Casper Ruud and Andrey Rublev will play each other in the semifinal of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 9:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.72
Casper Ruud -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Andrey Rublev
This will be the 6th time that Casper Ruud and Andrey Rublev face off. The head to head is 4-1 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), but Ruud leads 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Ruud won 2-6 7-5 7-6(5) in the R in Nitto atp finals back in 2021.
Highlights Casper Ruud vs Andrey Rublev – Nitto atp finals 19-November-2021
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-7 | 17-5 | 9-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-13 | 4-5 | 17-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Casper reached the semifinal after defeating Felix Auger-Aliassime 7-64 6-4 and Taylor Fritz 6-3 4-6 7-66.
Ruud has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (315-169). 6-4 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Ruud has an aggregate49-27 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Buenos Aires where he beat Diego Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3 and in Geneva where he beat Joao Sousa in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(1) and in Gstaad where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2.
Ruud has an overall 50-21 win-loss record in 2022, 6-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15-8 | 13-5 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Andrey got to the semifinal after beating Daniil Medvedev 6-77 6-3 7-67 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 3-6 6-3 6-2.
In the previous match against Tsitsipas, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Rublev scored 80 points vs Tsitsipas’s 75. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.
About the serving games, Rublev blasted 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Andrey Rublev was very effective on serve to win 79% (45/57) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Tsitsipas 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andrey has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Marseille where he defeated Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 7-5 7-6(4) and in Dubai where he beat Jiri Vesely in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Belgrade where he beat Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-7(4) 6-0 and in Gijon where he overcame Sebastian Korda in the final 6-2 6-3.
Rublev has an aggregate 51-19 win-loss record in 2022, 18-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Previously, his best result was reaching the Round Robin in 2020 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ruud | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 61 |
| Pts | 161-147 | 194-182 |
| Total Points | 308 | 376 |
| Winners | 90 | 101 |
| %Winners | 56% | 52% |
Both Ruud and Rublev played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Casper Ruud surrendered 1 set, while Andrey Rublev conceded 2 sets. Ruud has played 1 set(s) less than Rublev (5 vs 6). Therefore, Ruud played 6 games less than Rublev. Casper scored 90 winners (56% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 101 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ruud | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 9.5 | 9.5 |
| 1st in | 109/160 | 125/182 |
| %1st in | 68% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 90/109 | 101/125 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 32/51 | 32/57 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 56% |
Ruud blasted 19 aces (9.5 per match). Rublev scored 19 aces (9.5 per match). Ruud won 83% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ruud | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 6 |
| Converted | 2/6 | 6/14 |
| % Converted | 33% | 43% |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Saved | 3 | 3 |
| % Saved | 75% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Casper broke his opponents twice with a 33% conversion rate. Casper conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Rublev broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ruud | |||||
| Round Robin Nadal |
Round Robin Fritz |
Round Robin Auger-Aliassime |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | 6-3 4-6 7-66 | 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 32 | 23 | 79 | |
| pts | – | 95-87 | 66-60 | 161-147 | |
| Total points | 0 | 182 | 126 | 308 | |
| Winners | 57 | 33 | 90 | ||
| %Winners | 0% | 60% | 50% | 56% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 14 | 5 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | ||
| 1st in | / | 65/93 | 44/67 | 109/160 | |
| % 1st in | 0% | 70% | 66% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | / | 57/65 | 33/44 | 90/109 | |
| % 1st pts | 0% | 88% | 75% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | / | 14/28 | 18/23 | 32/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 0% | 50% | 78% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 1 | 2 | ||
| Converted | / | 1/5 | 1/1 | 2/6 | |
| Converted % | 0% | 20% | 100% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 4 | ||
| Saved | 0/ | 3/4 | 0/0 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | – | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||
| Rublev | |||||
| Round Robin Tsitsipas |
Round Robin Djokovic |
Round Robin Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-77 6-3 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 17 | 35 | 78 | |
| pts | 80-75 | – | 114-107 | 194-182 | |
| Total points | 155 | 0 | 221 | 376 | |
| Winners | 45 | 56 | 101 | ||
| %Winners | 56% | 0% | 49% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 0 | 9 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | ||
| 1st in | 57/84 | / | 68/98 | 125/182 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 0% | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 45/57 | / | 56/68 | 101/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 0% | 82% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | / | 18/30 | 32/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 0% | 60% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | ||
| Converted | 3/5 | / | 3/9 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 0% | 33% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 5 | ||
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/ | 1/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 50% | 39% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | ||
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (5-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Andrey RublevRublev (1-4) – H2H and prediction
