Roberto Bautista Agut and Tommy Paul will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 4:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Roberto Bautista Agut who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Roberto Bautista Agut is the pick to win this match.
Roberto Bautista Agut -> 1.84
Tommy Paul -> 1.97
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Prediction and head to head Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Tommy Paul
This will be the 5th time that Roberto Bautista Agut and Tommy Paul play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Bautista-Agut (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Paul won 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in Paris back in 2022.
Roberto Bautista Agut
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-17 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-28 | 11-13 | 10-7 | 9-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-23 | 9-7 | 8-8 | 2-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-20 | 17-9 | 7-3 | 9-6 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 14-10 | 7-7 | 4-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, Bautista-Agut got to the 4th round after defeating Joao Sousa 6-3 6-2 6-2, Brandon Holt 4-6 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-2 and Andy Murray 6-1 6-77 6-3 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Spaniard defeated Murray (6-1 6-77 6-3 6-4). During the match, Bautista-Agut scored 142 points vs Murray’s 103. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 63 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bautista-Agut managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Roberto Bautista Agut was quite effective on serve to win 79% (63/80) of his 1st serve and 68% (19/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Spaniard broke Murray 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has lost 3 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Bautista-Agut has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (353-193). 7-2 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bautista-Agut has an aggregate 167-83 match record in the last years on hard.
Bautista-Agut’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Adelaide.
Bautista-Agut has a compiled 7-2 win-loss record in 2023, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-10 | 10-4 | 12-4 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, Paul got to the 4th round after defeating Jan-Lennard Struff 6-1 7-66 6-2, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-2 2-6 6-74 6-3 6-4 and Jenson Brooksby 6-1 6-4 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Tommy had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (6-1 6-4 6-3). During the match Paul scored 101 points vs Brooksby’s 75. Tommy was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Paul bagged 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tommy Paul was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 80% (37/46) of his 1st serve and 59% (19/32) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Paul broke Brooksby 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paul has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Paul has an aggregate 4-1 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bautista-Agut | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 12 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 107 | 102 |
| Pts | 378-293 | 368-294 |
| Total Points | 671 | 662 |
| Winners | 166 | 161 |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% |
Both Bautista-Agut and Paul played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Roberto Bautista Agut lost 3 sets, while Tommy Paul conceded 2 sets. Bautista-Agut has played 1 set more than Paul (12 vs 11). Therefore, Bautista-Agut played 5 games more than Paul. The Spaniard scored 166 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Paul bagged 161 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bautista-Agut | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 45 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 15 |
| 1st in | 225/318 | 209/315 |
| %1st in | 71% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 166/225 | 161/209 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 59/93 | 55/106 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 52% |
Bautista-Agut fired 21 aces (7 per match). Paul bagged 45 aces (15 per match). Bautista-Agut won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bautista-Agut | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 17 |
| Converted | 17/39 | 17/38 |
| % Converted | 44% | 45% |
| Conceded | 14 | 17 |
| Saved | 8 | 11 |
| % Saved | 57% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 |
Roberto broke his opponents 17 times with a 44% conversion rate. Roberto conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Tommy broke his opponents 17 times with a 45% conversion rate. Tommy conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bautista-Agut | |||||
| R1 Sousa |
R2 Holt |
R3 Murray |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 6-2 | 4-6 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-2 | 6-1 6-77 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 43 | 39 | 107 | |
| pts | 87-56 | 149-134 | 142-103 | 378-293 | |
| Total points | 143 | 283 | 245 | 671 | |
| Winners | 39 | 64 | 63 | 166 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 10 | 5 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 50/77 | 95/133 | 80/108 | 225/318 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 71% | 74% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 39/50 | 64/95 | 63/80 | 166/225 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 67% | 79% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/27 | 23/38 | 19/28 | 59/93 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 61% | 68% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 6/19 | 6/14 | 17/39 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 32% | 43% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 | 2 | 14 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4/8 | 0/2 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Paul | |||||
| R1 Struff |
R2 Davidovich Fokina |
R3 Brooksby |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-66 6-2 | 6-2 2-6 6-74 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 48 | 26 | 102 | |
| pts | 96-62 | 171-157 | 101-75 | 368-294 | |
| Total points | 158 | 328 | 176 | 662 | |
| Winners | 45 | 79 | 37 | 161 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 46% | 37% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 20 | 18 | 7 | 45 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 54/79 | 109/158 | 46/78 | 209/315 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 69% | 59% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 45/54 | 79/109 | 37/46 | 161/209 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 72% | 80% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 21/49 | 19/32 | 55/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 43% | 59% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 7/14 | 5/14 | 17/38 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 36% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 10 | 4 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 5/10 | 4/4 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 100% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWLLL
LLWWWWLWWW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Jeff WolfWolf – Michael MmohMmoh (6-4 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-60 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (7-67 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Daniel EvansEvans (6-4 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Andy MurrayMurray (6-1 6-77 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-1 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-78 6-3 3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-2 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (7-66 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (4-6 4-6 6-1 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (7-67 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-1 3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 6-4 3-6 7-69) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-63 6-4 1-6 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jannik SinnerSinner (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Tommy PaulPaul (3-1) – H2H and prediction
