Mackenzie Mcdonald and Mikael Ymer will square off in the 2nd round of the Adelaide International 2 for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on COURT 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mikael Ymer who should win in 3 sets.
Mikael Ymer -> 1.75
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Mackenzie Mcdonald vs. Mikael Ymer
This will be the 2nd time that Mackenzie Mcdonald and Mikael Ymer clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Ymer (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Ymer won 6-4 6-3 in the qualifications in Auckland back in 2020.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-31 | 24-16 | 1-4 | 9-6 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-23 | 18-12 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 23-15 | 0-6 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 16-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-26 | 15-12 | 12-5 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 63, the American got to the 2nd round after beating Daniel Evans 7-5 7-5.
In the 1st round, Mcdonald had a good straight sets win against Evans (7-5 7-5). During the match, Mcdonald scored 83 points vs Evans’s 68. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mcdonald managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Mackenzie Mcdonald was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (29/40) of his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Mcdonald broke Evans 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Mcdonald has winning record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (251-187). 2-1 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mcdonald has a composed 163-111 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Mackenzie has a composed 2-1 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Mikael Ymer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-10 | 0-1 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-18 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 11-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-25 | 9-6 | 3-8 | 17-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-24 | 9-5 | 10-7 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 77, Ymer got to the 2nd round after beating Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-1 1-1 ret., Jordan Thompson 7-64 7-5 and Emil Ruusuvuori 6-4 4-6 6-3.
In the 1st round, Ymer defeated Ruusuvuori (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match Ymer scored 97 points vs Ruusuvuori’s 87. The Swede was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Ymer scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Mikael Ymer was quite effective on serve to win 73% (41/56) of his 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Swede broke Ruusuvuori 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Mikael has an overall 3-1 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mcdonald | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 24 | 63 |
| Pts | 83-68 | 221-181 |
| Total Points | 151 | 402 |
| Winners | 29 | 88 |
| %Winners | 35% | 40% |
Mcdonald played 1 match while Ymer competed in 3 matches. Ymer started his run from the qualifications while Mcdonald had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Mikael Ymer dropped 1 set while Mackenzie Mcdonald hasn’t dropped a set so far. Mcdonald has played 6 set(s) less than Ymer (2 vs 8). Therefore, Mcdonald played 39 games less than Ymer. Mackenzie scored 29 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Ymer scored 88 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mcdonald | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 40/73 | 125/182 |
| %1st in | 55% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 29/40 | 88/125 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 39/57 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 68% |
Mcdonald bagged 8 aces . Ymer blasted 5 aces (1.7 per match). Mcdonald won 73% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mcdonald | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 9 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 9/23 |
| % Converted | 63% | 39% |
| Conceded | 4 | 9 |
| Saved | 1 | 4 |
| % Saved | 25% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Mcdonald broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Mcdonald surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. Ymer broke his opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Mikael conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mcdonald | |||
| R1 Evans | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 83-68 | 83-68 | |
| Total points | 151 | 151 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 40/73 | 40/73 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 29/40 | 29/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 17/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Ymer | |||||
| Q1 Basilashvili | Q3 Thompson | R1 Ruusuvuori | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 1-1 ret. | 7-64 7-5 | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 9 | 25 | 29 | 63 | |
| pts | 40-27 | 84-67 | 97-87 | 221-181 | |
| Total points | 67 | 151 | 184 | 402 | |
| Winners | 14 | 33 | 41 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 39% | 42% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 21/30 | 48/69 | 56/83 | 125/182 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | 67% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 14/21 | 33/48 | 41/56 | 88/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 69% | 73% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/9 | 15/21 | 17/27 | 39/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 71% | 63% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 4/9 | 3/8 | 9/23 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 44% | 38% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/6 | 1/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 33% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores in Adelaide
- Tommy PaulPaul – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Mikael YmerYmer – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-62 7-5) – See score progression
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (4-6 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Soon-Woo KwonKwon – Tomas MachacMachac (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- John MillmanMillman – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (4-6 6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Andre Goransson/Ben McLachlanGoransson/Ben McLachlan – Nicolas Barrientos/Ariel BeharBarrientos/Ariel Behar (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Kyle EdmundEdmund (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-2 7-63) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Daniel EvansEvans (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-0 6-75 7-5) – See score progression
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-6(2) 7-5) – See score progression
- John MillmanMillman – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (4-6 6-3 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (4-6 7-6(5) 6-4) – See score progression
- Mikael YmerYmer – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Soon-Woo KwonKwon – Tomas MachacMachac (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- John MillmanMillman – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Mikael YmerYmer (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Soon-Woo KwonKwon – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Maxime CressyCressy (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-2) – H2H and prediction