Aryna Sabalenka and Belinda Bencic will play each other in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Belinda Bencic who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Belinda Bencic is the pick to win this match.
Belinda Bencic -> 1.9
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.9
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Belinda Bencic
This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Belinda Bencic clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Sabalenka and Bencic (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Bencic won 6-4 2-6 7-6(7) in the 3rd round in Dubai back in 2019.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Aryna reached the 4th round after beating Tereza Martincova 6-1 6-4, Shelby Rogers 6-3 6-1 and Elise Mertens 6-2 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Mertens (6-2 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 63 points vs Mertens’s 43. The Belarussian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka scored 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was very efficient on serve to win 75% (21/28) of her 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Sabalenka broke Mertens 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 66% of her matches (270-140). 7-0 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a compiled161-76 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Adelaide where she defeated Linda Noskova in the final 6-3 7-6(4).
Aryna has an aggregate 7-0 win-loss record in 2023, 7-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Belinda Bencic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-13 | 24-10 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-18 | 13-9 | 13-4 | 10-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 22-9 | 5-5 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-8 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Bencic got to the 4th round after beating Viktoriya Tomova 6-1 6-2, Claire Liu 7-63 6-3 and Camila Giorgi 6-2 7-5.
In the 3rd round, Bencic had a good straight sets win against Giorgi (6-2 7-5). During the match Bencic scored 74 points vs Giorgi’s 57. Belinda was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Bencic fired 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Belinda Bencic lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Bencic put 61% of her first serves in, winning 69% (27/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the 2nd serve. Belinda broke Giorgi 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bencic hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-0 6-2.
The Swiss has a compiled 8-1 win-loss record in 2023, 8-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 57 |
| Pts | 198-135 | 213-156 |
| Total Points | 333 | 369 |
| Winners | 71 | 79 |
| %Winners | 36% | 37% |
Both Sabalenka and Bencic played 3 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Bencic have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Sabalenka played 7 games less than Bencic. Aryna scored 71 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Bencic struck 79 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 90/154 | 107/171 |
| %1st in | 58% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 71/90 | 79/107 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 37/64 | 31/64 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 48% |
Sabalenka struck 10 aces (3.3 per match). Bencic blasted 11 aces (3.7 per match). Sabalenka won 79% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Bencic won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 15 |
| Converted | 12/24 | 15/30 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 12 | 8 |
| Saved | 10 | 2 |
| % Saved | 83% | 25% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
Aryna broke her opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sabalenka dropped her serve twice and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. The Swiss broke her opponents 15 times with a 50% conversion rate. Belinda conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 25% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||
| R1 Martincova |
R2 Rogers |
R3 Mertens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 16 | 17 | 50 | |
| pts | 60-40 | 75-52 | 63-43 | 198-135 | |
| Total points | 100 | 127 | 106 | 333 | |
| Winners | 27 | 23 | 21 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 31% | 33% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 31/55 | 31/49 | 28/50 | 90/154 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 63% | 56% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 27/31 | 23/31 | 21/28 | 71/90 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 74% | 75% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 11/18 | 14/22 | 37/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 61% | 64% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/11 | 4/7 | 12/24 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 45% | 57% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 67% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Bencic | |||||
| R1 Tomova |
R2 Liu |
R3 Giorgi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 7-63 6-3 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 22 | 20 | 57 | |
| pts | 61-33 | 78-66 | 74-57 | 213-156 | |
| Total points | 94 | 144 | 131 | 369 | |
| Winners | 19 | 33 | 27 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 42% | 36% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 22/35 | 46/72 | 39/64 | 107/171 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 64% | 61% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 19/22 | 33/46 | 27/39 | 79/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 72% | 69% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | 9/26 | 13/25 | 31/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 35% | 52% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | 5/10 | 15/30 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/4 | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | 50% | 17% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Lin ZhuZhu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Shuai ZhangZhang (7-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Belinda BencicBencic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-2) – H2H and prediction
