Tomas Machac and Leandro Riedi will clash against each other in the final of the Helsinki Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Machac who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tomas Machac is the pick to win this match.
Tomas Machac -> 1.3
Leandro Riedi -> 3.4
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Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Leandro Riedi
There is no head to head record between Tomas Machac and Leandro Riedi since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Tomas Machac
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-19 | 15-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-24 | 22-11 | 9-5 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-27 | 15-10 | 16-11 | 18-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-19 | 24-6 | 5-2 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 28-19 | 5-4 | 5-4 | 12-6 | 2-3 | 4-2 |
Ranked no. 112, Machac got to the final after defeating Alibek Kachmazov 7-64 6-4, Otto Virtanen 6-4 6-2, Zizou Bergs 6-1 6-2 and Yannick Hanfmann 6-1 6-2.
In the semifinal, Machac had a good straight sets win against Hanfmann (6-1 6-2). During the match, Machac scored 61 points vs Hanfmann’s 33. The Czech was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Machac bagged 3 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Tomas Machac conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 66% of his first serves in, win 70% (19/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 93% (13/14) on the 2nd serve. Tomas broke Hanfmann 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tomas hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Machac has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 68% of his matches (167-78). 17-8 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Machac has a compiled62-28 win-loss record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
The Czech’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Traralgon Challenger and the Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger.
Tomas has an overall 46-17 win-loss record in 2022, 17-8 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Helsinki Challenger
Machac has never competed in this tournament before.
Leandro Riedi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-8 | 11-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-15 | 2-4 | 6-4 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-22 | 14-9 | 3-4 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-17 | 18-6 | 5-5 | 21-6 | 0-0 | 5-0 |
| 2021 | 17-16 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 277, the Swiss reached the final after defeating Mark Lajal 6-3 4-6 6-3, Arthur Cazaux 6-4 7-63, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-1 6-4, Maximilian Marterer 7-65 6-2, Dimitar Kuzmanov 6-4 6-2 and Jelle Sels 6-3 6-75 6-4.
In the semifinal, Riedi defeated Sels (6-3 6-75 6-4). During the match Riedi scored 104 points vs Sels’s 93. Riedi was extremely aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about serving, Riedi scored 6 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Leandro Riedi was very efficient on serve to win 74% (52/70) of his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Leandro broke Sels 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Leandro started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Riedi’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Trimbach,the Lugano Challenger,M25 Nottingham and M25 Aldershot.
Riedi has an overall 43-17 win-loss record in 2022, 15-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Machac | Riedi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 14 |
| Tot Games | 71 | 139 |
| Pts | 259-177 | 483-414 |
| Total Points | 436 | 897 |
| Winners | 99 | 205 |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% |
Machac played 4 matches while Riedi competed in 6 matches. Riedi started his run from the qualifications while Machac had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Leandro Riedi dropped 2 sets while Tomas Machac hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Machac has played 6 set(s) less than Riedi (8 vs 14). Therefore, Machac played 68 games less than Riedi. Tomas scored 99 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Leandro recorded 205 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Machac | Riedi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 31 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 5.2 |
| 1st in | 133/210 | 266/451 |
| %1st in | 63% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 99/133 | 205/266 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 54/77 | 101/185 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 55% |
Machac blasted 13 aces (3.3 per match). Riedi managed to score 31 aces (5.2 per match). Machac won 74% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Riedi won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Machac | Riedi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 20 |
| Converted | 14/35 | 20/42 |
| % Converted | 40% | 48% |
| Conceded | 11 | 27 |
| Saved | 9 | 20 |
| % Saved | 82% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 7 |
The Czech broke his opponents 14 times with a 40% conversion rate. Tomas dropped his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. The Swiss broke his opponents 20 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Swiss conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.
| Machac | ||||||
| R1 Kachmazov |
R2 Virtanen |
1/4 Bergs |
1/2 Hanfmann |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 71 | |
| pts | 73-62 | 63-48 | 62-34 | 61-33 | 259-177 | |
| Total points | 135 | 111 | 96 | 94 | 436 | |
| Winners | 32 | 23 | 25 | 19 | 99 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 37% | 40% | 31% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 41/65 | 33/53 | 32/51 | 27/41 | 133/210 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 62% | 63% | 66% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 32/41 | 23/33 | 25/32 | 19/27 | 99/133 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 70% | 78% | 70% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 15/20 | 13/19 | 13/14 | 54/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 75% | 68% | 93% | 70% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/7 | 4/11 | 4/12 | 14/35 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 43% | 36% | 33% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 3/3 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 100% | – | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Riedi | ||||||||
| Q1 Lajal |
Q3 Cazaux |
R1 Mpetshi |
R2 Marterer |
1/4 Kuzmanov |
1/2 Sels |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | 6-4 7-63 | 6-1 6-4 | 7-65 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-75 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 23 | 17 | 21 | 18 | 32 | 139 | |
| pts | 106-96 | 83-70 | 62-51 | 68-62 | 60-42 | 104-93 | 483-414 | |
| Total points | 202 | 153 | 113 | 130 | 102 | 197 | 897 | |
| Winners | 35 | 28 | 31 | 32 | 27 | 52 | 205 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 34% | 50% | 47% | 45% | 50% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 9 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 49/89 | 36/73 | 42/68 | 40/66 | 29/53 | 70/102 | 266/451 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 49% | 62% | 61% | 55% | 69% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 35/49 | 28/36 | 31/42 | 32/40 | 27/29 | 52/70 | 205/266 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 78% | 74% | 80% | 93% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/40 | 21/37 | 14/26 | 16/26 | 13/24 | 17/32 | 101/185 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 57% | 54% | 62% | 54% | 53% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | |
| Converted | 5/16 | 3/9 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 3/4 | 4/7 | 20/42 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 33% | 75% | 100% | 75% | 57% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 27 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4/6 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 6/8 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 125% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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