Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina will face off in the 4th round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:30 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.23
Elena Rybakina -> 4.2
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Elena Rybakina
This will be the 2nd time that Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Swiatek won 7-6(5) 6-2 in the quarter in Ostrava back in 2021.
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 62-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Swiatek got to the 4th round after defeating Jule Niemeier 6-4 7-5, Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 6-2 6-3 and Cristina Bucsa 6-0 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Iga had a good straight sets win against Bucsa (6-0 6-1). During the match, Swiatek scored 52 points vs Bucsa’s 19. Swiatek was extremely aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek managed to score 3 aces and she was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Iga Swiatek was very effective on serve to win 85% (17/20) of her 1st serve and 79% (11/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Pole broke Bucsa 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Iga hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 61% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 80% of her matches (223-57). 6-1 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Swiatek has a compiled97-30 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Pole’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Australia.
The Pole has an aggregate 6-1 win-loss record in 2023, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 1-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, the Kazakhstani reached the 4th round after defeating Elisabetta Cocciaretto 7-5 6-3, Kaja Juvan 6-2 6-1 and Danielle Rose Collins 6-2 5-7 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The Kazakhstani defeated Collins (6-2 5-7 6-2). During the match Rybakina scored 95 points vs Collins’s 75. Elena was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Rybakina fired 8 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Elena Rybakina was very efficient on serve to win 82% (37/45) of her 1st serve and 65% (20/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Elena broke Collins 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rybakina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Rybakina has an overall 4-2 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 64 |
| Pts | 196-127 | 216-157 |
| Total Points | 323 | 373 |
| Winners | 74 | 75 |
| %Winners | 38% | 35% |
Both Swiatek and Rybakina played 3 matches. At the moment, Elena Rybakina conceded 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Rybakina (6 vs 7). Therefore, Swiatek played 12 games less than Rybakina. The Pole scored 74 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Elena scored 75 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 6 |
| 1st in | 103/168 | 91/174 |
| %1st in | 61% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 74/103 | 75/91 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 39/65 | 50/83 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 60% |
Swiatek managed to score 3 aces (1 per match). Rybakina blasted 18 aces (6 per match). Swiatek won 72% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Rybakina won 82% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 13 |
| Converted | 14/23 | 13/26 |
| % Converted | 61% | 50% |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 |
| Saved | 4 | 1 |
| % Saved | 50% | 20% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Iga broke her opponents 14 times with a 61% conversion rate. The Pole conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Elena broke her opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Elena conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 20% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||||
| R1 Niemeier |
R2 Camila Osorio Serrano |
R3 Bucsa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 13 | 52 | |
| pts | 81-68 | 63-40 | 52-19 | 196-127 | |
| Total points | 149 | 103 | 71 | 323 | |
| Winners | 29 | 28 | 17 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 44% | 33% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/78 | 45/56 | 20/34 | 103/168 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 80% | 59% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 28/45 | 17/20 | 74/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 62% | 85% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/40 | 6/11 | 11/14 | 39/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | 79% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 6/8 | 5/10 | 14/23 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 75% | 50% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 40% | – | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| Rybakina | |||||
| R1 Cocciaretto |
R2 Juvan |
R3 Collins |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-2 5-7 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 15 | 28 | 64 | |
| pts | 65-50 | 56-32 | 95-75 | 216-157 | |
| Total points | 115 | 88 | 170 | 373 | |
| Winners | 17 | 21 | 37 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 38% | 39% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 22/55 | 24/43 | 45/76 | 91/174 | |
| % 1st in | 40% | 56% | 59% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 17/22 | 21/24 | 37/45 | 75/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 88% | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/33 | 11/19 | 20/31 | 50/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | 65% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/8 | 4/6 | 13/26 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 50% | 67% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | – | 0% | 8% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWLWWWWL
WLLWLLWWWW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Belinda BencicBencic – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (6-2 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Kateryna BaindlBaindl (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Cristina BucsaBucsa (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Bernarda PeraPera (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Madison KeysKeys (1-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Lin ZhuZhu – Maria SakkariSakkari (7-63 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Katie VolynetsVolynets (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Magda LinetteLinette – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Laura SiegemundSiegemund – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (6-2) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Lin ZhuZhu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Shuai ZhangZhang (7-0) – H2H and prediction
