Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Korda will square off in the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 9:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.21
Sebastian Korda -> 4.45

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Sebastian Korda

This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Korda clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Medvedev won 4-6 6-1 6-3 in the 3rd round in Paris back in 2021.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Korda – Paris 04-November-2021

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
13
High
1
LWWLWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-23 20-12 6-4 10-4 5-3 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0

Ranked no. 8, Daniil got to the 3rd round after beating Marcos Giron 6-0 6-1 6-2 and John Millman 7-5 6-2 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Millman (7-5 6-2 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 103 points vs Millman’s 76. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev struck 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 68% of his first serves in, winning 75% (50/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 32% (10/31) on the 2nd serve. Daniil broke Millman 8 times after converting 62% of his break points (8/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 60% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a fantastic match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (428-179). 5-1 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has an overall 186-63 record in the last years on hard.

Medvedev’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide.

Medvedev has a composed 5-1 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Medvedev's Record

Sebastian Korda

Sebastian Korda

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
48
High
15
LWWWLWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-18 12-8 5-5 7-5 0-0 0-0
2024 31-19 17-9 5-5 2-2 7-3 0-0
2023 26-16 18-8 1-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2022 34-22 13-9 8-6 12-5 1-2 0-0
2021 36-20 12-8 6-5 13-5 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 31, Korda got to the 3rd round after defeating Cristian Garin 6-4 1-6 6-3 6-2 and Yosuke Watanuki 6-2 7-5 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Watanuki (6-2 7-5 6-4). During the match Korda scored 119 points vs Watanuki’s 95. Sebastian was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Talking about serving, Korda scored 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Korda lost the serve twice and he saved 15 break points. Furthermore, Korda put 60% of his first serves in, winning 69% (49/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (27/48) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Watanuki 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sebastian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Sebastian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Adelaide.

The American has a compiled 6-1 win-loss record in 2023, 6-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See his history.

Australian Open
Korda's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Medvedev
S.Korda
3h:55
3h:55
Time on court​
5h:01
5h:01
!
2h:19
2h:19
Last match​
!
2h:27
2h:27
2
2
Match played
2
2
49
49
Games Played​
64
64
6
6
Set played​​
7
7
194
194
Total points​
231
231
97
97
Avg point​
115.5
115.5
90
90
Winners
95
95
45
45
Avg Winners​
47.5
47.5
46%
46%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
19
19
Aces
26
26
9.5
9.5
Avg Aces
!
13
13
7
7
Double Faults
7
7
3.5
3.5
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
90/118
90/118
1st won total​
95/132
95/132
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
23/53
23/53
2nd won total​
52/92
52/92
43%
43%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
15/26
15/26
BP won
11/17
11/17
7.5/13
7.5/13
Avg BP won
5.5/8.5
5.5/8.5
!
58%
58%
Won
!
65%
65%
13
13
Conceded
30
30
6.5
6.5
Avg Conceded
15
15
3
3
Broken
5
5
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
10
10
Saved
25
25

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Korda
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 7
Tot Games 49 64
Pts 194-127 231-191
Total Points 321 422
Winners 90 95
%Winners 46% 41%

Both Medvedev and Korda played 2 matches. At the moment, Sebastian Korda lost 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t lost a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Korda (6 vs 7). Therefore, Medvedev played 15 games less than Korda. The Russian scored 90 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 95 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Korda
Aces 19 26
Avg per match 9.5 13
1st in 118/171 132/224
%1st in 69% 59%
1st pts 90/118 95/132
%1st pts 76% 72%
2nd pts 23/53 52/92
%2nd pts 43% 57%

Medvedev managed to score 19 aces (9.5 per match). Korda blasted 26 aces (13 per match). Medvedev won 76% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Korda
Won 15 11
Converted 15/26 11/17
% Converted 58% 65%
Conceded 13 30
Saved 10 25
% Saved 77% 83%
Times Broken 3 5

Medvedev broke his opponents 15 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponents 11 times with a 65% conversion rate. Korda conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R1
Giron
R2
Millman
Total
Score 6-0 6-1 6-2 7-5 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 21 28 49
pts 91-51 103-76 194-127
Total points 142 179 321
Winners 40 50 90
%Winners 44% 49% 46%
SERVE
Aces 9 10 19
Double Faults 4 3 7
1st in 51/73 67/98 118/171
% 1st in 70% 68% 69%
1st pts 40/51 50/67 90/118
% 1st pts 78% 75% 76%
2nd pts 13/22 10/31 23/53
% 2nd pts 59% 32% 43%
Breaks
Won 7 8 15
Converted 7/13 8/13 15/26
Converted % 54% 62% 58%
Conceded 6 7 13
Saved 6/6 4/7 10
Saved % 100% 57% 79%
Times Broken 0 3 3
Korda
R1
Garin
R2
Watanuki
Total
Score 6-4 1-6 6-3 6-2 6-2 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 4 3 7
Tot Games 34 30 64
pts 112-96 119-95 231-191
Total points 208 214 422
Winners 46 49 95
%Winners 41% 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 16 10 26
Double Faults 5 2 7
1st in 61/105 71/119 132/224
% 1st in 58% 60% 59%
1st pts 46/61 49/71 95/132
% 1st pts 75% 69% 72%
2nd pts 25/44 27/48 52/92
% 2nd pts 57% 56% 57%
Breaks
Won 5 6 11
Converted 5/9 6/8 11/17
Converted % 56% 75% 65%
Conceded 13 17 30
Saved 10/13 15/17 25
Saved % 77% 88% 83%
Times Broken 3 2 5

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

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