Maria Sakkari and Lin Zhu will play each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 10:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.151
Lin Zhu -> 5.45

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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Lin Zhu

This will be the 2nd time that Maria Sakkari and Lin Zhu face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Sakkari won 6-3 6-2 in the qualifications in Melbourne back in 2016.

Maria Sakkari

Maria Sakkari

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
52
High
3
LWWLLWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-29 14-19 7-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2024 25-17 12-8 11-6 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 38-25 26-17 5-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
2022 40-23 21-12 8-5 4-2 7-4 0-0
2021 38-20 23-13 9-4 5-2 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 6, Maria got to the 3rd round after beating Yue Yuan 6-1 6-4 and Diana Shnaider 3-6 7-5 6-3.

In the 2nd round against Shnaider, Maria recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-3). During the match, Sakkari scored 114 points vs Shnaider’s 100. Sakkari was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sakkari bagged 7 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Overall, Maria Sakkari was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (36/51) of her 1st serve and 53% (21/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve 4 times. The Greek broke Shnaider 5 times after converting 29% of her break points (5/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Maria has dropped 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points she played.

Sakkari has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (346-209). 5-1 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sakkari has a composed 161-103 record in the last years on hard.

Sakkari’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Australia.

Sakkari has a composed 5-1 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Sakkari's Record

Lin Zhu

Lin Zhu

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
163
High
31
LLWWLLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-17 19-14 0-0 1-1 1-2 0-0
2024 15-19 12-10 0-5 0-0 3-4 0-0
2023 28-24 23-17 0-2 1-2 4-3 0-0
2022 41-26 34-15 6-6 1-2 0-3 0-0
2021 13-14 8-10 0-1 4-0 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 87, Zhu reached the 3rd round after beating Rebecca Marino 6-2 6-4 and Jil Teichmann 6-2 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Zhu had a good straight sets win against Belen Teichmann (6-2 6-2). During the match Zhu scored 60 points vs Belen Teichmann’s 39. Zhu was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Zhu couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lin Zhu was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (29/37) of her 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Lin broke Belen Teichmann 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Zhu hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.

The Chinese has an aggregate 4-2 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020 and 2021. See her history.

Australian Open
Zhu's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Sakkari
L.Zhu
!
4h:07
4h:07
Time on court​
2h:32
2h:32
!
2h:33
2h:33
Last match​
1h:26
1h:26
2
2
Match played
2
2
47
47
Games Played​
34
34
5
5
Set played​​
4
4
189
189
Total points​
120
120
94.5
94.5
Avg point​
60
60
56
56
Winners
58
58
28
28
Avg Winners​
29
29
30%
30%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
2
2
5
5
Avg Aces
1
1
11
11
Double Faults
3
3
!
5.5
5.5
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
56/74
56/74
1st won total​
58/71
58/71
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
31/60
31/60
2nd won total​
13/27
13/27
52%
52%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
10/30
10/30
BP won
8/14
8/14
5/15
5/15
Avg BP won
4/7
4/7
33%
33%
Won
!
57%
57%
10
10
Conceded
6
6
5
5
Avg Conceded
3
3
5
5
Broken
1
1
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
5
5
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sakkari Zhu
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 4
Tot Games 47 34
Pts 189-154 120-80
Total Points 343 200
Winners 56 58
%Winners 30% 48%

Both Sakkari and Zhu played 2 matches. At the moment, Maria Sakkari surrendered 1 set while Lin Zhu hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sakkari has played 1 set more than Zhu (5 vs 4). Therefore, Sakkari played 13 games more than Zhu. Sakkari scored 56 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Lin blasted 58 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sakkari Zhu
Aces 10 2
Avg per match 5 1
1st in 74/134 71/98
%1st in 55% 72%
1st pts 56/74 58/71
%1st pts 76% 82%
2nd pts 31/60 13/27
%2nd pts 52% 48%

Sakkari struck 10 aces (5 per match). Zhu fired 2 aces (1 per match). Sakkari won 76% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Zhu won 82% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sakkari Zhu
Won 10 8
Converted 10/30 8/14
% Converted 33% 57%
Conceded 10 6
Saved 5 5
% Saved 50% 83%
Times Broken 5 1

Maria broke her opponents 10 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Greek surrendered her serve 5 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Zhu broke her opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Zhu conceded her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded.

Sakkari
R1
Yuan
R2
Shnaider
Total
Score 6-1 6-4 3-6 7-5 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 17 30 47
pts 75-54 114-100 189-154
Total points 129 214 343
Winners 20 36 56
%Winners 27% 32% 30%
SERVE
Aces 3 7 10
Double Faults 2 9 11
1st in 23/43 51/91 74/134
% 1st in 53% 56% 55%
1st pts 20/23 36/51 56/74
% 1st pts 87% 71% 76%
2nd pts 10/20 21/40 31/60
% 2nd pts 50% 53% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/13 5/17 10/30
Converted % 38% 29% 33%
Conceded 4 6 10
Saved 3/4 2/6 5
Saved % 75% 33% 54%
Times Broken 1 4 5
Zhu
R1
Marino
R2
Belen Teichmann
Total
Score 6-2 6-4 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 16 34
pts 60-41 60-39 120-80
Total points 101 99 200
Winners 29 29 58
%Winners 48% 48% 48%
SERVE
Aces 2 0 2
Double Faults 2 1 3
1st in 34/49 37/49 71/98
% 1st in 69% 76% 72%
1st pts 29/34 29/37 58/71
% 1st pts 85% 78% 82%
2nd pts 6/15 7/12 13/27
% 2nd pts 40% 58% 48%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/7 4/7 8/14
Converted % 57% 57% 57%
Conceded 2 4 6
Saved 1/2 4/4 5
Saved % 50% 100% 75%
Times Broken 1 0 1

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw