Kaichi Uchida and Sho Shimabukuro will play each other in the quarter of the Yokkaichi Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 10:30 am on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sho Shimabukuro who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sho Shimabukuro is the pick to win this match.
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.74
Kaichi Uchida -> 2.05

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Prediction and head to head Kaichi Uchida vs. Sho Shimabukuro

This will be the 2nd time that Kaichi Uchida and Sho Shimabukuro face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Uchida (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Uchida won 7-5 7-6(3) in the 2nd round in the Matsuyama Challenger back in November 2022.

Kaichi Uchida

Kaichi Uchida

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
246
High
147
LWWWWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-31 39-21 0-3 7-6 0-0 1-1
2024 42-30 18-22 16-6 8-2 0-0 0-0
2023 17-33 4-18 3-10 9-4 1-1 0-0
2022 35-34 24-23 8-5 3-6 0-0 0-0
2021 35-26 27-13 6-11 1-2 1-0 0-0

Ranked no. 165, Kaichi reached the quarter after defeating Prajnesh Gunneswaran 6-3 1-6 6-3 and Shinji Hazawa 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Hazawa (6-3 6-4). During the match, Uchida scored 63 points vs Hazawa’s 54. The Japanese was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Uchida blasted 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Kaichi Uchida lost the serve once and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Uchida put 59% of his first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the 2nd serve. Uchida broke Hazawa 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kaichi has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Uchida has positive record in the last 10 years having won 52% of his matches (330-304). 23-22 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Uchida has an overall 190-180 record in the last years on hard.

The Japanese’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Oeiras 3 Challenger.

Kaichi has an aggregate 34-33 win-loss record in 2022, 23-22 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Yokkaichi Challenger

Kaichi has never competed in this tournament before.

Yokkaichi Challenger
Uchida's Record

Sho Shimabukuro

Sho Shimabukuro

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
146
High
135
LWWLWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-23 29-19 0-0 2-1 3-3 0-0
2024 30-28 21-17 1-3 3-5 5-3 0-0
2023 43-26 19-17 7-1 9-4 8-4 0-0
2022 42-25 38-20 0-2 4-3 0-0 0-0
2021 31-20 28-18 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 284 (career-high), the Japanese got to the quarter after beating Shuichi Sekiguchi 6-4 6-3 and Nam Hoang Ly 6-2 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Sho had a good straight sets win against Hoang Ly (6-2 6-3). During the match Shimabukuro scored 55 points vs Hoang Ly’s 39. Shimabukuro was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about serving, Shimabukuro recorded 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Sho Shimabukuro was extremely efficient on serve to win 88% (21/24) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Japanese broke Hoang Ly 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shimabukuro hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Sho’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Monastir and M25 Harmon.

Sho has an overall 42-24 win-loss record in 2022, 38-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Yokkaichi Challenger
Shimabukuro's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

K.Uchida
S.Shimabukuro
2h:35
2h:35
Time on court​
2h:10
2h:10
1h:10
1h:10
Last match​
1h:00
1h:00
2
2
Match played
2
2
44
44
Games Played​
36
36
5
5
Set played​​
4
4
137
137
Total points​
120
120
68.5
68.5
Avg point​
60
60
59
59
Winners
45
45
29.5
29.5
Avg Winners​
22.5
22.5
43%
43%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
8
8
8.5
8.5
Avg Aces
4
4
6
6
Double Faults
2
2
3
3
Avg Double Faults
1
1
59/80
59/80
1st won total​
45/54
45/54
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
83%
83%
35/62
35/62
2nd won total​
29/48
29/48
56%
56%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
6/12
6/12
BP won
6/16
6/16
3/6
3/6
Avg BP won
3/8
3/8
50%
50%
Won
38%
38%
16
16
Conceded
1
1
8
8
Avg Conceded
0.5
0.5
4
4
Broken
1
1
2
2
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
12
12
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Uchida Shimabukuro
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 4
Tot Games 44 36
Pts 137-124 120-89
Total Points 261 209
Winners 59 45
%Winners 43% 38%

Both Uchida and Shimabukuro played 2 matches. At the moment, Kaichi Uchida conceded 1 set while Sho Shimabukuro hasn’t dropped a set so far. Uchida has played 1 set more than Shimabukuro (5 vs 4). Therefore, Uchida played 8 games more than Shimabukuro. Uchida scored 59 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Shimabukuro recorded 45 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Uchida Shimabukuro
Aces 17 8
Avg per match 8.5 4
1st in 80/142 54/102
%1st in 56% 53%
1st pts 59/80 45/54
%1st pts 74% 83%
2nd pts 35/62 29/48
%2nd pts 56% 60%

Uchida recorded 17 aces (8.5 per match). Shimabukuro recorded 8 aces (4 per match). Uchida won 74% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Shimabukuro won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Uchida Shimabukuro
Won 6 6
Converted 6/12 6/16
% Converted 50% 38%
Conceded 16 1
Saved 12 0
% Saved 75% 0%
Times Broken 4 1

Uchida broke his opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Shimabukuro broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Sho conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Uchida
R1
Gunneswaran
R2
Hazawa
Total
Score 6-3 1-6 6-3 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 25 19 44
pts 74-70 63-54 137-124
Total points 144 117 261
Winners 31 28 59
%Winners 42% 44% 43%
SERVE
Aces 10 7 17
Double Faults 4 2 6
1st in 40/74 40/68 80/142
% 1st in 54% 59% 56%
1st pts 31/40 28/40 59/80
% 1st pts 78% 70% 74%
2nd pts 19/34 16/28 35/62
% 2nd pts 56% 57% 56%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/5 3/7 6/12
Converted % 60% 43% 50%
Conceded 7 9 16
Saved 4/7 8/9 12
Saved % 57% 89% 73%
Times Broken 3 1 4
Shimabukuro
R1
Sekiguchi
R2
Hoang Ly
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 17 36
pts 65-50 55-39 120-89
Total points 115 94 209
Winners 24 21 45
%Winners 37% 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 6 2 8
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 30/55 24/47 54/102
% 1st in 55% 51% 53%
1st pts 24/30 21/24 45/54
% 1st pts 80% 88% 83%
2nd pts 17/25 12/23 29/48
% 2nd pts 68% 52% 60%
Breaks
Won 2 4 6
Converted 2/8 4/8 6/16
Converted % 25% 50% 38%
Conceded 0 1 1
Saved 0/0 0/1 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 0 1 1

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