Shintaro Mochizuki and Naoki Nakagawa will square off in the 1st round of the Kobe Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Shintaro Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.39
Naoki Nakagawa -> 2.81
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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Naoki Nakagawa
This will be the 2nd time that Shintaro Mochizuki and Naoki Nakagawa square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Nakagawa (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Nakagawa won 6-3 6-7(5) 6-4 in the quarter in M15 Changwon back in 2019.
Shintaro Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-30 | 16-20 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 14-12 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 314 (career-high), Shintaro got to the 1st round after beating Arjun Kadhe 5-7 6-4 6-4 and Rimpei Kawakami 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Kawakami (6-4 6-4). During the match, Mochizuki scored 78 points vs Kawakami’s 75. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mochizuki blasted 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 62% of his first serves in, winning 60% (32/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (12/33) on the 2nd serve. Shintaro broke Kawakami 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mochizuki started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Mochizuki has a winning record in the last 5 years having won 55% of his matches (105-85). 6-4 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Mochizuki has an aggregate11-11 record in the last 5 years on indoor hard courts.
The Japanese’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Matsuyama Challenger.
Mochizuki has a composed 36-32 win-loss record in 2022, 6-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kobe Challenger
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
Naoki Nakagawa
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-13 | 11-10 | 1-1 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 42-19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-27 | 16-16 | 10-9 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-15 | 32-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-4 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 448, Naoki reached the 1st round after beating Asahi Harazaki 6-3 6-2 and Mukund Sasikumar 6-3 7-65.
In the qualifications, Nakagawa had a good straight sets win against Kumar Mukund (6-3 7-65). During the match Nakagawa scored 85 points vs Kumar Mukund’s 72. Nakagawa was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Nakagawa managed to score 7 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Naoki Nakagawa was extremely efficient on serve to win 75% (24/32) of his 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Japanese broke Kumar Mukund 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
The Japanese has an overall 30-25 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mochizuki | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 39 |
| Pts | 188-177 | 150-116 |
| Total Points | 365 | 266 |
| Winners | 69 | 50 |
| %Winners | 37% | 33% |
Both Mochizuki and Nakagawa played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Shintaro Mochizuki dropped 1 set while Naoki Nakagawa hasn’t lost a set so far. Mochizuki has played 1 set more than Nakagawa (5 vs 4). Therefore, Mochizuki played 13 games more than Nakagawa. The Japanese scored 69 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Nakagawa fired 50 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mochizuki | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 109/179 | 63/119 |
| %1st in | 61% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 69/109 | 50/63 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 35/70 | 31/56 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 55% |
Mochizuki recorded 12 aces (6 per match). Nakagawa managed to score 11 aces (5.5 per match). Mochizuki won 63% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Nakagawa won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mochizuki | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 8 |
| Converted | 10/32 | 8/14 |
| % Converted | 31% | 57% |
| Conceded | 19 | 8 |
| Saved | 12 | 5 |
| % Saved | 63% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 3 |
The Japanese broke his opponents 10 times with a 31% conversion rate. Shintaro lost his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Naoki broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Nakagawa conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mochizuki | ||||
| Q1 Kadhe |
Q3 Kawakami |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 20 | 52 | |
| pts | 110-102 | 78-75 | 188-177 | |
| Total points | 212 | 153 | 365 | |
| Winners | 37 | 32 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 3 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 56/93 | 53/86 | 109/179 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 62% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 37/56 | 32/53 | 69/109 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 60% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/37 | 12/33 | 35/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 36% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/22 | 6/10 | 10/32 | |
| Converted % | 18% | 60% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 13 | 19 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 9/13 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 69% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Nakagawa | ||||
| Q1 Harazaki |
Q3 Kumar Mukund |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 22 | 39 | |
| pts | 65-44 | 85-72 | 150-116 | |
| Total points | 109 | 157 | 266 | |
| Winners | 26 | 24 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 28% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 31/58 | 32/61 | 63/119 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 52% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 26/31 | 24/32 | 50/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 75% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 17/29 | 31/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 59% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/8 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 3/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 60% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWWLLL
LWLWWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Kobe Challenger
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- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Yunseong ChungChung (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jason JungJung – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (3-6 6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Yuichi SugitaSugita (4-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marc PolmansPolmans – Li TuTu (6-73 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Nam Hoang LyHoang Ly (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Colin SinclairSinclair (6-77 7-610 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan – Kaichi UchidaUchida (6-4 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Shintaro ImaiImai – Hiroki MoriyaMoriya (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (5-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- John MillmanMillman – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (6-3 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic – Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel (6-3 6-77 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Dane SweenySweeny (6-3 1-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Taisei IchikawaIchikawa (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan – Jason JungJung (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Shintaro ImaiImai – John MillmanMillman (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zdenek KolarKolar – Marc PolmansPolmans (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (1-2) – H2H and prediction
