Karen Khachanov and Yoshihito Nishioka will square off in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:30 pm on John Cain Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 5 sets.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.57
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 2.41
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Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Yoshihito Nishioka
This will be the 4th time that Karen Khachanov and Yoshihito Nishioka square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Nishioka won 7-6(2) 7-6(1) in the 3rd round in Washington back in 2022.
Highlights Yoshihito Nishioka vs Karen Khachanov – Washington 04-August-2022
Karen Khachanov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-24 | 13-11 | 9-6 | 2-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-22 | 14-12 | 8-4 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, the Russian reached the 4th round after beating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 7-63 6-2 6-0, Jason Murray Kubler 6-4 5-7 6-4 6-2 and Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-69.
In the 3rd round, Karen had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (6-3 6-4 3-6 7-69). During the match, Khachanov scored 152 points vs Tiafoe’s 143. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 70 winners.
Regarding the service games, Khachanov buried his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Karen Khachanov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Khachanov put 64% of his first serves in, winning 70% (70/100) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (31/57) on the 2nd serve. Karen broke Tiafoe 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Khachanov has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (344-227). 6-2 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Khachanov has an overall 138-85 match record in the last years on hard.
Karen has an overall 6-2 win-loss record in 2023, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Yoshihito Nishioka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-22 | 16-14 | 0-2 | 10-2 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-24 | 17-15 | 6-7 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-22 | 14-15 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 25-13 | 2-5 | 17-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-26 | 5-11 | 8-7 | 5-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33 (career-high), Yoshihito got to the 4th round after defeating Mikael Ymer 6-4 6-2 7-5, Dalibor Svrcina 6-3 6-4 6-2 and Mackenzie Mcdonald 7-66 6-3 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Mcdonald (7-66 6-3 6-2). During the match Nishioka scored 114 points vs Mcdonald’s 96. Yoshihito was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Nishioka managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Yoshihito Nishioka was quite effective on serve to win 72% (43/60) of his 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Nishioka broke Mcdonald 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yoshihito hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Nishioka’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
The Japanese has an aggregate 6-1 win-loss record in 2023, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Khachanov | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 108 | 87 |
| Pts | 390-326 | 308-246 |
| Total Points | 716 | 554 |
| Winners | 184 | 116 |
| %Winners | 47% | 38% |
Both Khachanov and Nishioka played 3 matches. At the moment, Karen Khachanov lost 2 sets while Yoshihito Nishioka hasn’t dropped a set so far. Khachanov has played 2 sets more than Nishioka (11 vs 9). Therefore, Khachanov played 21 games more than Nishioka. Khachanov scored 184 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese made 116 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Khachanov | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 46 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 15.3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 249/364 | 166/258 |
| %1st in | 68% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 184/249 | 116/166 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 63/115 | 57/92 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 62% |
Khachanov managed to score 46 aces (15.3 per match). Nishioka struck 6 aces (2 per match). Khachanov won 74% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Nishioka won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Khachanov | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 18 |
| Converted | 15/31 | 18/41 |
| % Converted | 48% | 44% |
| Conceded | 26 | 14 |
| Saved | 20 | 8 |
| % Saved | 77% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 |
Khachanov broke his opponents 15 times with a 48% conversion rate. Khachanov lost his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Yoshihito broke his opponents 18 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Khachanov | |||||
| R1 Zapata Miralles | R2 Murray Kubler | R3 Tiafoe | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-2 6-0 | 6-4 5-7 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-69 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 40 | 41 | 108 | |
| pts | 110-71 | 128-112 | 152-143 | 390-326 | |
| Total points | 181 | 240 | 295 | 716 | |
| Winners | 50 | 64 | 70 | 184 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 50% | 46% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 15 | 20 | 46 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 68/90 | 81/117 | 100/157 | 249/364 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 69% | 64% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 50/68 | 64/81 | 70/100 | 184/249 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 79% | 70% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 18/36 | 31/57 | 63/115 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 50% | 54% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 5/9 | 4/10 | 15/31 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 40% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 3/5 | 11/14 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 60% | 79% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Nishioka | |||||
| R1 Ymer | R2 Svrcina | R3 Mcdonald | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 7-5 | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | 7-66 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 27 | 30 | 87 | |
| pts | 96-80 | 98-70 | 114-96 | 308-246 | |
| Total points | 176 | 168 | 210 | 554 | |
| Winners | 40 | 33 | 43 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 34% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 55/86 | 51/77 | 60/95 | 166/258 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 66% | 63% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 40/55 | 33/51 | 43/60 | 116/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 65% | 72% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/31 | 20/26 | 18/35 | 57/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 77% | 51% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/13 | 6/16 | 18/41 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 46% | 38% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 1/3 | 4/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 33% | 67% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Andrey RublevRublev – Daniel EvansEvans (6-4 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-2 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (7-66 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-78 6-3 3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (4-6 4-6 6-1 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 6-4 3-6 7-69) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-63 6-4 1-6 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (7-67 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-1 3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Daniel EvansEvans (6-4 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-2 7-6(5)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (1-9) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jeff WolfWolf – Michael MmohMmoh (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andy MurrayMurray – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jannik SinnerSinner (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction