Hugo Gaston and Alexandre Muller will square off in the qualifications of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 10:00 am on Court 8. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Gaston who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Hugo Gaston is the pick to win this match.
Hugo Gaston -> 1.7
Alexandre Muller -> 2.09

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Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Alexandre Muller

This will be the 3rd time that Hugo Gaston and Alexandre Muller face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Gaston and Muller (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Gaston won 6-2 0-6 6-0 in the semifinal in the Barcelona Challenger back in 2021.

Hugo Gaston

Hugo Gaston

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
98
High
58
LWWWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-31 9-12 6-14 15-4 0-1 0-0
2024 31-31 5-12 15-11 8-6 3-2 0-0
2023 45-32 6-5 30-18 8-6 1-3 0-0
2022 27-31 4-9 4-8 16-11 3-3 0-0
2021 44-30 2-3 32-16 10-10 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 105, Hugo reached the qualifications after defeating Egor Gerasimov 6-1 6-1.

In the qualifications, The French player had a good straight sets win against Gerasimov (6-1 6-1). During the match, Gaston scored 55 points vs Gerasimov’s 27. Hugo was quite aggressive to blast 13 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gaston made 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Hugo Gaston was very effective on serve to win 81% (13/16) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Gaston broke Gerasimov 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Gaston has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (167-121). 2-1 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Gaston has an overall30-22 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

The French player has a compiled 2-1 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Gaston's Record

Alexandre Muller

Alexandre Muller

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
42
High
38
LWWLWLLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-29 12-12 11-10 3-4 0-3 0-0
2024 35-32 11-14 20-12 3-5 1-1 0-0
2023 46-33 20-13 18-12 7-7 1-1 0-0
2022 38-31 6-6 27-20 4-4 1-1 0-0
2021 27-31 6-7 16-15 5-7 0-2 0-0

Ranked no. 161, Alexandre got to the qualifications after beating James McCabe 7-62 6-74 6-3.

In the qualifications, The French player defeated McCabe (7-62 6-74 6-3). During the match Muller scored 113 points vs McCabe’s 97. Alexandre was quite aggressive to blast 54 winners.

Talking about serving, Muller managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Alexandre Muller was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (54/71) of his 1st serve and 71% (17/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Muller broke McCabe 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Alexandre has a compiled 4-1 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See his history.

Australian Open
Muller's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

H.Gaston
A.Muller
0h:53
0h:53
Time on court​
!
2h:45
2h:45
!
0h:53
0h:53
Last match​
!
2h:45
2h:45
1
1
Match played
1
1
14
14
Games Played​
35
35
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
55
55
Total points​
113
113
55
55
Avg point​
113
113
13
13
Winners
54
54
13
13
Avg Winners​
54
54
24%
24%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
5
5
6
6
Avg Aces
5
5
3
3
Double Faults
4
4
3
3
Avg Double Faults
4
4
13/16
13/16
1st won total​
54/71
54/71
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
14/22
14/22
2nd won total​
17/24
17/24
!
64%
64%
2nd won %
!
71%
71%
-- Break Points --
6/9
6/9
BP won
3/9
3/9
6/9
6/9
Avg BP won
3/9
3/9
!
67%
67%
Won
33%
33%
1
1
Conceded
2
2
1
1
Avg Conceded
2
2
1
1
Broken
1
1
1
1
Avg Broken
1
1
0
0
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Gaston Muller
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 14 35
Pts 55-27 113-97
Total Points 82 210
Winners 13 54
%Winners 24% 48%

Both Gaston and Muller played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Alexandre Muller surrendered 1 set while Hugo Gaston hasn’t dropped a set so far. Gaston has played 1 set(s) less than Muller (2 vs 3). Therefore, Gaston played 21 games less than Muller. Hugo scored 13 winners (24% of the total points). On the other side, Muller made 54 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Gaston Muller
Aces 6 5
Avg per match 6 5
1st in 16/38 71/95
%1st in 42% 75%
1st pts 13/16 54/71
%1st pts 81% 76%
2nd pts 14/22 17/24
%2nd pts 64% 71%

Gaston fired 6 aces . Muller fired 5 aces . Gaston won 81% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Muller won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 71% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Gaston Muller
Won 6 3
Converted 6/9 3/9
% Converted 67% 33%
Conceded 1 2
Saved 0 1
% Saved 0% 50%
Times Broken 1 1

The French player broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The French player lost his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Muller broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Alexandre conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Gaston
Q1
Gerasimov
Total
Score 6-1 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 14 14
pts 55-27 55-27
Total points 82 82
Winners 13 13
%Winners 24% 24%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 16/38 16/38
% 1st in 42% 42%
1st pts 13/16 13/16
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 14/22 14/22
% 2nd pts 64% 64%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/9 6/9
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 0/1 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 1 1
Muller
Q1
McCabe
Total
Score 7-62 6-74 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 35 35
pts 113-97 113-97
Total points 210 210
Winners 54 54
%Winners 48% 48%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 71/95 71/95
% 1st in 75% 75%
1st pts 54/71 54/71
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 17/24 17/24
% 2nd pts 71% 71%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/9 3/9
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 1/2 1
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

Upcoming matches in the draw