Frances Tiafoe and Karen Khachanov will square off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:00 pm on John Cain Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.82
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.99
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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Karen Khachanov
This will be the 3rd time that Frances Tiafoe and Karen Khachanov square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Khachanov won 6-3 6-4 6-4 in the 3rd round in at the Wimbledon back in 2021.
Highlights Karen Khachanov vs Frances Tiafoe – Wimbledon 02-July-2021
Frances Tiafoe
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-14 | 5-5 | 11-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-27 | 21-13 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-21 | 21-10 | 8-4 | 4-5 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-25 | 19-11 | 8-6 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 10-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17 (career-high), Francis reached the 3rd round after beating Daniel Altmaier 6-3 6-3 6-75 7-66 and Juncheng Shang 6-4 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Shang (6-4 6-4 6-1). During the match, Tiafoe scored 101 points vs Shang’s 74. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tiafoe overwhelmed his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Frances Tiafoe was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (39/50) of his 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tiafoe broke Shang 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Francis has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.
Tiafoe has good match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (308-212). 7-0 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Tiafoe has a composed 144-99 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Australia where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-2 0-0 ret..
The American has a compiled 7-0 win-loss record in 2023, 7-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Karen Khachanov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-15 | 5-6 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-22 | 14-12 | 8-4 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, the Russian reached the 3rd round after defeating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 7-63 6-2 6-0 and Jason Murray Kubler 6-4 5-7 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Russian defeated Murray Kubler (6-4 5-7 6-4 6-2). During the match Khachanov scored 128 points vs Murray Kubler’s 112. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 64 winners.
About the serving games, Khachanov made 15 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Karen Khachanov lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Khachanov put 69% of his first serves in, winning 79% (64/81) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (18/36) on the 2nd serve. Khachanov broke Murray Kubler 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Khachanov has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Karen has a compiled 5-2 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019, 2020, 2021 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tiafoe | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 71 | 67 |
| Pts | 256-202 | 238-183 |
| Total Points | 458 | 421 |
| Winners | 107 | 114 |
| %Winners | 42% | 48% |
Both Tiafoe and Khachanov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Frances Tiafoe dropped 1 set, while Karen Khachanov surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Tiafoe and Khachanov have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Tiafoe played 4 games more than Khachanov. The American scored 107 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Karen fired 114 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tiafoe | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 44 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 22 | 13 |
| 1st in | 131/207 | 149/207 |
| %1st in | 63% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 107/131 | 114/149 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 49/76 | 32/58 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 55% |
Tiafoe struck 44 aces (22 per match). Khachanov scored 26 aces (13 per match). Tiafoe won 82% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tiafoe | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 11 |
| Converted | 9/32 | 11/21 |
| % Converted | 28% | 52% |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 |
| Saved | 11 | 9 |
| % Saved | 92% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Francis broke his opponents 9 times with a 28% conversion rate. Francis conceded his serve once and he saved 92% of the break points that he conceded. Khachanov broke his opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. Khachanov conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tiafoe | ||||
| R1 Altmaier |
R2 Shang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 6-75 7-66 | 6-4 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 44 | 27 | 71 | |
| pts | 155-128 | 101-74 | 256-202 | |
| Total points | 283 | 175 | 458 | |
| Winners | 68 | 39 | 107 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 39% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 24 | 20 | 44 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 81/129 | 50/78 | 131/207 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 68/81 | 39/50 | 107/131 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 78% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 31/48 | 18/28 | 49/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/16 | 5/16 | 9/32 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 31% | 28% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 4/4 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 100% | 94% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Khachanov | ||||
| R1 Zapata Miralles |
R2 Murray Kubler |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-2 6-0 | 6-4 5-7 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 40 | 67 | |
| pts | 110-71 | 128-112 | 238-183 | |
| Total points | 181 | 240 | 421 | |
| Winners | 50 | 64 | 114 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 50% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 15 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 68/90 | 81/117 | 149/207 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 69% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 50/68 | 64/81 | 114/149 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 18/36 | 32/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 50% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 5/9 | 11/21 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 3/5 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 60% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLWLL
LWWWLWLWWL Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Andrey RublevRublev – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-2 6-4 6-72 6-3) – See score progression
- Jeff WolfWolf – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (6-1 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Jeremy ChardyChardy (6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-63 7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-2 2-6 6-74 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Alex MolcanMolcan (3-6 3-6 6-3 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Rafael NadalNadal (6-4 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-6 7-63 2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (6-4 5-7 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-3 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Lloyd HarrisHarris (6-2 6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – John MillmanMillman (7-5 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Juncheng ShangShang (6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (6-2 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Taro DanielDaniel (6-3 7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Constant LestienneLestienne (6-3 3-6 7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Corentin MoutetMoutet (3-6 6-4 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-2 6-4 6-7(2) 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Jeremy ChardyChardy (6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-6(3) 7-6(3) 7-5) – See score progression
- Jeff WolfWolf – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-1 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-2 2-6 6-7(4) 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andy MurrayMurray – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Laslo DjereDjere (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis KudlaKudla – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Michael MmohMmoh – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Daniel EvansEvans (4-4) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon HoltHolt – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maxime CressyCressy – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-2) – H2H and prediction
