Hubert Hurkacz and Denis Shapovalov will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.9
Hubert Hurkacz -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Hubert Hurkacz vs. Denis Shapovalov

This will be the 5th time that Hubert Hurkacz and Denis Shapovalov clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Hurkacz (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Hurkacz won 6-3 7-6(6) in the 3rd round in Miami back in 2021.

Highlights Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov – Miami 29-March-2021

Hubert Hurkacz

Hubert Hurkacz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
73
High
6
WLLWWWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-11 4-5 7-4 3-2 1-0 0-0
2024 40-19 17-10 14-4 4-3 5-2 0-0
2023 47-24 23-11 5-5 13-5 6-3 0-0
2022 41-21 18-9 9-4 9-6 5-2 0-0
2021 36-23 22-9 1-4 8-7 5-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 11, the Pole got to the 3rd round after defeating Pedro Martinez Portero 7-61 6-2 6-2 and Lorenzo Sonego 3-6 7-63 2-6 6-3 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Hubert had a tough win against Sonego to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (3-6 7-63 2-6 6-3 6-3). During the match, Hurkacz scored 154 points vs Sonego’s 153. Hubert was very aggressive to blast 78 winners.

Talking about the service games, Hurkacz managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Hubert Hurkacz lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Hurkacz put 66% of his first serves in, winning 79% (78/99) of the points behind his 1st serve and 31% (16/52) on the 2nd serve. Hurkacz broke Sonego 5 times after converting 29% of his break points (5/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Hubert has surrendered 2 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Hurkacz has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (311-192). 4-2 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Hurkacz has a compiled 150-71 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Hubert’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Australia.

The Pole has a composed 4-2 win-loss record in 2023, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Hurkacz's Record

Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
23
High
10
LLWWLWWLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-22 14-11 2-5 9-3 1-3 0-0
2024 33-25 9-10 5-6 16-6 3-3 0-0
2023 13-13 6-6 3-3 0-1 4-3 0-0
2022 34-26 22-12 4-4 7-6 1-4 0-0
2021 30-23 11-11 7-6 4-3 8-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 22, Denis got to the 3rd round after defeating Dusan Lajovic 6-4 4-6 6-4 6-1 and Taro Daniel 6-3 7-63 7-5.

In the 2nd round, Shapovalov had a good straight sets win against Daniel (6-3 7-63 7-5). During the match Shapovalov scored 118 points vs Daniel’s 97. Denis was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.

About the serving games, Shapovalov scored 9 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Overall, Denis Shapovalov was very efficient on serve to win 78% (43/55) of his 1st serve and 52% (23/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Denis broke Daniel 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Denis has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Shapovalov has a compiled 4-1 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See his history

.
Australian Open
Shapovalov's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

H.Hurkacz
D.Shapovalov
5h:42
5h:42
Time on court​
5h:08
5h:08
!
3h:53
3h:53
Last match​
!
2h:45
2h:45
2
2
Match played
2
2
77
77
Games Played​
71
71
8
8
Set played​​
7
7
250
250
Total points​
231
231
125
125
Avg point​
115.5
115.5
124
124
Winners
94
94
62
62
Avg Winners​
47
47
50%
50%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
33
33
Aces
25
25
!
16.5
16.5
Avg Aces
!
12.5
12.5
7
7
Double Faults
16
16
3.5
3.5
Avg Double Faults
!
8
8
124/150
124/150
1st won total​
94/117
94/117
!
83%
83%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
30/71
30/71
2nd won total​
48/93
48/93
42%
42%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
9/21
9/21
BP won
11/21
11/21
4.5/10.5
4.5/10.5
Avg BP won
5.5/10.5
5.5/10.5
43%
43%
Won
!
52%
52%
10
10
Conceded
13
13
5
5
Avg Conceded
6.5
6.5
5
5
Broken
5
5
2.5
2.5
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
5
5
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Hurkacz Shapovalov
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 8 7
Tot Games 77 71
Pts 250-211 231-197
Total Points 461 428
Winners 124 94
%Winners 50% 41%

Both Hurkacz and Shapovalov played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hubert Hurkacz surrendered 2 sets, while Denis Shapovalov dropped 1 set. Hurkacz has played 1 set more than Shapovalov (8 vs 7). Therefore, Hurkacz played 6 games more than Shapovalov. Hubert scored 124 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Denis blasted 94 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Hurkacz Shapovalov
Aces 33 25
Avg per match 16.5 12.5
1st in 150/221 117/210
%1st in 68% 56%
1st pts 124/150 94/117
%1st pts 83% 80%
2nd pts 30/71 48/93
%2nd pts 42% 52%

Hurkacz struck 33 aces (16.5 per match). Shapovalov struck 25 aces (12.5 per match). Hurkacz won 83% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Shapovalov won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Hurkacz Shapovalov
Won 9 11
Converted 9/21 11/21
% Converted 43% 52%
Conceded 10 13
Saved 5 8
% Saved 50% 62%
Times Broken 5 5

Hurkacz broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Hubert conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Shapovalov broke his opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.

Hurkacz
R1
Martinez Portero		 R2
Sonego		 Total
Score 7-61 6-2 6-2 3-6 7-63 2-6 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 3 5 8
Tot Games 29 48 77
pts 96-58 154-153 250-211
Total points 154 307 461
Winners 46 78 124
%Winners 48% 51% 50%
SERVE
Aces 24 9 33
Double Faults 1 6 7
1st in 51/70 99/151 150/221
% 1st in 73% 66% 68%
1st pts 46/51 78/99 124/150
% 1st pts 90% 79% 83%
2nd pts 14/19 16/52 30/71
% 2nd pts 74% 31% 42%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/4 5/17 9/21
Converted % 100% 29% 43%
Conceded 0 10 10
Saved 0/0 5/10 5
Saved % – 50% 25%
Times Broken 0 5 5
Shapovalov
R1
Lajovic		 R2
Daniel		 Total
Score 6-4 4-6 6-4 6-1 6-3 7-63 7-5
Tot Set 4 3 7
Tot Games 37 34 71
pts 113-100 118-97 231-197
Total points 213 215 428
Winners 51 43 94
%Winners 45% 36% 41%
SERVE
Aces 16 9 25
Double Faults 7 9 16
1st in 62/111 55/99 117/210
% 1st in 56% 56% 56%
1st pts 51/62 43/55 94/117
% 1st pts 82% 78% 80%
2nd pts 25/49 23/44 48/93
% 2nd pts 51% 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 6 11
Converted 5/12 6/9 11/21
Converted % 42% 67% 52%
Conceded 5 8 13
Saved 3/5 5/8 8
Saved % 60% 63% 62%
Times Broken 2 3 5

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw

Hurkacz
More Stats
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Shapovalov

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