Andrey Rublev and Holger Rune will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 2:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.6
Andrey Rublev -> 2.34

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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Holger Rune

This will be the 2nd time that Andrey Rublev and Holger Rune square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rune (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Rune won 6-4 7-5 in the 3rd round in Paris back in 2022.

Highlights Holger Rune vs Andrey Rublev – Paris 03-November-2022

Andrey Rublev

Andrey Rublev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
16
High
5
LWWLLLLLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-25 16-13 8-6 6-4 4-2 0-0
2024 43-26 26-11 11-6 6-7 0-2 0-0
2023 56-26 23-12 19-5 6-7 8-2 0-0
2022 51-20 19-7 14-6 18-6 0-1 0-0
2021 53-23 25-10 9-5 12-6 7-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 6, the Russian reached the 4th round after beating Dominic Thiem 6-3 6-4 6-2, Emil Ruusuvuori 6-2 6-4 6-72 6-3 and Daniel Evans 6-4 6-2 6-3.

In the 3rd round, Andrey had a good straight sets win against Evans (6-4 6-2 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 102 points vs Evans’s 76. Rublev was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rublev fired 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrey Rublev was very effective on serve to win 80% (41/51) of his 1st serve and 67% (20/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Evans 4 times after converting 27% of his break points (4/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.

Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (365-207). 3-2 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has a compiled 140-75 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Rublev has an aggregate 3-2 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Rublev's Record

Holger Rune

Holger Rune

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
15
High
4
LWWLWWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-22 20-10 10-6 4-4 2-2 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 10 (career-high), Rune got to the 4th round after beating Filip Krajinovic 6-2 6-3 6-4, Maxime Cressy 7-5 6-4 6-4 and Ugo Humbert 6-4 6-2 7-65.

In the 3rd round, Holger had a good straight sets win against Humbert (6-4 6-2 7-65). During the match Rune scored 100 points vs Humbert’s 82. The Dane was exceptionally aggressive to blast 50 winners.

About the serving games, Rune blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 67% of his first serves in, winning 82% (50/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. The Dane broke Humbert 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Holger hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The Dane has an aggregate 3-1 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.

Australian Open
Rune's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Rublev
H.Rune
7h:01
7h:01
Time on court​
6h:19
6h:19
!
2h:09
2h:09
Last match​
!
2h:09
2h:09
3
3
Match played
3
3
94
94
Games Played​
90
90
10
10
Set played​​
9
9
339
339
Total points​
295
295
113
113
Avg point​
98.3
98.3
161
161
Winners
142
142
53.7
53.7
Avg Winners​
47.3
47.3
47%
47%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
33
33
Aces
26
26
!
11
11
Avg Aces
8.7
8.7
7
7
Double Faults
11
11
2.3
2.3
Avg Double Faults
3.7
3.7
161/204
161/204
1st won total​
142/178
142/178
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
54/103
54/103
2nd won total​
44/88
44/88
52%
52%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
13/45
13/45
BP won
15/27
15/27
4.3/15
4.3/15
Avg BP won
5/9
5/9
!
29%
29%
Won
!
56%
56%
15
15
Conceded
13
13
5
5
Avg Conceded
4.3
4.3
1
1
Broken
4
4
!
0.3
0.3
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
14
14
Saved
9
9
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rublev Rune
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 10 9
Tot Games 94 90
Pts 339-275 295-240
Total Points 614 535
Winners 161 142
%Winners 47% 48%

Both Rublev and Rune played 3 matches. At the moment, Andrey Rublev lost 1 set while Holger Rune hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Rublev has played 1 set more than Rune (10 vs 9). Therefore, Rublev played 4 games more than Rune. Rublev scored 161 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Rune struck 142 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rublev Rune
Aces 33 26
Avg per match 11 8.7
1st in 204/307 178/266
%1st in 66% 67%
1st pts 161/204 142/178
%1st pts 79% 80%
2nd pts 54/103 44/88
%2nd pts 52% 50%

Rublev made 33 aces (11 per match). Rune managed to score 26 aces (8.7 per match). Rublev won 79% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rublev Rune
Won 13 15
Converted 13/45 15/27
% Converted 29% 56%
Conceded 15 13
Saved 14 9
% Saved 93% 69%
Times Broken 1 4

Rublev broke his opponents 13 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Russian dropped his serve once and he saved 93% of the break points that he conceded. The Dane broke his opponents 15 times with a 56% conversion rate. Holger conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Rublev
R1
Thiem		 R2
Ruusuvuori		 R3
Evans		 Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-2 6-2 6-4 6-72 6-3 6-4 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 3 4 3 10
Tot Games 27 40 27 94
pts 98-78 139-121 102-76 339-275
Total points 176 260 178 614
Winners 48 72 41 161
%Winners 49% 52% 40% 47%
SERVE
Aces 7 16 10 33
Double Faults 3 3 1 7
1st in 59/88 94/138 51/81 204/307
% 1st in 67% 68% 63% 66%
1st pts 48/59 72/94 41/51 161/204
% 1st pts 81% 77% 80% 79%
2nd pts 13/29 21/44 20/30 54/103
% 2nd pts 45% 48% 67% 52%
Breaks
Won 4 5 4 13
Converted 4/16 5/14 4/15 13/45
Converted % 25% 36% 27% 29%
Conceded 2 9 4 15
Saved 2/2 8/9 4/4 14
Saved % 100% 89% 100% 96%
Times Broken 0 1 0 1
Rune
R1
Krajinovic		 R2
Cressy		 R3
Humbert		 Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-4 7-5 6-4 6-4 6-4 6-2 7-65
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 27 32 31 90
pts 98-79 97-79 100-82 295-240
Total points 177 176 182 535
Winners 40 52 50 142
%Winners 41% 54% 50% 48%
SERVE
Aces 11 10 5 26
Double Faults 4 5 2 11
1st in 56/83 61/92 61/91 178/266
% 1st in 67% 66% 67% 67%
1st pts 40/56 52/61 50/61 142/178
% 1st pts 71% 85% 82% 80%
2nd pts 14/27 15/31 15/30 44/88
% 2nd pts 52% 48% 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 7 4 4 15
Converted 7/13 4/7 4/7 15/27
Converted % 54% 57% 57% 56%
Conceded 8 2 3 13
Saved 6/8 1/2 2/3 9
Saved % 75% 50% 67% 64%
Times Broken 2 1 1 4

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Rublev
More Stats
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Rune

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