Aryna Sabalenka and Linda Noskova will play each other in the final of the Adelaide International 1 for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.48
Linda Noskova -> 2.65
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Linda Noskova
There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Linda Noskova since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-9 | 14-4 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Sabalenka got to the final after beating Liudmila Samsonova 7-68 7-63, Marketa Vondrousova 6-3 7-5 and Irina-Camelia Begu 6-3 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Begu (6-3 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 60 points vs Begu’s 43. Sabalenka was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka struck 6 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was pretty effective on serve to win 81% (25/31) of her 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Belarussian broke Begu 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 54% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 66% of her matches (266-140). 3-0 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled157-76 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Aryna’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
The Belarussian has a composed 3-0 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Linda Noskova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-12 | 14-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-20 | 22-10 | 6-5 | 5-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-17 | 10-5 | 14-5 | 16-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-11 | 13-7 | 10-4 | 15-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 102, Noskova got to the final after beating Anna Kalinskaya 3-6 6-2 7-67, Anastasia Potapova 6-3 6-2, Daria Kasatkina 6-3 6-72 6-3, Claire Liu 6-2 6-2, Victoria Azarenka 6-4 6-73 7-66 and Ons Jabeur 6-3 1-6 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Czech defeated Jabeur (6-3 1-6 6-3). During the match Noskova scored 87 points vs Jabeur’s 86. Noskova was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
About the serving games, Noskova fired 8 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Linda Noskova lost the serve twice and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Noskova put 61% of her first serves in, winning 66% (39/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (21/38) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Jabeur twice after converting 33% of her break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Czech started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Noskova’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide.
The Czech has a composed 6-0 win-loss record in 2023, 6-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Noskova has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 16 |
| Tot Games | 64 | 155 |
| Pts | 233-198 | 550-496 |
| Total Points | 431 | 1046 |
| Winners | 99 | 236 |
| %Winners | 42% | 43% |
Sabalenka played 3 matches while Noskova competed in 6 matches. Noskova started her run from the qualifications while Sabalenka had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Linda Noskova surrendered 4 sets while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sabalenka has played 10 set(s) less than Noskova (6 vs 16). Therefore, Sabalenka played 91 games less than Noskova. Sabalenka scored 99 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Linda bagged 236 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 32 |
| Avg per match | 7.7 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 143/224 | 357/547 |
| %1st in | 64% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 99/143 | 236/357 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 44/81 | 92/190 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 48% |
Sabalenka recorded 23 aces (7.7 per match). Noskova made 32 aces (5.3 per match). Sabalenka won 69% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Noskova won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Noskova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 28 |
| Converted | 10/26 | 28/61 |
| % Converted | 38% | 46% |
| Conceded | 21 | 53 |
| Saved | 16 | 35 |
| % Saved | 76% | 66% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 18 |
Aryna broke her opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Belarussian dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 76% of the break points that she conceded. The Czech broke her opponents 28 times with a 46% conversion rate. Linda conceded her serve 18 times and she saved 66% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||
| R2 Samsonova |
1/4 Vondrousova |
1/2 Begu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-68 7-63 | 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 21 | 17 | 64 | |
| pts | 93-89 | 80-66 | 60-43 | 233-198 | |
| Total points | 182 | 146 | 103 | 431 | |
| Winners | 42 | 32 | 25 | 99 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 40% | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 6 | 6 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 5 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 68/96 | 44/73 | 31/55 | 143/224 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 60% | 56% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 42/68 | 32/44 | 25/31 | 99/143 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 73% | 81% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/28 | 14/29 | 13/24 | 44/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 48% | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/12 | 3/7 | 10/26 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 33% | 43% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 8 | 3 | 21 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 6/8 | 3/3 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 75% | 100% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
| Noskova | ||||||||
| Q1 Kalinskaya |
Q3 Potapova |
R1 Kasatkina |
R2 Liu |
1/4 Azarenka |
1/2 Jabeur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 7-67 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-72 6-3 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 6-73 7-66 | 6-3 1-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 17 | 31 | 16 | 36 | 25 | 155 | |
| pts | 94-93 | 67-48 | 117-102 | 64-44 | 121-123 | 87-86 | 550-496 | |
| Total points | 187 | 115 | 219 | 108 | 244 | 173 | 1046 | |
| Winners | 41 | 31 | 48 | 25 | 52 | 39 | 236 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 46% | 41% | 39% | 43% | 45% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 22 | |
| 1st in | 65/95 | 42/65 | 79/117 | 36/56 | 76/117 | 59/97 | 357/547 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 65% | 68% | 64% | 65% | 61% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 41/65 | 31/42 | 48/79 | 25/36 | 52/76 | 39/59 | 236/357 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 74% | 61% | 69% | 68% | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/30 | 10/23 | 17/38 | 12/20 | 19/41 | 21/38 | 92/190 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | 45% | 60% | 46% | 55% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 28 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/7 | 8/15 | 4/5 | 5/16 | 2/6 | 28/61 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 57% | 53% | 80% | 31% | 33% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 53 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 5/6 | 8/14 | 2/2 | 7/11 | 10/12 | 35 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 83% | 57% | 100% | 64% | 83% | 142% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 18 | |
Head 2 Head
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