Mackenzie Mcdonald and Mikael Ymer will square off in the 2nd round of the Adelaide International 2 for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on COURT 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mikael Ymer who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mikael Ymer is the pick to win this match.
Mikael Ymer -> 1.75
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 2.08

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Mackenzie Mcdonald vs. Mikael Ymer

This will be the 2nd time that Mackenzie Mcdonald and Mikael Ymer clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Ymer (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Ymer won 6-4 6-3 in the qualifications in Auckland back in 2020.

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Mackenzie Mcdonald

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
112
High
37
LWWLWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-31 24-16 1-4 9-6 6-5 0-0
2024 26-23 18-12 0-4 3-1 5-6 0-0
2023 35-30 23-15 0-6 4-3 8-6 0-0
2022 27-31 16-16 4-6 4-5 3-4 0-0
2021 42-26 15-12 12-5 9-6 6-3 0-0

Ranked no. 63, the American got to the 2nd round after beating Daniel Evans 7-5 7-5.

In the 1st round, Mcdonald had a good straight sets win against Evans (7-5 7-5). During the match, Mcdonald scored 83 points vs Evans’s 68. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mcdonald managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Mackenzie Mcdonald was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (29/40) of his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Mcdonald broke Evans 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Mcdonald has winning record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (251-187). 2-1 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mcdonald has a composed 163-111 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Mackenzie has a composed 2-1 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Adelaide

Adelaide
Mcdonald's Record

Mikael Ymer

Mikael Ymer

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
620
High
50
LWLWLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-10 0-1 10-6 6-3 0-0 0-0
2024 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 24-18 6-7 3-3 11-4 4-4 0-0
2022 31-25 9-6 3-8 17-9 2-2 0-0
2021 27-24 9-5 10-7 5-9 3-3 0-0

Ranked no. 77, Ymer got to the 2nd round after beating Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-1 1-1 ret., Jordan Thompson 7-64 7-5 and Emil Ruusuvuori 6-4 4-6 6-3.

In the 1st round, Ymer defeated Ruusuvuori (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match Ymer scored 97 points vs Ruusuvuori’s 87. The Swede was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about serving, Ymer scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Mikael Ymer was quite effective on serve to win 73% (41/56) of his 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Swede broke Ruusuvuori 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Mikael has an overall 3-1 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Adelaide

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See his history.

Adelaide
Ymer's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Mcdonald
M.Ymer
1h:48
1h:48
Time on court​
!
5h:07
5h:07
1h:48
1h:48
Last match​
!
2h:23
2h:23
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
24
24
Games Played​
63
63
2
2
Set played​​
8
8
83
83
Total points​
221
221
83
83
Avg point​
73.7
73.7
29
29
Winners
88
88
29
29
Avg Winners​
29.3
29.3
35%
35%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
5
5
8
8
Avg Aces
1.7
1.7
2
2
Double Faults
6
6
2
2
Avg Double Faults
2
2
29/40
29/40
1st won total​
88/125
88/125
!
73%
73%
1st won %
70%
70%
17/33
17/33
2nd won total​
39/57
39/57
52%
52%
2nd won %
!
68%
68%
-- Break Points --
5/8
5/8
BP won
9/23
9/23
5/8
5/8
Avg BP won
3/7.7
3/7.7
!
63%
63%
Won
39%
39%
4
4
Conceded
9
9
4
4
Avg Conceded
3
3
3
3
Broken
5
5
3
3
Avg Broken
1.7
1.7
1
1
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Mcdonald Ymer
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 8
Tot Games 24 63
Pts 83-68 221-181
Total Points 151 402
Winners 29 88
%Winners 35% 40%

Mcdonald played 1 match while Ymer competed in 3 matches. Ymer started his run from the qualifications while Mcdonald had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Mikael Ymer dropped 1 set while Mackenzie Mcdonald hasn’t dropped a set so far. Mcdonald has played 6 set(s) less than Ymer (2 vs 8). Therefore, Mcdonald played 39 games less than Ymer. Mackenzie scored 29 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Ymer scored 88 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Mcdonald Ymer
Aces 8 5
Avg per match 8 1.7
1st in 40/73 125/182
%1st in 55% 69%
1st pts 29/40 88/125
%1st pts 73% 70%
2nd pts 17/33 39/57
%2nd pts 52% 68%

Mcdonald bagged 8 aces . Ymer blasted 5 aces (1.7 per match). Mcdonald won 73% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Mcdonald Ymer
Won 5 9
Converted 5/8 9/23
% Converted 63% 39%
Conceded 4 9
Saved 1 4
% Saved 25% 44%
Times Broken 3 5

Mcdonald broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Mcdonald surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. Ymer broke his opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Mikael conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.

Mcdonald
R1
Evans
Total
Score 7-5 7-5
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 24 24
pts 83-68 83-68
Total points 151 151
Winners 29 29
%Winners 35% 35%
SERVE
Aces 8 8
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 40/73 40/73
% 1st in 55% 55%
1st pts 29/40 29/40
% 1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 17/33 17/33
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/8 5/8
Converted % 63% 63%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 1/4 1
Saved % 25% 25%
Times Broken 3 3
Ymer
Q1
Basilashvili
Q3
Thompson
R1
Ruusuvuori
Total
Score 6-1 1-1 ret. 7-64 7-5 6-4 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 9 25 29 63
pts 40-27 84-67 97-87 221-181
Total points 67 151 184 402
Winners 14 33 41 88
%Winners 35% 39% 42% 40%
SERVE
Aces 4 0 1 5
Double Faults 1 2 3 6
1st in 21/30 48/69 56/83 125/182
% 1st in 70% 70% 67% 69%
1st pts 14/21 33/48 41/56 88/125
% 1st pts 67% 69% 73% 70%
2nd pts 7/9 15/21 17/27 39/57
% 2nd pts 78% 71% 63% 68%
Breaks
Won 2 4 3 9
Converted 2/6 4/9 3/8 9/23
Converted % 33% 44% 38% 39%
Conceded 0 6 3 9
Saved 0/0 3/6 1/3 4
Saved % 50% 33% 83%
Times Broken 0 3 2 5

Tennis Scores in Adelaide

Upcoming matches in the draw