Yoshihito Nishioka and Mackenzie Mcdonald will play each other in the 2nd round of the Adelaide International 1 for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on SHOWCOURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yoshihito Nishioka who should win in 3 sets.
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 1.64
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 2.26
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Prediction and head to head Yoshihito Nishioka vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald
This will be the 5th time that Yoshihito Nishioka and Mackenzie Mcdonald square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Nishioka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Mcdonald won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Moscow back in 2021.
Yoshihito Nishioka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-22 | 16-14 | 0-2 | 10-2 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-24 | 17-15 | 6-7 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-22 | 14-15 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 25-13 | 2-5 | 17-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-26 | 5-11 | 8-7 | 5-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36 (career-high), Nishioka got to the 2nd round after defeating Holger Rune 2-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round against Rune, Yoshihito recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-4). During the match, Nishioka scored 91 points vs Rune’s 90. Yoshihito was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nishioka wasn’t able to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 8 double faults. Yoshihito Nishioka lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Nishioka put 63% of his first serves in, winning 67% (36/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Rune 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Nishioka has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (318-200). 1-0 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nishioka has a compiled 181-106 record in the last years on hard.
Nishioka has a compiled 1-0 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Mackenzie Mcdonald
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-31 | 24-16 | 1-4 | 9-6 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-23 | 18-12 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 23-15 | 0-6 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 16-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-26 | 15-12 | 12-5 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 63, Mcdonald got to the 2nd round after defeating Daniel Elahi Galan 6-3 0-0 ret..
In the 1st round against Elahi Galan Riveros, Mackenzie had a free pass after Elahi Galan Riveros retired on a 6-3 0-0 . scoreline.
The American has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Mackenzie has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nishioka | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 9 |
| Pts | 91-90 | 33-26 |
| Total Points | 181 | 59 |
| Winners | 36 | 14 |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% |
Both Nishioka and Mcdonald played 1 match. At the moment, Yoshihito Nishioka conceded 1 set while Mackenzie Mcdonald hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Talking about their workload, Nishioka and Mcdonald have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Nishioka played 19 games more than Mcdonald. Nishioka scored 36 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The American struck 14 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nishioka | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 4 |
| 1st in | 54/86 | 14/20 |
| %1st in | 63% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 36/54 | 14/14 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 100% |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 2/6 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 33% |
Nishioka didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Mcdonald struck 4 aces . Nishioka won 67% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Mcdonald won 100% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 33% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nishioka | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 2 |
| Converted | 4/11 | 2/2 |
| % Converted | 36% | 100% |
| Conceded | 9 | 0 |
| Saved | 5 | 0 |
| % Saved | 56% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 |
Nishioka broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Japanese dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Mcdonald broke his opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. Mcdonald was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Nishioka | |||
| R1 Rune | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 91-90 | 91-90 | |
| Total points | 181 | 181 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 54/86 | 54/86 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 36/54 | 36/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 16/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Mcdonald | |||
| R1 Elahi Galan Riveros | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 0-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 9 | 9 | |
| pts | 33-26 | 33-26 | |
| Total points | 59 | 59 | |
| Winners | 14 | 14 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 14/20 | 14/20 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 14/14 | 14/14 | |
| % 1st pts | 100% | 100% | |
| 2nd pts | 2/6 | 2/6 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 33% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/2 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Adelaide
- Nicolas Barrientos/Ariel BeharBarrientos/Ariel Behar – John Millman/Edward WinterMillman/Edward Winter (6-1 4-6 12-10) – See score progression
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Andrey RublevRublev (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Rinky HijikataHijikata (2-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Kyle EdmundEdmund (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (7-66 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Andy MurrayMurray (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Pedro CachinCachin (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Constant LestienneLestienne (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McDonald/Marcelo MeloMcDonald/Marcelo Melo – Thanasi Kokkinakis/Jordan ThompsonKokkinakis/Jordan Thompson (6-3 0-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Mikael YmerYmer (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen Khachanov/Andrey RublevKhachanov/Andrey Rublev – Jeremy Chardy/Fabrice MartinChardy/Fabrice Martin (3-6 6-3 10-8) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Holger RuneRune (2-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Quentin HalysHalys – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Maxime CressyCressy (7-64 7-67) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Marcos GironGiron – Richard GasquetGasquet (7-65 6-76 7-5) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-3 0-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Rinky HijikataHijikata (2-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Kyle EdmundEdmund (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Andy MurrayMurray (7-6(3) 6-3) – See score progression
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Andrey RublevRublev (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Quentin HalysHalys (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction