Daniil Medvedev and Karen Khachanov will play each other in the quarter of the Adelaide International 1 for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.24
Karen Khachanov -> 4.1
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Karen Khachanov
This will be the 4th time that Daniil Medvedev and Karen Khachanov face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 6-1 7-6(6) in the semifinal in Montreal back in 2019.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Karen Khachanov – Montreal 10-August-2019
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Medvedev reached the quarter after defeating Lorenzo Sonego 7-66 2-1 ret. and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-0 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (6-0 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 59 points vs Kecmanovic’s 34. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (29/38) of his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Daniil broke Kecmanovic 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Medvedev has a remarkable record in the last 10 years having won 70% of his matches (425-178). 2-0 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has a composed 183-62 record in the last years on hard.
Medvedev has a compiled 2-0 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Daniil has never competed in this tournament before.
Karen Khachanov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-24 | 13-11 | 9-6 | 2-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-22 | 14-12 | 8-4 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, Khachanov reached the quarter after beating Pedro Cachin 6-2 6-4 and Jack Draper 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Khachanov had a good straight sets win against Draper (6-4 6-2). During the match Khachanov scored 71 points vs Draper’s 49. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Khachanov made 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Karen Khachanov was very effective on serve to win 82% (32/39) of his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karen broke Draper 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Khachanov has an aggregate 2-0 win-loss record in 2023, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 36 |
| Pts | 125-95 | 140-98 |
| Total Points | 220 | 238 |
| Winners | 59 | 62 |
| %Winners | 47% | 44% |
Both Medvedev and Khachanov played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Medvedev has played 1 set more than Khachanov (5 vs 4). However, it’s interesting to notice that Medvedev played 5 games less than Khachanov. The Russian scored 59 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian blasted 62 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 83/121 | 73/114 |
| %1st in | 69% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 59/83 | 62/73 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 22/38 | 21/41 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 51% |
Medvedev struck 12 aces (6 per match). Khachanov managed to score 13 aces (6.5 per match). Medvedev won 71% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 7/21 |
| % Converted | 45% | 33% |
| Conceded | 11 | 8 |
| Saved | 10 | 7 |
| % Saved | 91% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Daniil broke his opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded. Khachanov broke his opponents 7 times with a 33% conversion rate. Karen conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R1 Sonego | R2 Kecmanovic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 2-1 ret. | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 15 | 31 | |
| pts | 66-61 | 59-34 | 125-95 | |
| Total points | 127 | 93 | 220 | |
| Winners | 30 | 29 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 49% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 45/70 | 38/51 | 83/121 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 75% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 30/45 | 29/38 | 59/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 76% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 7/13 | 22/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 54% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Converted | 1/4 | 4/7 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 57% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 1 | 11 | |
| Saved | 9/10 | 1/1 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 90% | 100% | 95% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Khachanov | ||||
| R1 Cachin | R2 Draper | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 36 | |
| pts | 69-49 | 71-49 | 140-98 | |
| Total points | 118 | 120 | 238 | |
| Winners | 30 | 32 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 45% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 34/61 | 39/53 | 73/114 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 74% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 30/34 | 32/39 | 62/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 82% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/27 | 9/14 | 21/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 64% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 3/9 | 7/21 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 1 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 1/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 100% | 93% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-0) – H2H and prediction