Hubert Hurkacz and Sebastian Korda will face off in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Korda who should win in 5 sets.
Sebastian Korda -> 1.7
Hubert Hurkacz -> 2.16
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Prediction and head to head Hubert Hurkacz vs. Sebastian Korda
This will be the 2nd time that Hubert Hurkacz and Sebastian Korda play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Hurkacz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Hurkacz won 6-3 6-3 in the final in Delray beach back in 2021.
Highlights Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian Korda – Delray beach 13-January-2021
Hubert Hurkacz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-11 | 4-5 | 7-4 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-19 | 17-10 | 14-4 | 4-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-24 | 23-11 | 5-5 | 13-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-21 | 18-9 | 9-4 | 9-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-23 | 22-9 | 1-4 | 8-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, Hubert got to the 4th round after defeating Pedro Martinez Portero 7-61 6-2 6-2, Lorenzo Sonego 3-6 7-63 2-6 6-3 6-3 and Denis Shapovalov 7-63 6-4 1-6 4-6 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Hubert had a tough win against Shapovalov to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (7-63 6-4 1-6 4-6 6-3). During the match, Hurkacz scored 166 points vs Shapovalov’s 160. Hurkacz was exceptionally aggressive to blast 80 winners.
Talking about the service games, Hurkacz struck 16 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Hubert Hurkacz lost the serve 7 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Hurkacz put 66% of his first serves in, winning 77% (80/104) of the points behind his 1st serve and 31% (17/54) on the 2nd serve. The Pole broke Shapovalov 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Hurkacz has lost 4 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Hurkacz has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (312-192). 5-2 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Hurkacz has a compiled 151-71 match record in the last years on hard.
Hubert’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Australia.
Hubert has an overall 5-2 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Sebastian Korda
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-18 | 12-8 | 5-5 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 17-9 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-16 | 18-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 13-9 | 8-6 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 12-8 | 6-5 | 13-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, Sebastian reached the 4th round after beating Cristian Garin 6-4 1-6 6-3 6-2, Yosuke Watanuki 6-2 7-5 6-4 and Daniil Medvedev 7-67 6-3 7-64.
In the 3rd round, Korda had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (7-67 6-3 7-64). During the match Korda scored 123 points vs Medvedev’s 117. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about serving, Korda fired 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Sebastian Korda lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Korda put 63% of his first serves in, winning 72% (53/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (19/44) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Medvedev 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Korda’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Adelaide.
Korda has a compiled 7-1 win-loss record in 2023, 7-1 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Hurkacz | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 126 | 99 |
| Pts | 416-371 | 354-308 |
| Total Points | 787 | 662 |
| Winners | 204 | 148 |
| %Winners | 49% | 42% |
Both Hurkacz and Korda played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hubert Hurkacz dropped 4 sets, while Sebastian Korda conceded 1 set. Hurkacz has played 3 sets more than Korda (13 vs 10). Therefore, Hurkacz played 27 games more than Korda. The Pole scored 204 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The American struck 148 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Hurkacz | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 49 | 29 |
| Avg per match | 16.3 | 9.7 |
| 1st in | 254/379 | 206/342 |
| %1st in | 67% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 204/254 | 148/206 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 47/125 | 71/136 |
| %2nd pts | 38% | 52% |
Hurkacz recorded 49 aces (16.3 per match). Korda blasted 29 aces (9.7 per match). Hurkacz won 80% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Hurkacz | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 16 |
| Converted | 15/37 | 16/27 |
| % Converted | 41% | 59% |
| Conceded | 29 | 36 |
| Saved | 17 | 27 |
| % Saved | 59% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 12 | 9 |
The Pole broke his opponents 15 times with a 41% conversion rate. Hurkacz surrendered his serve 12 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. Korda broke his opponents 16 times with a 59% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Hurkacz | |||||
| R1 Martinez Portero | R2 Sonego | R3 Shapovalov | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 6-2 6-2 | 3-6 7-63 2-6 6-3 6-3 | 7-63 6-4 1-6 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 48 | 49 | 126 | |
| pts | 96-58 | 154-153 | 166-160 | 416-371 | |
| Total points | 154 | 307 | 326 | 787 | |
| Winners | 46 | 78 | 80 | 204 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 51% | 48% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 24 | 9 | 16 | 49 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 51/70 | 99/151 | 104/158 | 254/379 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 66% | 66% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 46/51 | 78/99 | 80/104 | 204/254 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 79% | 77% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/19 | 16/52 | 17/54 | 47/125 | |
| % 2nd pts | 74% | 31% | 31% | 38% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 5/17 | 6/16 | 15/37 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 29% | 38% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 10 | 19 | 29 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 5/10 | 12/19 | 17 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 63% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Korda | |||||
| R1 Garin | R2 Watanuki | R3 Medvedev | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 1-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 7-5 6-4 | 7-67 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 30 | 35 | 99 | |
| pts | 112-96 | 119-95 | 123-117 | 354-308 | |
| Total points | 208 | 214 | 240 | 662 | |
| Winners | 46 | 49 | 53 | 148 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | 43% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 16 | 10 | 3 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 61/105 | 71/119 | 74/118 | 206/342 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 60% | 63% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 46/61 | 49/71 | 53/74 | 148/206 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 69% | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/44 | 27/48 | 19/44 | 71/136 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 56% | 43% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 6/8 | 5/10 | 16/27 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 75% | 50% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 17 | 6 | 36 | |
| Saved | 10/13 | 15/17 | 2/6 | 27 | |
| Saved % | 77% | 88% | 33% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Andrey RublevRublev – Daniel EvansEvans (6-4 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-63 6-4 1-6 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (7-67 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-1 3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-2 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (7-66 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-78 6-3 3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (4-6 4-6 6-1 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 6-4 3-6 7-69) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Daniel EvansEvans (6-4 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-2 7-6(5)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (1-9) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jeff WolfWolf – Michael MmohMmoh (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andy MurrayMurray – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Jannik SinnerSinner (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction