Nicolas Alvarez Varona and August Holmgren will face off in the 2nd round of the Champaign Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is August Holmgren who should win in 3 sets.
August Holmgren -> 1.88
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 1.88
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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs. August Holmgren
There is no head to head record between Nicolas Alvarez Varona and August Holmgren since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-24 | 13-7 | 17-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 4-3 | 36-19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-9 | 3-2 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-34 | 3-7 | 13-19 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-26 | 11-8 | 29-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 227, the Spaniard got to the 2nd round after beating Denis Kudla 7-61 7-66.
In the 1st round, Alvarez Varona had a good straight sets win against Kudla (7-61 7-66). During the match, Alvarez Varona scored 83 points vs Kudla’s 70. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alvarez Varona struck 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Nicolas Alvarez Varona was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (34/43) of his 1st serve and 65% (20/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Alvarez Varona broke Kudla twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Alvarez Varona has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (147-110). 7-7 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alvarez Varona has a composed7-8 match record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
The Spaniard’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Liberec Challenger.
Nicolas has an aggregate 23-31 win-loss record in 2022, 7-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Champaign Challenger
Nicolas has never competed in this tournament before.
August Holmgren
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-25 | 14-12 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-25 | 24-12 | 6-6 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 33-14 | 9-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-12 | 18-4 | 10-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-8 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 518, Holmgren got to the 2nd round after beating Connor Farren 6-4 6-3, Nathan Ponwith 6-3 6-4 and Paul Jubb 1-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round against Jubb, August recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-4).During the match Holmgren scored less points (3) than Jubb. In fact, the world no. 227 won 82 points vs Jubb’s. That means that Holmgren was more focused during the important points. The Dane was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Holmgren recorded 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. August Holmgren lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Holmgren put 66% of his first serves in, winning 71% (42/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (11/31) on the 2nd serve. The Dane broke Jubb 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
August’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Rancho Santa Fe and M15 San Diego.
The Dane has an aggregate 31-11 win-loss record in 2022, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alvarez Varona | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 64 |
| Pts | 83-70 | 218-194 |
| Total Points | 153 | 412 |
| Winners | 34 | 91 |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% |
Alvarez Varona played 1 match while Holmgren competed in 3 matches. Holmgren started his run from the qualifications while Alvarez Varona had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, August Holmgren lost 1 set while Nicolas Alvarez Varona hasn’t lost a set so far. Alvarez Varona has played 5 set(s) less than Holmgren (2 vs 7). Therefore, Alvarez Varona played 38 games less than Holmgren. Nicolas scored 34 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Dane struck 91 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alvarez Varona | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 6 |
| 1st in | 43/74 | 131/217 |
| %1st in | 58% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 34/43 | 91/131 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 20/31 | 47/86 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 55% |
Alvarez Varona made 11 aces . Holmgren scored 18 aces (6 per match). Alvarez Varona won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Holmgren won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alvarez Varona | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 10 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 10/19 |
| % Converted | 29% | 53% |
| Conceded | 7 | 17 |
| Saved | 5 | 11 |
| % Saved | 71% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
Alvarez Varona broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Nicolas dropped his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Holmgren broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. Holmgren conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alvarez Varona | |||
| R1 Kudla | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 83-70 | 83-70 | |
| Total points | 153 | 153 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 43/74 | 43/74 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 34/43 | 34/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/31 | 20/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Holmgren | |||||
| Q1 Farren | Q3 Ponwith | R1 Jubb | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | 26 | 64 | |
| pts | 69-50 | 67-59 | 82-85 | 218-194 | |
| Total points | 119 | 126 | 167 | 412 | |
| Winners | 22 | 27 | 42 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 40% | 51% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 5 | 6 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 31/57 | 41/70 | 59/90 | 131/217 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 59% | 66% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 22/31 | 27/41 | 42/59 | 91/131 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 66% | 71% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/26 | 17/29 | 11/31 | 47/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 59% | 35% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/6 | 4/8 | 10/19 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 50% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 11 | 17 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 4/5 | 7/11 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 80% | 64% | 144% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores in Champaign Challenger
- Prajnesh GunneswaranGunneswaran – Sebastian FanselowFanselow (3-6 6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Evan ZhuZhu – Strong KirchheimerKirchheimer (6-4 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo (3-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Patrick KypsonKypson (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Tennys SandgrenSandgren (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucas GerchGerch – Steve JohnsonJohnson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona – August HolmgrenHolmgren (0-0) – H2H and prediction