H2H, PREDICTION Rafael Nadal vs Mackenzie Mcdonald | Australian Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Nadal and Mcdonald will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald

Rafael Nadal and Mackenzie Mcdonald will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.086
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 7.6

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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald

This will be the 2nd time that Rafael Nadal and Mackenzie Mcdonald play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Nadal won 6-1 6-0 6-3 in the 2nd round in at the French Open back in 2020.

Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Mackenzie Mcdonald – French Open 30-September-2020

Rafael Nadal

Rafael Nadal
Rafael Nadal

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
154
High
1
LLWLWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 12-8 2-1 10-6 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 1-3 1-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 39-8 23-3 10-2 1-3 5-0 0-0
2021 24-5 5-2 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 27-7 13-3 9-1 5-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard reached the 2nd round after defeating Jack Draper 7-5 2-6 6-4 6-1.

In the 1st round, Rafael defeated Draper (7-5 2-6 6-4 6-1). During the match, Nadal scored 124 points vs Draper’s 110. Rafael was quite aggressive to blast 57 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nadal struck 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Rafael Nadal was very effective on serve to win 73% (57/78) of his 1st serve and 51% (21/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. Nadal broke Draper 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Nadal has an impressive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 82% of his matches (410-90). 1-2 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Nadal has an overall 171-46 match record in the last years on hard.

The Spaniard has an overall 1-2 win-loss record in 2023, 1-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Nadal
Australian Open
Nadal's Record

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Mackenzie Mcdonald
Mackenzie Mcdonald

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
132
High
37
LWLWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 26-23 18-12 0-4 3-1 5-6 0-0
2023 35-30 23-15 0-6 4-3 8-6 0-0
2022 27-31 16-16 4-6 4-5 3-4 0-0
2021 42-26 15-12 12-5 9-6 6-3 0-0
2020 15-16 10-11 1-1 4-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 65, Mcdonald reached the 2nd round after beating Brandon Nakashima 7-65 7-61 1-6 6-710 6-4.

In the 1st round, Mackenzie had a tough win against Nakashima to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (7-65 7-61 1-6 6-710 6-4). During the match Mcdonald scored 167 points vs Nakashima’s 166. Mackenzie was very aggressive to blast 81 winners.

Talking about serving, Mcdonald blasted 14 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Mackenzie Mcdonald was quite efficient on serve to win 78% (81/104) of his 1st serve and 60% (31/52) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. Mackenzie broke Nakashima 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Mackenzie has a composed 3-2 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See his history.

Mcdonald
Australian Open
Mcdonald's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament

R.Nadal
M.Mcdonald
3h:41
3h:41
Time on court​
4h:02
4h:02
!
3h:41
3h:41
Last match​
!
4h:02
4h:02
1
1
Match played
1
1
37
37
Games Played​
56
56
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
124
124
Total points​
167
167
124
124
Avg point​
167
167
57
57
Winners
81
81
57
57
Avg Winners​
81
81
46%
46%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
14
14
6
6
Avg Aces
!
14
14
3
3
Double Faults
4
4
3
3
Avg Double Faults
4
4
57/78
57/78
1st won total​
81/104
81/104
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
21/41
21/41
2nd won total​
31/52
31/52
51%
51%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
6/12
6/12
BP won
3/7
3/7
6/12
6/12
Avg BP won
3/7
3/7
50%
50%
Won
43%
43%
11
11
Conceded
5
5
11
11
Avg Conceded
5
5
4
4
Broken
4
4
4
4
Avg Broken
4
4
7
7
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nadal Mcdonald
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 37 56
Pts 124-110 167-166
Total Points 234 333
Winners 57 81
%Winners 46% 49%

Both Nadal and Mcdonald played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Rafael Nadal dropped 1 set, while Mackenzie Mcdonald surrendered 2 sets. Nadal has played 1 set(s) less than Mcdonald (4 vs 5). Therefore, Nadal played 19 games less than Mcdonald. Rafael scored 57 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Mcdonald fired 81 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nadal Mcdonald
Aces 6 14
Avg per match 6 14
1st in 78/119 104/156
%1st in 66% 67%
1st pts 57/78 81/104
%1st pts 73% 78%
2nd pts 21/41 31/52
%2nd pts 51% 60%

Nadal fired 6 aces . Mcdonald scored 14 aces . Nadal won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Mcdonald won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nadal Mcdonald
Won 6 3
Converted 6/12 3/7
% Converted 50% 43%
Conceded 11 5
Saved 7 1
% Saved 64% 20%
Times Broken 4 4

Nadal broke his opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Mackenzie broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 20% of the break points that he conceded.

Nadal
R1
Draper
Total
Score 7-5 2-6 6-4 6-1
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 37 37
pts 124-110 124-110
Total points 234 234
Winners 57 57
%Winners 46% 46%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 78/119 78/119
% 1st in 66% 66%
1st pts 57/78 57/78
% 1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 21/41 21/41
% 2nd pts 51% 51%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/12 6/12
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 11 11
Saved 7/11 7
Saved % 64% 64%
Times Broken 4 4
Mcdonald
R1
Nakashima
Total
Score 7-65 7-61 1-6 6-710 6-4
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 56 56
pts 167-166 167-166
Total points 333 333
Winners 81 81
%Winners 49% 49%
SERVE
Aces 14 14
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 104/156 104/156
% 1st in 67% 67%
1st pts 81/104 81/104
% 1st pts 78% 78%
2nd pts 31/52 31/52
% 2nd pts 60% 60%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/7 3/7
Converted % 43% 43%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 1/5 1
Saved % 20% 20%
Times Broken 4 4

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Nadal
LLWLWWWWLL
Mcdonald
LWLWWWWWWW
2024 2023 2022
12 - 7
25 - 23
2-1
Hard
18-12
0-0
I Hard
2-1
10-6
Clay
0-4
0-0
Grass
5-6

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

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