Karen Khachanov and Yoshihito Nishioka will square off in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:30 pm on John Cain Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.57
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 2.41

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Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Yoshihito Nishioka

This will be the 4th time that Karen Khachanov and Yoshihito Nishioka square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Nishioka won 7-6(2) 7-6(1) in the 3rd round in Washington back in 2022.

Highlights Yoshihito Nishioka vs Karen Khachanov – Washington 04-August-2022

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
18
High
8
LWWLLLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-24 13-11 9-6 2-4 8-3 0-0
2024 37-22 14-12 8-4 14-3 1-3 0-0
2023 34-18 18-10 10-5 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 20, the Russian reached the 4th round after beating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 7-63 6-2 6-0, Jason Murray Kubler 6-4 5-7 6-4 6-2 and Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-69.

In the 3rd round, Karen had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (6-3 6-4 3-6 7-69). During the match, Khachanov scored 152 points vs Tiafoe’s 143. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 70 winners.

Regarding the service games, Khachanov buried his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Karen Khachanov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Khachanov put 64% of his first serves in, winning 70% (70/100) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (31/57) on the 2nd serve. Karen broke Tiafoe 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Khachanov has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (344-227). 6-2 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Khachanov has an overall 138-85 match record in the last years on hard.

Karen has an overall 6-2 win-loss record in 2023, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Khachanov's Record

Yoshihito Nishioka

Yoshihito Nishioka

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
111
High
24
WWWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-22 16-14 0-2 10-2 0-4 0-0
2024 29-24 17-15 6-7 1-0 5-2 0-0
2023 23-22 14-15 5-5 4-1 0-1 0-0
2022 44-25 25-13 2-5 17-6 0-1 0-0
2021 19-26 5-11 8-7 5-5 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 33 (career-high), Yoshihito got to the 4th round after defeating Mikael Ymer 6-4 6-2 7-5, Dalibor Svrcina 6-3 6-4 6-2 and Mackenzie Mcdonald 7-66 6-3 6-2.

In the 3rd round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Mcdonald (7-66 6-3 6-2). During the match Nishioka scored 114 points vs Mcdonald’s 96. Yoshihito was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.

About the serving games, Nishioka managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Yoshihito Nishioka was quite effective on serve to win 72% (43/60) of his 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Nishioka broke Mcdonald 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Yoshihito hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Nishioka’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.

The Japanese has an aggregate 6-1 win-loss record in 2023, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2020. See his history.

Australian Open
Nishioka's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

K.Khachanov
Y.Nishioka
8h:27
8h:27
Time on court​
6h:30
6h:30
!
3h:32
3h:32
Last match​
!
2h:25
2h:25
3
3
Match played
3
3
108
108
Games Played​
87
87
11
11
Set played​​
9
9
390
390
Total points​
308
308
130
130
Avg point​
102.7
102.7
184
184
Winners
116
116
61.3
61.3
Avg Winners​
38.7
38.7
47%
47%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
46
46
Aces
6
6
!
15.3
15.3
Avg Aces
2
2
7
7
Double Faults
6
6
2.3
2.3
Avg Double Faults
2
2
184/249
184/249
1st won total​
116/166
116/166
!
74%
74%
1st won %
70%
70%
63/115
63/115
2nd won total​
57/92
57/92
55%
55%
2nd won %
!
62%
62%
-- Break Points --
15/31
15/31
BP won
18/41
18/41
5/10.3
5/10.3
Avg BP won
6/13.7
6/13.7
48%
48%
Won
44%
44%
26
26
Conceded
14
14
8.7
8.7
Avg Conceded
4.7
4.7
6
6
Broken
6
6
2
2
Avg Broken
2
2
20
20
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Khachanov Nishioka
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 11 9
Tot Games 108 87
Pts 390-326 308-246
Total Points 716 554
Winners 184 116
%Winners 47% 38%

Both Khachanov and Nishioka played 3 matches. At the moment, Karen Khachanov lost 2 sets while Yoshihito Nishioka hasn’t dropped a set so far. Khachanov has played 2 sets more than Nishioka (11 vs 9). Therefore, Khachanov played 21 games more than Nishioka. Khachanov scored 184 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese made 116 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Khachanov Nishioka
Aces 46 6
Avg per match 15.3 2
1st in 249/364 166/258
%1st in 68% 64%
1st pts 184/249 116/166
%1st pts 74% 70%
2nd pts 63/115 57/92
%2nd pts 55% 62%

Khachanov managed to score 46 aces (15.3 per match). Nishioka struck 6 aces (2 per match). Khachanov won 74% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Nishioka won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Khachanov Nishioka
Won 15 18
Converted 15/31 18/41
% Converted 48% 44%
Conceded 26 14
Saved 20 8
% Saved 77% 57%
Times Broken 6 6

Khachanov broke his opponents 15 times with a 48% conversion rate. Khachanov lost his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Yoshihito broke his opponents 18 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Khachanov
R1
Zapata Miralles
R2
Murray Kubler
R3
Tiafoe
Total
Score 7-63 6-2 6-0 6-4 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-69
Tot Set 3 4 4 11
Tot Games 27 40 41 108
pts 110-71 128-112 152-143 390-326
Total points 181 240 295 716
Winners 50 64 70 184
%Winners 45% 50% 46% 47%
SERVE
Aces 11 15 20 46
Double Faults 1 2 4 7
1st in 68/90 81/117 100/157 249/364
% 1st in 76% 69% 64% 68%
1st pts 50/68 64/81 70/100 184/249
% 1st pts 74% 79% 70% 74%
2nd pts 14/22 18/36 31/57 63/115
% 2nd pts 64% 50% 54% 55%
Breaks
Won 6 5 4 15
Converted 6/12 5/9 4/10 15/31
Converted % 50% 56% 40% 48%
Conceded 7 5 14 26
Saved 6/7 3/5 11/14 20
Saved % 86% 60% 79% 75%
Times Broken 1 2 3 6
Nishioka
R1
Ymer
R2
Svrcina
R3
Mcdonald
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 7-5 6-3 6-4 6-2 7-66 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 30 27 30 87
pts 96-80 98-70 114-96 308-246
Total points 176 168 210 554
Winners 40 33 43 116
%Winners 42% 34% 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 3 6
Double Faults 1 1 4 6
1st in 55/86 51/77 60/95 166/258
% 1st in 64% 66% 63% 64%
1st pts 40/55 33/51 43/60 116/166
% 1st pts 73% 65% 72% 70%
2nd pts 19/31 20/26 18/35 57/92
% 2nd pts 61% 77% 51% 62%
Breaks
Won 6 6 6 18
Converted 6/12 6/13 6/16 18/41
Converted % 50% 46% 38% 44%
Conceded 5 3 6 14
Saved 3/5 1/3 4/6 8
Saved % 60% 33% 67% 53%
Times Broken 2 2 2 6

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

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