Casper Ruud and Novak Djokovic will face off in the final of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 7:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.222
Casper Ruud -> 4.5
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Novak Djokovic
This will be the 4th time that Casper Ruud and Novak Djokovic play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Djokovic won 6-4 6-3 in the semifinal in Rome back in May 2022.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Casper Ruud – Rome 14-May-2022
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50-24 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Ruud got to the final after beating Felix Auger-Aliassime 7-64 6-4, Taylor Fritz 6-3 4-6 7-66 and Andrey Rublev 6-2 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Norwegian had a good straight sets win against Rublev (6-2 6-4). During the match, Ruud scored 56 points vs Rublev’s 40. Casper was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ruud made 10 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Casper Ruud was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 73% (8/11) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Ruud was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Rublev 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ruud has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Ruud has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (316-169). 7-4 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has a compiled50-27 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he overcame Diego Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3 and in Geneva where he overcame Joao Sousa in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(1) and in Gstaad where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2.
Ruud has an overall 51-21 win-loss record in 2022, 7-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Novak Djokovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-5 | 26-1 | 11-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Djokovic reached the final after beating Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 7-64, Andrey Rublev 6-4 6-1, Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-75 7-62 and Taylor Fritz 7-65 7-66.
In the semifinal, Djokovic had a good straight sets win against Fritz (7-65 7-66). During the match Djokovic scored 84 points vs Fritz’s 73. Djokovic was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Djokovic managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Novak Djokovic was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (40/53) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Serbian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Fritz twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Novak has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Rome where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-0 7-6(5) and at the Wimbledon where he beat Nick Kyrgios in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(3) and in Tel Aviv where he overcame Marin Cilic in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Astana where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4.
The Serbian has an overall 41-7 win-loss record in 2022, 18-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Previously, he won this tournament 4 times in 2008, 2012, 2013 and 2015. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 101 |
| Pts | 217-187 | 349-288 |
| Total Points | 404 | 637 |
| Winners | 117 | 176 |
| %Winners | 54% | 50% |
Ruud played 3 matches while Djokovic competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Casper Ruud conceded 1 set, while Novak Djokovic surrendered 1 set. Ruud has played 2 set(s) less than Djokovic (7 vs 9). Therefore, Ruud played 28 games less than Djokovic. Ruud scored 117 winners (54% of the total points). On the other side, Novak blasted 176 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 29 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 9.7 | 7 |
| 1st in | 144/206 | 217/313 |
| %1st in | 70% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 117/144 | 176/217 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 40/62 | 53/96 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 55% |
Ruud scored 29 aces (9.7 per match). Djokovic bagged 28 aces (7 per match). Ruud won 81% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Djokovic won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 8 |
| Converted | 6/10 | 8/14 |
| % Converted | 60% | 57% |
| Conceded | 5 | 9 |
| Saved | 3 | 6 |
| % Saved | 60% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Norwegian broke his opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Ruud lost his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Novak broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Serbian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | ||||||
| Round Robin Nadal |
Round Robin Fritz |
Round Robin Auger-Aliassime |
1/2 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | 6-3 4-6 7-66 | 7-64 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 32 | 23 | 18 | 97 | |
| pts | – | 95-87 | 66-60 | 56-40 | 217-187 | |
| Total points | 0 | 182 | 126 | 96 | 404 | |
| Winners | 57 | 33 | 27 | 117 | ||
| %Winners | 0% | 60% | 50% | 48% | 54% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | ||
| 1st in | / | 65/93 | 44/67 | 35/46 | 144/206 | |
| % 1st in | 0% | 70% | 66% | 76% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | / | 57/65 | 33/44 | 27/35 | 117/144 | |
| % 1st pts | 0% | 88% | 75% | 77% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | / | 14/28 | 18/23 | 8/11 | 40/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 0% | 50% | 78% | 73% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | ||
| Converted | / | 1/5 | 1/1 | 4/4 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 0% | 20% | 100% | 100% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | ||
| Saved | 0/ | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | – | 0% | 19% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | ||
| Djokovic | ||||||
| Round Robin Medvedev |
Round Robin Rublev |
Round Robin Tsitsipas |
1/2 Fritz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-75 7-62 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-4 7-64 | 7-65 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 17 | 23 | 26 | 101 | |
| pts | 138-119 | 61-38 | 66-58 | 84-73 | 349-288 | |
| Total points | 257 | 99 | 124 | 157 | 637 | |
| Winners | 67 | 33 | 36 | 40 | 176 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 54% | 55% | 48% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 85/131 | 35/43 | 44/63 | 53/76 | 217/313 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 81% | 70% | 70% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 67/85 | 33/35 | 36/44 | 40/53 | 176/217 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 94% | 82% | 75% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/46 | 3/8 | 14/19 | 14/23 | 53/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 38% | 74% | 61% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/4 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 75% | 50% | 100% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 83% | – | 100% | 0% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Casper RuudRuud – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
