Rafael Nadal and Casper Ruud will clash against each other in the Round Robin of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.
Casper Ruud -> 1.53
Rafael Nadal -> 2.5
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Casper Ruud
This will be the 2nd time that Rafael Nadal and Casper Ruud square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Nadal won 6-3 6-3 6-0 in the final in at the French Open back in June 2022.
Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Casper Ruud – French Open 05-June-2022
Rafael Nadal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-8 | 2-1 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-8 | 23-3 | 10-2 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-5 | 5-2 | 19-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-7 | 13-3 | 9-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Rafael reached the Round Robin after beating
Nadal has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (483-95). 0-3 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nadal has an overall 38-15 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Melbourne where he beat Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3 and at the Australian Open where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5 and in Acapulco where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the French Open where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-3 6-3 6-0.
Nadal has a compiled 38-8 win-loss record in 2022, 0-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-16 | 12-8 | 14-5 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Casper got to the Round Robin after defeating Felix Auger-Aliassime 7-64 6-4 and Taylor Fritz 6-3 4-6 7-66.
In the previous match, Ruud defeated Fritz (6-3 4-6 7-66). During the match Ruud scored 95 points vs Fritz’s 87. Ruud was very aggressive to blast 57 winners.
About the serving games, Ruud managed to score 14 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Casper Ruud lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 70% of his first serves in, winning 88% (57/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. Ruud broke Fritz once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Norwegian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he overcame Diego Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3 and in Geneva where he overcame Joao Sousa in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(1) and in Gstaad where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2.
Ruud has a composed 50-20 win-loss record in 2022, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See his history.
Tennis Scores in Nitto ATP Finals
- Thanasi Kokkinakis/Nick KyrgiosKokkinakis/Nick Kyrgios – Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek (3-6 6-4 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-3 6-711 7-61) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Rafael NadalNadal (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer – Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos (6-1 6-73 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Taylor FritzFritz (6-3 4-6 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrey RublevRublev – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-77 6-3 7-67) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic – Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek (6-4 3-6 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski – Thanasi Kokkinakis/Nick KyrgiosKokkinakis/Nick Kyrgios (6-73 6-4 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara – Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer (7-5 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos (6-3 6-78 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Rafael NadalNadal (7-63 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Casper RuudRuud (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (4-7) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Andrey RublevRublev (6-5) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-1) – H2H and prediction