 | 4-3 | 31-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-30 | 8-5 | 24-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 311 (career-high), the Brazilian got to the qualifications after defeating Jakub Paul 6-4 3-6 6-1.
In the qualifications, Joao defeated Paul (6-4 3-6 6-1). During the match Lucas Reis Da scored 93 points vs Paul’s 83. Lucas Reis Da was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Lucas Reis Da bagged 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Lucas Reis Da put 66% of his first serves in, winning 61% (37/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Lucas Reis Da broke Paul 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Joao has a composed 2-2 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Concepcion Challenger
Joao has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Merino | Lucas Reis Da |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 26 |
| Pts | 73-63 | 93-83 |
| Total Points | 136 | 176 |
| Winners | 24 | 37 |
| %Winners | 33% | 40% |
Both Merino and Lucas Reis Da played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva dropped 1 set while Alexander Merino hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Merino has played 1 set(s) less than Lucas Reis Da (2 vs 3). Therefore, Merino played 5 games less than Lucas Reis Da. Merino scored 24 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Lucas Reis Da fired 37 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Merino | Lucas Reis Da |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
| 1st in | 31/67 | 61/92 |
| %1st in | 46% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 37/61 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 15/36 | 15/31 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 48% |
Merino managed to score 1 ace . Lucas Reis Da also fired 2 aces . Merino won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Lucas Reis Da won 61% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Merino | Lucas Reis Da |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 6/12 |
| % Converted | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 40% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
The Peruvian broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Alexander surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. Joao broke his opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Merino | |||
| Q1 Bruna |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 73-63 | 73-63 | |
| Total points | 136 | 136 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 31/67 | 31/67 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 24/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/36 | 15/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Lucas Reis Da | |||
| Q1 Paul |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 93-83 | 93-83 | |
| Total points | 176 | 176 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 61/92 | 61/92 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 37/61 | 37/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 15/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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