Madison Keys and Lucia Bronzetti will face off in the final of the United Cup for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 7:30 pm on Ken Rosewall Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.148
Lucia Bronzetti -> 5.5
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Lucia Bronzetti
There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Lucia Bronzetti since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, Madison reached the final after defeating Marie Bouzkova 6-4 6-3, Jule Niemeier 6-2 6-3, Katie Swan 2-6 6-3 6-4 and Magda Linette 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, Madison had a good straight sets win against Linette (6-4 6-2). During the match, Keys scored 68 points vs Linette’s 54. The American was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Keys bagged 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Madison Keys lost the serve once. Furthermore, Keys put 67% of her first serves in, winning 68% (26/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the 2nd serve. Madison broke Linette 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Madison has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Keys has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (236-137). 4-0 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has a composed 145-83 match record in the last years on hard.
Madison’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Australia.
The American has a compiled 4-0 win-loss record in 2023, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Australia
Madison has never competed in this tournament before.
Lucia Bronzetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-34 | 17-22 | 9-8 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-30 | 15-17 | 10-9 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-26 | 18-10 | 13-10 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 14-4 | 38-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-11 | 0-2 | 5-4 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 54 (career-high), Lucia got to the final after beating Laura Pigossi 6-0 6-2, Ulrikke Eikeri 6-2 7-5 and Valentini Grammatikopoulou 6-2 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Grammatikopoulou (6-2 6-3). During the match Bronzetti scored 61 points vs Grammatikopoulou’s 44. Bronzetti was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Bronzetti couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Lucia Bronzetti conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Bronzetti put 61% of her first serves in, winning 84% (26/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Bronzetti broke Grammatikopoulou 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Lucia hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.
The Italian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Australia.
Lucia has an overall 3-1 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Australia
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 81 | 51 |
| Pts | 285-229 | 203-139 |
| Total Points | 514 | 342 |
| Winners | 121 | 72 |
| %Winners | 42% | 35% |
Keys played 4 matches while Bronzetti competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Madison Keys conceded 1 set while Lucia Bronzetti hasn’t lost a set so far. Keys has played 3 sets more than Bronzetti (9 vs 6). Therefore, Keys played 30 games more than Bronzetti. Keys scored 121 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Bronzetti managed to score 72 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 172/245 | 95/173 |
| %1st in | 70% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 121/172 | 72/95 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 39/73 | 39/78 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 50% |
Keys fired 8 aces (2 per match). Bronzetti fired 8 aces (2.7 per match). Keys won 70% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Bronzetti won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 16 |
| Converted | 16/33 | 16/22 |
| % Converted | 48% | 73% |
| Conceded | 16 | 16 |
| Saved | 8 | 12 |
| % Saved | 50% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 4 |
Madison broke her opponents 16 times with a 48% conversion rate. Keys surrendered her serve 8 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Lucia broke her opponents 16 times with a 73% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | ||||||
| Round Robin Niemeier |
Round Robin Bouzkova |
1/4 Swan |
1/2 Linette |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 27 | 18 | 81 | |
| pts | 66-41 | 61-44 | 90-90 | 68-54 | 285-229 | |
| Total points | 107 | 105 | 180 | 122 | 514 | |
| Winners | 27 | 23 | 45 | 26 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% | 50% | 38% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 33/44 | 31/48 | 70/96 | 38/57 | 172/245 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 65% | 73% | 67% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 23/31 | 45/70 | 26/38 | 121/172 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 74% | 64% | 68% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/11 | 11/17 | 10/26 | 11/19 | 39/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 65% | 38% | 58% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/7 | 4/10 | 4/8 | 16/33 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 57% | 40% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 16 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/2 | 8/12 | 0/1 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% | 17% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
| Bronzetti | ||||||
| Round Robin Eikeri |
Round Robin Pigossi |
1/4 Linette |
1/2 Grammatikopoulou |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 6-0 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 66 | |
| pts | 83-63 | 59-32 | – | 61-44 | 203-139 | |
| Total points | 146 | 91 | 0 | 105 | 342 | |
| Winners | 26 | 20 | 26 | 72 | ||
| %Winners | 31% | 34% | 0% | 43% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | ||
| 1st in | 35/75 | 29/47 | / | 31/51 | 95/173 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 62% | 0% | 61% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 20/29 | / | 26/31 | 72/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 69% | 0% | 84% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/40 | 10/18 | / | 10/20 | 39/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 56% | 0% | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 4 | 16 | ||
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/7 | / | 4/5 | 16/22 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 86% | 0% | 80% | 73% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 2 | 3 | 16 | ||
| Saved | 8/11 | 1/2 | 0/ | 3/3 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 50% | – | 100% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | ||
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLLW
WWLLWWWLWL Tennis Scores in Australia
- Adrian BodmerBodmer – Louis WesselsWessels (7-65 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
