Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Korda will square off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 9:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.21
Sebastian Korda -> 4.45
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Sebastian Korda
This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Korda clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Medvedev won 4-6 6-1 6-3 in the 3rd round in Paris back in 2021.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Korda – Paris 04-November-2021
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Daniil got to the 3rd round after beating Marcos Giron 6-0 6-1 6-2 and John Millman 7-5 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Millman (7-5 6-2 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 103 points vs Millman’s 76. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev struck 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 68% of his first serves in, winning 75% (50/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 32% (10/31) on the 2nd serve. Daniil broke Millman 8 times after converting 62% of his break points (8/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 60% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a fantastic match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (428-179). 5-1 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has an overall 186-63 record in the last years on hard.
Medvedev’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.
Medvedev has a composed 5-1 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Sebastian Korda
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-18 | 12-8 | 5-5 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 17-9 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-16 | 18-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 13-9 | 8-6 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 12-8 | 6-5 | 13-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, Korda got to the 3rd round after defeating Cristian Garin 6-4 1-6 6-3 6-2 and Yosuke Watanuki 6-2 7-5 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Watanuki (6-2 7-5 6-4). During the match Korda scored 119 points vs Watanuki’s 95. Sebastian was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about serving, Korda scored 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Korda lost the serve twice and he saved 15 break points. Furthermore, Korda put 60% of his first serves in, winning 69% (49/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (27/48) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Watanuki 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Sebastian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Adelaide.
The American has a compiled 6-1 win-loss record in 2023, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 64 |
| Pts | 194-127 | 231-191 |
| Total Points | 321 | 422 |
| Winners | 90 | 95 |
| %Winners | 46% | 41% |
Both Medvedev and Korda played 2 matches. At the moment, Sebastian Korda lost 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Korda (6 vs 7). Therefore, Medvedev played 15 games less than Korda. The Russian scored 90 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 95 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 9.5 | 13 |
| 1st in | 118/171 | 132/224 |
| %1st in | 69% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 90/118 | 95/132 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 23/53 | 52/92 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 57% |
Medvedev managed to score 19 aces (9.5 per match). Korda blasted 26 aces (13 per match). Medvedev won 76% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 11 |
| Converted | 15/26 | 11/17 |
| % Converted | 58% | 65% |
| Conceded | 13 | 30 |
| Saved | 10 | 25 |
| % Saved | 77% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 15 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponents 11 times with a 65% conversion rate. Korda conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R1 Giron | R2 Millman | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 6-2 | 7-5 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 28 | 49 | |
| pts | 91-51 | 103-76 | 194-127 | |
| Total points | 142 | 179 | 321 | |
| Winners | 40 | 50 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 49% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 10 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 51/73 | 67/98 | 118/171 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 68% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 40/51 | 50/67 | 90/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 75% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 10/31 | 23/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 32% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 8 | 15 | |
| Converted | 7/13 | 8/13 | 15/26 | |
| Converted % | 54% | 62% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 4/7 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 57% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Korda | ||||
| R1 Garin | R2 Watanuki | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 1-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 30 | 64 | |
| pts | 112-96 | 119-95 | 231-191 | |
| Total points | 208 | 214 | 422 | |
| Winners | 46 | 49 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 16 | 10 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 61/105 | 71/119 | 132/224 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 60% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 46/61 | 49/71 | 95/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 69% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/44 | 27/48 | 52/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 56% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 6/8 | 11/17 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 75% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 17 | 30 | |
| Saved | 10/13 | 15/17 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 77% | 88% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores – Australian Open
- Daniel EvansEvans – Jeremy ChardyChardy (6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-2 2-6 6-74 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jeff WolfWolf – Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman (6-1 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-2 6-4 6-72 6-3) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-63 7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-4 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Taro DanielDaniel (6-3 7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – John MillmanMillman (7-5 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-3 6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (6-2 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Rafael NadalNadal (6-4 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Constant LestienneLestienne (6-3 3-6 7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Juncheng ShangShang (6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Lloyd HarrisHarris (6-2 6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Alex MolcanMolcan (3-6 3-6 6-3 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (6-4 5-7 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-6 7-63 2-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Corentin MoutetMoutet (3-6 6-4 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-2 6-4 6-7(2) 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Jeremy ChardyChardy (6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-6(3) 7-6(3) 7-5) – See score progression
- Jeff WolfWolf – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-1 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-2 2-6 6-7(4) 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andy MurrayMurray – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Laslo DjereDjere (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis KudlaKudla – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Jannik SinnerSinner (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Michael MmohMmoh – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Daniel EvansEvans (4-4) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon HoltHolt – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maxime CressyCressy – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-2) – H2H and prediction