Yoshihito Nishioka and Mackenzie Mcdonald will play each other in the 2nd round of the Adelaide International 1 for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on SHOWCOURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yoshihito Nishioka who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Yoshihito Nishioka is the pick to win this match.
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 1.64
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 2.26

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Yoshihito Nishioka vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald

This will be the 5th time that Yoshihito Nishioka and Mackenzie Mcdonald square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Nishioka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Mcdonald won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Moscow back in 2021.

Yoshihito Nishioka

Yoshihito Nishioka

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
111
High
24
WWWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-22 16-14 0-2 10-2 0-4 0-0
2024 29-24 17-15 6-7 1-0 5-2 0-0
2023 23-22 14-15 5-5 4-1 0-1 0-0
2022 44-25 25-13 2-5 17-6 0-1 0-0
2021 19-26 5-11 8-7 5-5 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 36 (career-high), Nishioka got to the 2nd round after defeating Holger Rune 2-6 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round against Rune, Yoshihito recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-4). During the match, Nishioka scored 91 points vs Rune’s 90. Yoshihito was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nishioka wasn’t able to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 8 double faults. Yoshihito Nishioka lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Nishioka put 63% of his first serves in, winning 67% (36/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Rune 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Nishioka has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (318-200). 1-0 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nishioka has a compiled 181-106 record in the last years on hard.

Nishioka has a compiled 1-0 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Adelaide

Adelaide
Nishioka's Record

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Mackenzie Mcdonald

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
112
High
37
LWWLWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-31 24-16 1-4 9-6 6-5 0-0
2024 26-23 18-12 0-4 3-1 5-6 0-0
2023 35-30 23-15 0-6 4-3 8-6 0-0
2022 27-31 16-16 4-6 4-5 3-4 0-0
2021 42-26 15-12 12-5 9-6 6-3 0-0

Ranked no. 63, Mcdonald got to the 2nd round after defeating Daniel Elahi Galan 6-3 0-0 ret..

In the 1st round against Elahi Galan Riveros, Mackenzie had a free pass after Elahi Galan Riveros retired on a 6-3 0-0 . scoreline.

The American has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Adelaide

Mackenzie has never competed in this tournament before.

Adelaide
Mcdonald's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

Y.Nishioka
M.Mcdonald
!
2h:05
2h:05
Time on court​
0h:40
0h:40
!
2h:05
2h:05
Last match​
!
0h:40
0h:40
1
1
Match played
1
1
28
28
Games Played​
9
9
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
91
91
Total points​
33
33
91
91
Avg point​
33
33
36
36
Winners
14
14
36
36
Avg Winners​
14
14
40%
40%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
0
0
Aces
4
4
0
0
Avg Aces
4
4
8
8
Double Faults
1
1
!
8
8
Avg Double Faults
1
1
36/54
36/54
1st won total​
14/14
14/14
67%
67%
1st won %
!
100%
100%
16/32
16/32
2nd won total​
2/6
2/6
50%
50%
2nd won %
!
33%
33%
-- Break Points --
4/11
4/11
BP won
2/2
2/2
4/11
4/11
Avg BP won
2/2
2/2
36%
36%
Won
!
100%
100%
9
9
Conceded
0
0
9
9
Avg Conceded
0
0
4
4
Broken
0
0
4
4
Avg Broken
!
0
0
5
5
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nishioka Mcdonald
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 28 9
Pts 91-90 33-26
Total Points 181 59
Winners 36 14
%Winners 40% 42%

Both Nishioka and Mcdonald played 1 match. At the moment, Yoshihito Nishioka conceded 1 set while Mackenzie Mcdonald hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Talking about their workload, Nishioka and Mcdonald have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Nishioka played 19 games more than Mcdonald. Nishioka scored 36 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The American struck 14 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nishioka Mcdonald
Aces 0 4
Avg per match 0 4
1st in 54/86 14/20
%1st in 63% 70%
1st pts 36/54 14/14
%1st pts 67% 100%
2nd pts 16/32 2/6
%2nd pts 50% 33%

Nishioka didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Mcdonald struck 4 aces . Nishioka won 67% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Mcdonald won 100% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 33% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nishioka Mcdonald
Won 4 2
Converted 4/11 2/2
% Converted 36% 100%
Conceded 9 0
Saved 5 0
% Saved 56% 0%
Times Broken 4 0

Nishioka broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Japanese dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Mcdonald broke his opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. Mcdonald was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Nishioka
R1
Rune
Total
Score 2-6 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 28 28
pts 91-90 91-90
Total points 181 181
Winners 36 36
%Winners 40% 40%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 8 8
1st in 54/86 54/86
% 1st in 63% 63%
1st pts 36/54 36/54
% 1st pts 67% 67%
2nd pts 16/32 16/32
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/11 4/11
Converted % 36% 36%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 5/9 5
Saved % 56% 56%
Times Broken 4 4
Mcdonald
R1
Elahi Galan Riveros
Total
Score 6-3 0-0 ret.
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 9 9
pts 33-26 33-26
Total points 59 59
Winners 14 14
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 14/20 14/20
% 1st in 70% 70%
1st pts 14/14 14/14
% 1st pts 100% 100%
2nd pts 2/6 2/6
% 2nd pts 33% 33%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/2 2/2
Converted % 100% 100%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores in Adelaide

Upcoming matches in the draw