Matteo Arnaldi and Alex Bolt will play each other in the qualifications of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 10:00 am on Court 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.3
Alex Bolt -> 3.36

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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Alex Bolt

There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Alex Bolt since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
62
High
30
LLWWWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-26 11-14 7-6 5-4 0-2 0-0
2024 29-26 17-13 10-9 1-2 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 134, Matteo reached the qualifications after beating Alexander Ritschard 6-3 7-5.

In the qualifications, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Ritschard (6-3 7-5). During the match, Arnaldi scored 79 points vs Ritschard’s 66. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Arnaldi recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Matteo Arnaldi was very efficient on serve to win 75% (30/40) of his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Arnaldi broke Ritschard 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Arnaldi has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 62% of his matches (138-83). 2-1 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Arnaldi has a composed38-14 record in the last 6 years on hard.

Arnaldi has an aggregate 2-1 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Matteo has never competed in this tournament before.

Australian Open
Arnaldi's Record

Alex Bolt

Alex Bolt

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
185
High
125
WLWWWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-22 24-16 0-1 0-0 9-5 0-0
2024 48-78 26-21 0-0 1-1 21-56 0-0
2023 27-22 22-17 0-2 0-0 5-3 0-0
2022 11-10 11-10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 19-18 7-6 0-7 2-2 10-3 0-0

Ranked no. 639, Bolt got to the qualifications after defeating Renzo Olivo 6-1 6-2.

In the qualifications, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Olivo (6-1 6-2). During the match Bolt scored 56 points vs Olivo’s 34. Bolt was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about serving, Bolt fired 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alex Bolt conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 54% of his first serves in, win 82% (23/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. Bolt was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Olivo 4 times.

Bolt has an aggregate 1-1 win-loss record in 2023, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See his history.

Australian Open
Bolt's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Arnaldi
A.Bolt
!
1h:44
1h:44
Time on court​
1h:00
1h:00
1h:44
1h:44
Last match​
1h:00
1h:00
1
1
Match played
1
1
21
21
Games Played​
15
15
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
79
79
Total points​
56
56
79
79
Avg point​
56
56
30
30
Winners
23
23
30
30
Avg Winners​
23
23
38%
38%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
4
4
3
3
Avg Aces
4
4
1
1
Double Faults
1
1
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1
1
30/40
30/40
1st won total​
23/28
23/28
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
19/34
19/34
2nd won total​
12/24
12/24
56%
56%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
3/5
3/5
BP won
4/4
4/4
3/5
3/5
Avg BP won
4/4
4/4
!
60%
60%
Won
!
100%
100%
5
5
Conceded
0
0
5
5
Avg Conceded
0
0
1
1
Broken
0
0
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0
0
4
4
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Arnaldi Bolt
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 21 15
Pts 79-66 56-34
Total Points 145 90
Winners 30 23
%Winners 38% 41%

Both Arnaldi and Bolt played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Arnaldi and Bolt have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Arnaldi played 6 games more than Bolt. Matteo scored 30 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Alex made 23 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Arnaldi Bolt
Aces 3 4
Avg per match 3 4
1st in 40/74 28/52
%1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 30/40 23/28
%1st pts 75% 82%
2nd pts 19/34 12/24
%2nd pts 56% 50%

Arnaldi managed to score 3 aces . Bolt scored 4 aces . Arnaldi won 75% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Bolt won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Arnaldi Bolt
Won 3 4
Converted 3/5 4/4
% Converted 60% 100%
Conceded 5 0
Saved 4 0
% Saved 80% 0%
Times Broken 1 0

The Italian broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Arnaldi surrendered his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Australian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Arnaldi
Q1
Ritschard
Total
Score 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 21 21
pts 79-66 79-66
Total points 145 145
Winners 30 30
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 40/74 40/74
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 30/40 30/40
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 19/34 19/34
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/5 3/5
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 4/5 4
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 1 1
Bolt
Q1
Olivo
Total
Score 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 15 15
pts 56-34 56-34
Total points 90 90
Winners 23 23
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 28/52 28/52
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 23/28 23/28
% 1st pts 82% 82%
2nd pts 12/24 12/24
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/4 4/4
Converted % 100% 100%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

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