Jessica Pegula and Aliaksandra Sasnovich will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.22
Aliaksandra Sasnovich -> 4.3
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich
This will be the 2nd time that Jessica Pegula and Aliaksandra Sasnovich face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Pegula won 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2022.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich – U.S. Open 01-September-2022
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-14 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the American reached the 2nd round after defeating Jaqueline Cristian 6-0 6-1.
In the 1st round, Jessica had a good straight sets win against Cristian (6-0 6-1). During the match, Pegula scored 61 points vs Cristian’s 32. Jessica was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pegula made 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Jessica Pegula conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 67% of her first serves in, winning 83% (25/30) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Cristian 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (245-149). 5-1 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has a compiled 146-79 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Martina Trevisan in the final 6-4 6-2.
Jessica has an overall 5-1 win-loss record in 2023, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-23 | 10-12 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-26 | 16-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-21 | 18-10 | 12-7 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-23 | 11-9 | 8-6 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-12 | 9-6 | 10-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 38, Sasnovich reached the 2nd round after beating Brenda Fruhvirtova 7-5 6-2.
In the 1st round, Sasnovich had a good straight sets win against Fruhvirtova (7-5 6-2). During the match Sasnovich scored 65 points vs Fruhvirtova’s 47. Aliaksandra was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Sasnovich scored 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Aliaksandra Sasnovich lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Sasnovich put 64% of her first serves in, winning 78% (28/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (8/20) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Fruhvirtova 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
The Belarussian has a composed 1-2 win-loss record in 2023, 1-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018 and 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Sasnovich |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 13 | 20 |
| Pts | 61-32 | 65-47 |
| Total Points | 93 | 112 |
| Winners | 25 | 28 |
| %Winners | 41% | 43% |
Both Pegula and Sasnovich played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Sasnovich have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Pegula played 7 games less than Sasnovich. Pegula scored 25 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Aliaksandra bagged 28 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Sasnovich |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 6 |
| 1st in | 30/45 | 36/56 |
| %1st in | 67% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 28/36 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 8/20 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 40% |
Pegula recorded 2 aces . Sasnovich scored 6 aces . Pegula won 83% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Sasnovich won 78% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 40% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Sasnovich |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 63% | 63% |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Saved | 3 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Jessica broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The American quite strong on her serve as she has never lost a single service game after saving 3 break points. The Belarussian broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Belarussian conceded her serve twice and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||
| R1 Cristian |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 61-32 | 61-32 | |
| Total points | 93 | 93 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 30/45 | 30/45 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 25/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 7/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Sasnovich | |||
| R1 Fruhvirtova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 65-47 | 65-47 | |
| Total points | 112 | 112 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 36/56 | 36/56 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 28/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/20 | 8/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 40% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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