Nicolas Alvarez Varona and August Holmgren will face off in the 2nd round of the Champaign Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is August Holmgren who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, August Holmgren is the pick to win this match.
August Holmgren -> 1.88
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 1.88

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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs. August Holmgren

There is no head to head record between Nicolas Alvarez Varona and August Holmgren since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona

Nicolas Alvarez Varona

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
342
High
219
LWWWLWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-24 13-7 17-17 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 43-26 4-3 36-19 3-4 0-0 0-0
2023 9-9 3-2 6-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 24-34 3-7 13-19 8-8 0-0 0-0
2021 40-26 11-8 29-17 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 227, the Spaniard got to the 2nd round after beating Denis Kudla 7-61 7-66.

In the 1st round, Alvarez Varona had a good straight sets win against Kudla (7-61 7-66). During the match, Alvarez Varona scored 83 points vs Kudla’s 70. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alvarez Varona struck 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Nicolas Alvarez Varona was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (34/43) of his 1st serve and 65% (20/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Alvarez Varona broke Kudla twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Alvarez Varona has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (147-110). 7-7 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alvarez Varona has a composed7-8 match record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

The Spaniard’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Liberec Challenger.

Nicolas has an aggregate 23-31 win-loss record in 2022, 7-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Champaign Challenger

Nicolas has never competed in this tournament before.

Champaign Challenger
Alvarez Varona's Record

August Holmgren

August Holmgren

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
171
High
144
LWLLLWWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-25 14-12 3-8 1-3 5-2 0-0
2024 37-25 24-12 6-6 7-7 0-0 0-0
2023 46-26 33-14 9-6 4-6 0-0 0-0
2022 31-12 18-4 10-5 3-3 0-0 0-0
2021 19-8 12-6 7-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 518, Holmgren got to the 2nd round after beating Connor Farren 6-4 6-3, Nathan Ponwith 6-3 6-4 and Paul Jubb 1-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 1st round against Jubb, August recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-4).During the match Holmgren scored less points (3) than Jubb. In fact, the world no. 227 won 82 points vs Jubb’s. That means that Holmgren was more focused during the important points. The Dane was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about serving, Holmgren recorded 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. August Holmgren lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Holmgren put 66% of his first serves in, winning 71% (42/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (11/31) on the 2nd serve. The Dane broke Jubb 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

August’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Rancho Santa Fe and M15 San Diego.

The Dane has an aggregate 31-11 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Champaign Challenger
Holmgren's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

N.Alvarez Varona
A.Holmgren
1h:49
1h:49
Time on court​
!
4h:37
4h:37
1h:49
1h:49
Last match​
1h:54
1h:54
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
26
26
Games Played​
64
64
2
2
Set played​​
7
7
83
83
Total points​
218
218
83
83
Avg point​
72.7
72.7
34
34
Winners
91
91
34
34
Avg Winners​
30.3
30.3
41%
41%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
18
18
!
11
11
Avg Aces
6
6
3
3
Double Faults
7
7
3
3
Avg Double Faults
2.3
2.3
34/43
34/43
1st won total​
91/131
91/131
!
79%
79%
1st won %
69%
69%
20/31
20/31
2nd won total​
47/86
47/86
!
65%
65%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
2/7
2/7
BP won
10/19
10/19
2/7
2/7
Avg BP won
3.3/6.3
3.3/6.3
!
29%
29%
Won
!
53%
53%
7
7
Conceded
17
17
7
7
Avg Conceded
5.7
5.7
2
2
Broken
6
6
2
2
Avg Broken
2
2
5
5
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alvarez Varona Holmgren
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 7
Tot Games 26 64
Pts 83-70 218-194
Total Points 153 412
Winners 34 91
%Winners 41% 42%

Alvarez Varona played 1 match while Holmgren competed in 3 matches. Holmgren started his run from the qualifications while Alvarez Varona had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, August Holmgren lost 1 set while Nicolas Alvarez Varona hasn’t lost a set so far. Alvarez Varona has played 5 set(s) less than Holmgren (2 vs 7). Therefore, Alvarez Varona played 38 games less than Holmgren. Nicolas scored 34 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Dane struck 91 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alvarez Varona Holmgren
Aces 11 18
Avg per match 11 6
1st in 43/74 131/217
%1st in 58% 60%
1st pts 34/43 91/131
%1st pts 79% 69%
2nd pts 20/31 47/86
%2nd pts 65% 55%

Alvarez Varona made 11 aces . Holmgren scored 18 aces (6 per match). Alvarez Varona won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Holmgren won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alvarez Varona Holmgren
Won 2 10
Converted 2/7 10/19
% Converted 29% 53%
Conceded 7 17
Saved 5 11
% Saved 71% 65%
Times Broken 2 6

Alvarez Varona broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Nicolas dropped his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Holmgren broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. Holmgren conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Alvarez Varona
R1
Kudla
Total
Score 7-61 7-66
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 26 26
pts 83-70 83-70
Total points 153 153
Winners 34 34
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 11 11
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 43/74 43/74
% 1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 34/43 34/43
% 1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 20/31 20/31
% 2nd pts 65% 65%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/7 2/7
Converted % 29% 29%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 5/7 5
Saved % 71% 71%
Times Broken 2 2
Holmgren
Q1
Farren
Q3
Ponwith
R1
Jubb
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-3 6-4 1-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 19 19 26 64
pts 69-50 67-59 82-85 218-194
Total points 119 126 167 412
Winners 22 27 42 91
%Winners 32% 40% 51% 42%
SERVE
Aces 7 5 6 18
Double Faults 2 3 2 7
1st in 31/57 41/70 59/90 131/217
% 1st in 54% 59% 66% 60%
1st pts 22/31 27/41 42/59 91/131
% 1st pts 71% 66% 71% 69%
2nd pts 19/26 17/29 11/31 47/86
% 2nd pts 73% 59% 35% 55%
Breaks
Won 3 3 4 10
Converted 3/5 3/6 4/8 10/19
Converted % 60% 50% 50% 53%
Conceded 1 5 11 17
Saved 0/1 4/5 7/11 11
Saved % 0% 80% 64% 144%
Times Broken 1 1 4 6

Tennis Scores in Champaign Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw