Iga Swiatek and Cristina Bucsa will square off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.03
Cristina Bucsa -> 12.25
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Cristina Bucsa
There is no head to head record between Iga Swiatek and Cristina Bucsa since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-17 | 40-10 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Iga got to the 3rd round after beating Jule Niemeier 6-4 7-5 and Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Iga had a good straight sets win against Camila Osorio Serrano (6-2 6-3). During the match, Swiatek scored 63 points vs Camila Osorio Serrano’s 40. The Pole was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek wasn’t able to score even 1 ace and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 80% of her first serves in, winning 62% (28/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (6/11) on the 2nd serve. Iga broke Camila Osorio Serrano 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Swiatek hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 80% of her matches (222-57). 5-1 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has a composed96-30 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Swiatek’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Australia.
Swiatek has a compiled 5-1 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Cristina Bucsa
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-32 | 24-20 | 2-6 | 5-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-29 | 14-18 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 17-15 | 7-8 | 8-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-31 | 17-8 | 15-12 | 10-6 | 5-4 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 31-27 | 9-7 | 9-11 | 6-6 | 5-2 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 100 (career-high), Cristina reached the 3rd round after beating Kaylah Mcphee 6-4 6-0, Ashlyn Krueger 6-2 6-0, Nao Hibino 7-610 6-2, Eva Lys 2-6 6-0 6-2 and Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 2-6 7-67 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Andreescu, Bucsa recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-67 6-4).During the match Bucsa scored less points (6) than Andreescu. In fact, the world no. 1 won 97 points vs Andreescu’s. That means that Bucsa was more focused during the important points. Bucsa was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Bucsa scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Cristina Bucsa lost the serve 6 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Bucsa put 59% of her first serves in, winning 55% (30/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (22/39) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Andreescu 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bucsa started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Bucsa has an aggregate 5-1 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 104 |
| Pts | 144-108 | 384-317 |
| Total Points | 252 | 701 |
| Winners | 57 | 129 |
| %Winners | 40% | 34% |
Swiatek played 2 matches while Bucsa competed in 5 matches. Bucsa started her run from the qualifications while Swiatek had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Cristina Bucsa lost 2 sets while Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 8 set(s) less than Bucsa (4 vs 12). Therefore, Swiatek played 65 games less than Bucsa. Iga scored 57 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Cristina managed to score 129 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 1 |
| 1st in | 83/134 | 211/344 |
| %1st in | 62% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 57/83 | 129/211 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 28/51 | 76/133 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 57% |
Swiatek didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Bucsa recorded 5 aces (1 per match). Swiatek won 69% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Bucsa won 61% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Bucsa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 26 |
| Converted | 9/13 | 26/53 |
| % Converted | 69% | 49% |
| Conceded | 8 | 33 |
| Saved | 4 | 20 |
| % Saved | 50% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 13 |
Iga broke her opponents 9 times with a 69% conversion rate. Iga lost her serve 4 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Bucsa broke her opponents 26 times with a 49% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||
| R1 Niemeier |
R2 Camila Osorio Serrano |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 39 | |
| pts | 81-68 | 63-40 | 144-108 | |
| Total points | 149 | 103 | 252 | |
| Winners | 29 | 28 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 44% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/78 | 45/56 | 83/134 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 80% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 28/45 | 57/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 62% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/40 | 6/11 | 28/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 6/8 | 9/13 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 75% | 69% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 40% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Bucsa | |||||||
| Q1 Mcphee |
Q2 Krueger |
Q3 Hibino |
R1 Lys |
R2 Andreescu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-2 6-0 | 7-610 6-2 | 2-6 6-0 6-2 | 2-6 7-67 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 14 | 21 | 22 | 31 | 104 | |
| pts | 58-39 | 52-25 | 93-81 | 84-69 | 97-103 | 384-317 | |
| Total points | 97 | 77 | 174 | 153 | 200 | 701 | |
| Winners | 21 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 129 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 33% | 33% | 36% | 31% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 32/54 | 28/36 | 47/80 | 49/80 | 55/94 | 211/344 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 78% | 59% | 61% | 59% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 21/32 | 17/28 | 31/47 | 30/49 | 30/55 | 129/211 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 61% | 66% | 61% | 55% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 8/8 | 17/33 | 16/31 | 22/39 | 76/133 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 100% | 52% | 52% | 56% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 26 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 6/9 | 4/10 | 6/15 | 5/12 | 26/53 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 67% | 40% | 40% | 42% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 2/3 | 6/8 | 5/8 | 2/8 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 67% | 75% | 63% | 25% | 157% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLWWLW
LWWWLWWWLW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Shelby RogersRogers (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (1-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Lauren DavisDavis (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Lin ZhuZhu – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (2-6 7-67 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Xinyu WangWang (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Kateryna BaindlBaindl – Caty McNallyMcNally (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Bernarda PeraPera – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Clara BurelBurel (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Petra KvitovaKvitova (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (3-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (6-71 6-2 7-66) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Anna BondarBondar (7-65 5-7 6-0) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Kaja JuvanJuvan (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Olivia GadeckiGadecki (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Bogdan Ionut ApostolIonut Apostol (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Bogdan BorzaBorza – Francesco VilardoVilardo (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Laslo Urrutia FuentesUrrutia Fuentes – Calin MandaManda (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Taylor TownsendTownsend (1-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Shelby RogersRogers (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Lauren DavisDavis (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Petra MarticMartic (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Claire LiuLiu – Belinda BencicBencic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kimberly BirrellBirrell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Ons JabeurJabeur (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Cristina BucsaBucsa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kateryna KozlovaKozlova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bernarda PeraPera – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Lin ZhuZhu – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (6-2) – H2H and prediction
