Holger Rune and Ugo Humbert will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on John Cain Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.444
Ugo Humbert -> 2.78
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Ugo Humbert
This will be the 3rd time that Holger Rune and Ugo Humbert clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Rune (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Rune won 6-4 6-2 in the 2nd round in Basel back in 2022.
Highlights Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbert – Basel 27-October-2022
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-21 | 21-11 | 11-6 | 6-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10 (career-high), Rune reached the 3rd round after beating Filip Krajinovic 6-2 6-3 6-4 and Maxime Cressy 7-5 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Cressy (7-5 6-4 6-4). During the match, Rune scored 97 points vs Cressy’s 79. Holger was pretty aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rune made 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 66% of his first serves in, winning 85% (52/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. The Dane broke Cressy 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rune hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Rune has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 66% of his matches (164-83). 2-1 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rune has a compiled22-21 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
Rune has a composed 2-1 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-23 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-14 | 11-7 | 4-3 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 106, the French player got to the 3rd round after beating Richard Gasquet 6-3 6-4 6-3 and Denis Kudla 6-2 6-75 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Ugo defeated Kudla (6-2 6-75 6-2 6-4). During the match Humbert scored 135 points vs Kudla’s 109. Humbert was extremely aggressive to blast 62 winners.
Talking about serving, Humbert fired 18 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Ugo Humbert was pretty efficient on serve to win 76% (62/82) of his 1st serve and 51% (21/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Kudla 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The French player has an overall 2-2 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 59 | 67 |
| Pts | 195-158 | 230-178 |
| Total Points | 353 | 408 |
| Winners | 92 | 104 |
| %Winners | 47% | 45% |
Both Rune and Humbert played 2 matches. At the moment, Ugo Humbert surrendered 1 set while Holger Rune hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rune has played 1 set(s) less than Humbert (6 vs 7). Therefore, Rune played 8 games less than Humbert. Holger scored 92 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Ugo struck 104 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 30 |
| Avg per match | 10.5 | 15 |
| 1st in | 117/175 | 135/207 |
| %1st in | 67% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 92/117 | 104/135 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 29/58 | 38/72 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 53% |
Rune recorded 21 aces (10.5 per match). Humbert recorded 30 aces (15 per match). Rune won 79% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 11 |
| Converted | 11/20 | 11/26 |
| % Converted | 55% | 42% |
| Conceded | 10 | 11 |
| Saved | 7 | 9 |
| % Saved | 70% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Rune broke his opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Holger lost his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Humbert broke his opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. Humbert conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | ||||
| R1 Krajinovic |
R2 Cressy |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 6-4 | 7-5 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 32 | 59 | |
| pts | 98-79 | 97-79 | 195-158 | |
| Total points | 177 | 176 | 353 | |
| Winners | 40 | 52 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 54% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 10 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 56/83 | 61/92 | 117/175 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 66% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 40/56 | 52/61 | 92/117 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 85% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 15/31 | 29/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 48% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 7/13 | 4/7 | 11/20 | |
| Converted % | 54% | 57% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 2 | 10 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 1/2 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Humbert | ||||
| R1 Gasquet |
R2 Kudla |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 6-75 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 39 | 67 | |
| pts | 95-69 | 135-109 | 230-178 | |
| Total points | 164 | 244 | 408 | |
| Winners | 42 | 62 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 46% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 18 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 53/84 | 82/123 | 135/207 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 67% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 42/53 | 62/82 | 104/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 76% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 21/41 | 38/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 51% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 6/13 | 11/26 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 46% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 6/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 86% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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