Novak Djokovic and Alex De Minaur will face off in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 7:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.23
Alex De Minaur -> 4.2

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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Alex De Minaur

There is no head to head record between Novak Djokovic and Alex De Minaur since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
4
High
1
WWWWLWWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-11 21-7 9-3 4-0 5-1 0-0
2024 37-9 15-5 16-3 1-0 5-1 0-0
2023 56-7 27-1 12-3 11-2 6-1 0-0
2022 42-7 2-1 14-4 19-2 7-0 0-0
2021 55-7 19-3 18-3 11-1 7-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 5, Novak reached the 4th round after defeating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-3 6-4 6-0, Enzo Couacaud 6-1 6-75 6-2 6-0 and Grigor Dimitrov 7-67 6-3 6-4.

In the 3rd round, The Serbian had a good straight sets win against Dimitrov (7-67 6-3 6-4). During the match, Djokovic scored 123 points vs Dimitrov’s 105. The Serbian was quite aggressive to blast 60 winners.

Talking about the service games, Djokovic bagged 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Novak Djokovic lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Djokovic put 72% of his first serves in, winning 74% (60/81) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (13/31) on the 2nd serve. Novak broke Dimitrov 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Serbian has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 58% of the points he played.

Djokovic has a marvellous match record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (496-74). 8-0 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Djokovic has an aggregate 233-32 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Adelaide where he overcame Sebastian Korda in the final 6-7(8) 7-6(3) 6-4.

The Serbian has a composed 8-0 win-loss record in 2023, 8-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Djokovic's Record

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-24 30-11 10-5 13-6 3-2 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 24, De Minaur reached the 4th round after beating Yu Hsiou Hsu 6-2 6-2 6-3, Adrian Mannarino 7-63 4-6 6-4 6-1 and Benjamin Bonzi 7-60 6-2 6-1.

In the 3rd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Bonzi (7-60 6-2 6-1). During the match De Minaur scored 108 points vs Bonzi’s 77. De Minaur was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, De Minaur blasted 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (31/39) of his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. De Minaur broke Bonzi 7 times after converting 32% of his break points (7/22).

Overall Performance in this tournament

De Minaur has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Alex has a composed 4-1 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2022. See his history.

Australian Open
De Minaur's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

N.Djokovic
A.De Minaur
8h:13
8h:13
Time on court​
7h:38
7h:38
!
3h:07
3h:07
Last match​
!
2h:08
2h:08
3
3
Match played
3
3
91
91
Games Played​
93
93
10
10
Set played​​
10
10
361
361
Total points​
339
339
120.3
120.3
Avg point​
113
113
153
153
Winners
110
110
51
51
Avg Winners​
36.7
36.7
42%
42%
Ratio winners
32%
32%
-- Serve --
29
29
Aces
19
19
9.7
9.7
Avg Aces
6.3
6.3
9
9
Double Faults
10
10
3
3
Avg Double Faults
3.3
3.3
153/190
153/190
1st won total​
110/142
110/142
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
53/98
53/98
2nd won total​
70/117
70/117
54%
54%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
17/42
17/42
BP won
19/45
19/45
5.7/14
5.7/14
Avg BP won
6.3/15
6.3/15
40%
40%
Won
42%
42%
12
12
Conceded
13
13
4
4
Avg Conceded
4.3
4.3
3
3
Broken
7
7
1
1
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
9
9
Saved
6
6
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Djokovic De Minaur
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 10 10
Tot Games 91 93
Pts 361-261 339-256
Total Points 622 595
Winners 153 110
%Winners 42% 32%

Both Djokovic and De Minaur played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic surrendered 1 set, while Alex De Minaur lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Djokovic and De Minaur have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Djokovic played 2 games less than De Minaur. Novak scored 153 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian recorded 110 winners (32%).

Serve Performance

Serve Djokovic De Minaur
Aces 29 19
Avg per match 9.7 6.3
1st in 190/288 142/259
%1st in 66% 55%
1st pts 153/190 110/142
%1st pts 81% 77%
2nd pts 53/98 70/117
%2nd pts 54% 60%

Djokovic recorded 29 aces (9.7 per match). De Minaur recorded 19 aces (6.3 per match). Djokovic won 81% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Djokovic De Minaur
Won 17 19
Converted 17/42 19/45
% Converted 40% 42%
Conceded 12 13
Saved 9 6
% Saved 75% 46%
Times Broken 3 7

The Serbian broke his opponents 17 times with a 40% conversion rate. Djokovic surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 19 times with a 42% conversion rate. De Minaur conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 46% of the break points that he conceded.

Djokovic
R1
Carballes Baena		 R2
Couacaud		 R3
Dimitrov		 Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-0 6-1 6-75 6-2 6-0 7-67 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 4 3 10
Tot Games 25 34 32 91
pts 93-55 145-101 123-105 361-261
Total points 148 246 228 622
Winners 39 54 60 153
%Winners 42% 37% 49% 42%
SERVE
Aces 9 9 11 29
Double Faults 1 6 2 9
1st in 45/70 64/106 81/112 190/288
% 1st in 64% 60% 72% 66%
1st pts 39/45 54/64 60/81 153/190
% 1st pts 87% 84% 74% 81%
2nd pts 16/25 24/42 13/31 53/98
% 2nd pts 64% 57% 42% 54%
Breaks
Won 5 7 5 17
Converted 5/9 7/21 5/12 17/42
Converted % 56% 33% 42% 40%
Conceded 3 1 8 12
Saved 3/3 1/1 5/8 9
Saved % 100% 100% 63% 88%
Times Broken 0 0 3 3
De Minaur
R1
Hsiou Hsu		 R2
Mannarino		 R3
Bonzi		 Total
Score 6-2 6-2 6-3 7-63 4-6 6-4 6-1 7-60 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 3 4 3 10
Tot Games 25 40 28 93
pts 99-66 132-113 108-77 339-256
Total points 165 245 185 595
Winners 30 49 31 110
%Winners 30% 37% 29% 32%
SERVE
Aces 8 3 8 19
Double Faults 1 5 4 10
1st in 35/63 68/122 39/74 142/259
% 1st in 56% 56% 53% 55%
1st pts 30/35 49/68 31/39 110/142
% 1st pts 86% 72% 79% 77%
2nd pts 20/28 30/54 20/35 70/117
% 2nd pts 71% 56% 57% 60%
Breaks
Won 6 6 7 19
Converted 6/14 6/9 7/22 19/45
Converted % 43% 67% 32% 42%
Conceded 1 6 6 13
Saved 1/1 2/6 3/6 6
Saved % 100% 33% 50% 61%
Times Broken 0 4 3 7

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Djokovic
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De Minaur

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