Steve Johnson and Lucas Gerch will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Champaign Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Steve Johnson who should win in 3 sets.
Steve Johnson -> 1.47
Lucas Gerch -> 2.6
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Prediction and head to head Steve Johnson vs. Lucas Gerch
There is no head to head record between Steve Johnson and Lucas Gerch since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Steve Johnson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-20 | 15-11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-28 | 20-18 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-17 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-11 | 18-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 113, Johnson reached the 2nd round after beating Hunter Heck 6-71 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round against Heck, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-71 6-3 6-2). During the match, Johnson scored 104 points vs Heck’s 93. Steve was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about the service games, Johnson scored 16 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Steve Johnson lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Johnson put 61% of his first serves in, winning 73% (48/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (18/43) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Heck 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Johnson has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (290-238). 1-1 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Johnson has an overall 24-26 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Johnson’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Sarasota Challenger.
The American has an aggregate 32-27 win-loss record in 2022, 1-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Champaign Challenger
Lucas Gerch
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-17 | 6-4 | 20-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 0-2 | 35-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 32-20 | 2-2 | 26-14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-29 | 11-3 | 36-20 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-27 | 8-8 | 20-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 283 (career-high), Lucas got to the 2nd round after beating Nick Chappell 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, The German had a good straight sets win against Chappell (6-3 6-4). During the match Gerch scored 64 points vs Chappell’s 50. The German was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Gerch struck 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Lucas Gerch was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (24/34) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Lucas broke Chappell 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Gerch’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Cancun,M15 Ueberlingen and the Prague 3 Challenger.
The German has an overall 57-28 win-loss record in 2022, 10-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Johnson | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 19 |
| Pts | 104-93 | 64-50 |
| Total Points | 197 | 114 |
| Winners | 48 | 24 |
| %Winners | 46% | 38% |
Both Johnson and Gerch played 1 match. At the moment, Steve Johnson conceded 1 set while Lucas Gerch hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Johnson has played 1 set more than Gerch (3 vs 2). Therefore, Johnson played 11 games more than Gerch. Johnson scored 48 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Gerch made 24 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Johnson | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 16 | 6 |
| 1st in | 66/109 | 34/55 |
| %1st in | 61% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 48/66 | 24/34 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 18/43 | 14/21 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 67% |
Johnson managed to score 16 aces . Gerch managed to score 6 aces . Johnson won 73% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Gerch won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Johnson | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 42% | 60% |
| Conceded | 10 | 1 |
| Saved | 8 | 0 |
| % Saved | 80% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Johnson broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The American surrendered his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Gerch broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Gerch conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Johnson | |||
| R1 Heck | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-71 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 104-93 | 104-93 | |
| Total points | 197 | 197 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 16 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 66/109 | 66/109 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 48/66 | 48/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/43 | 18/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Gerch | |||
| R1 Chappell | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 64-50 | 64-50 | |
| Total points | 114 | 114 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 34/55 | 34/55 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 24/34 | 24/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 14/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Champaign Challenger
- Prajnesh GunneswaranGunneswaran – Sebastian FanselowFanselow (3-6 6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Patrick KypsonKypson (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo (3-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Evan ZhuZhu – Strong KirchheimerKirchheimer (6-4 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Tennys SandgrenSandgren (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucas GerchGerch – Steve JohnsonJohnson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona – August HolmgrenHolmgren (0-0) – H2H and prediction