Yoshihito Nishioka and Mackenzie Mcdonald will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on Court 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yoshihito Nishioka who should win in 5 sets.
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 1.59
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 2.36
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Prediction and head to head Yoshihito Nishioka vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald
This will be the 6th time that Yoshihito Nishioka and Mackenzie Mcdonald play each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Nishioka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Nishioka won 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in Adelaide back in January 2023.
Highlights Yoshihito Nishioka vs Mackenzie Mcdonald – Adelaide 04-January-2023
Yoshihito Nishioka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-22 | 16-14 | 0-2 | 10-2 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-24 | 17-15 | 6-7 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-22 | 14-15 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 25-13 | 2-5 | 17-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-26 | 5-11 | 8-7 | 5-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33 (career-high), Nishioka reached the 3rd round after defeating Mikael Ymer 6-4 6-2 7-5 and Dalibor Svrcina 6-3 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Yoshihito had a good straight sets win against Svrcina (6-3 6-4 6-2). During the match, Nishioka scored 98 points vs Svrcina’s 70. The Japanese was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nishioka scored 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Yoshihito Nishioka lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Nishioka put 66% of his first serves in, winning 65% (33/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 77% (20/26) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Svrcina 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yoshihito hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Nishioka has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (322-201). 5-1 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nishioka has a composed 185-107 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Yoshihito’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
The Japanese has a composed 5-1 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Mackenzie Mcdonald
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-31 | 24-16 | 1-4 | 9-6 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-23 | 18-12 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 23-15 | 0-6 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 16-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-26 | 15-12 | 12-5 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 65, Mackenzie reached the 3rd round after beating Brandon Nakashima 7-65 7-61 1-6 6-710 6-4 and Rafael Nadal 6-4 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Mackenzie had a good straight sets win against Nadal (6-4 6-4 7-5). During the match Mcdonald scored 107 points vs Nadal’s 90. The American was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Mcdonald struck 14 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mackenzie Mcdonald lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Mcdonald put 66% of his first serves in, winning 68% (43/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (20/32) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Nadal 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mcdonald has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Mcdonald has an aggregate 4-2 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nishioka | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 57 | 88 |
| Pts | 194-150 | 274-256 |
| Total Points | 344 | 530 |
| Winners | 73 | 124 |
| %Winners | 38% | 45% |
Both Nishioka and Mcdonald played 2 matches. At the moment, Mackenzie Mcdonald surrendered 2 sets while Yoshihito Nishioka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Nishioka has played 2 set(s) less than Mcdonald (6 vs 8). Therefore, Nishioka played 31 games less than Mcdonald. Nishioka scored 73 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 124 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nishioka | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 14 |
| 1st in | 106/163 | 167/251 |
| %1st in | 65% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 73/106 | 124/167 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 39/57 | 51/84 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 61% |
Nishioka struck 3 aces (1.5 per match). Mcdonald bagged 28 aces (14 per match). Nishioka won 69% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Mcdonald won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nishioka | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 8 |
| Converted | 12/25 | 8/15 |
| % Converted | 48% | 53% |
| Conceded | 8 | 9 |
| Saved | 4 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
Yoshihito broke his opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Yoshihito conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Mcdonald broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nishioka | ||||
| R1 Ymer | R2 Svrcina | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 7-5 | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 27 | 57 | |
| pts | 96-80 | 98-70 | 194-150 | |
| Total points | 176 | 168 | 344 | |
| Winners | 40 | 33 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 34% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 55/86 | 51/77 | 106/163 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 66% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 40/55 | 33/51 | 73/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 65% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/31 | 20/26 | 39/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 77% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/13 | 12/25 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 46% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 1/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 33% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Mcdonald | ||||
| R1 Nakashima | R2 Nadal | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 7-61 1-6 6-710 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 56 | 32 | 88 | |
| pts | 167-166 | 107-90 | 274-256 | |
| Total points | 333 | 197 | 530 | |
| Winners | 81 | 43 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 40% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 14 | 14 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 104/156 | 63/95 | 167/251 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 66% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 81/104 | 43/63 | 124/167 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 68% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 31/52 | 20/32 | 51/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 63% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/8 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 63% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 2/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 50% | 35% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-2 2-6 6-74 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-2 6-4 6-72 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Jeremy ChardyChardy (6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-63 7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Jeff WolfWolf – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (6-1 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Alex MolcanMolcan (3-6 3-6 6-3 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Rafael NadalNadal (6-4 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Taro DanielDaniel (6-3 7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (6-4 5-7 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Lloyd HarrisHarris (6-2 6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – John MillmanMillman (7-5 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-6 7-63 2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Corentin MoutetMoutet (3-6 6-4 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (6-2 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Juncheng ShangShang (6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Constant LestienneLestienne (6-3 3-6 7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-3 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-2 6-4 6-7(2) 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Jeremy ChardyChardy (6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-6(3) 7-6(3) 7-5) – See score progression
- Jeff WolfWolf – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-1 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-2 2-6 6-7(4) 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andy MurrayMurray – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Laslo DjereDjere (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis KudlaKudla – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Michael MmohMmoh – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Daniel EvansEvans (4-4) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon HoltHolt – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maxime CressyCressy – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-2) – H2H and prediction