Brandon Nakashima and Francesco Passaro will face off in the Round Robin of the the Next Gen ATP Finals for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 3 sets.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.138
Francesco Passaro -> 5.75
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Francesco Passaro
There is no head to head record between Brandon Nakashima and Francesco Passaro since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-30 | 19-14 | 6-8 | 2-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 49, Nakashima reached the Round Robin after beating Matteo Arnaldi 2-4 4-37 4-34 3-44 4-2 and Jiri Lehecka 4-1 4-32 4-2.
In the previous match, Brandon had a good straight sets win against Lehecka (4-1 4-32 4-2). During the match, Nakashima scored 64 points vs Lehecka’s 48. Brandon was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nakashima bagged 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Brandon Nakashima lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 63% of his first serves in, winning 66% (23/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the 2nd serve. Brandon broke Lehecka 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nakashima has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Nakashima has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 63% of his matches (141-82). 6-4 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nakashima has an overall39-16 match record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in San Diego where he overcame Marcos Giron in the final 6-4 6-4.
Nakashima has an overall 38-26 win-loss record in 2022, 6-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Next Gen ATP Finals
Francesco Passaro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-26 | 8-5 | 23-14 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-25 | 4-5 | 35-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-35 | 8-11 | 18-20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-28 | 12-6 | 35-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-27 | 4-5 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 119 (career-high), the Italian got to the Round Robin after beating Matteo Arnaldi 4-37 2-4 3-44 4-34 4-38.
In the previous match, The Italian had a tough win against Arnaldi to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (4-37 2-4 3-44 4-34 4-38).During the match Passaro scored less points (2) than Arnaldi. In fact, the world no. 49 won 111 points vs Arnaldi’s. That means that Passaro was more focused during the important points. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 53 winners.
About the serving games, Passaro made 8 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Francesco Passaro lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Passaro put 65% of his first serves in, winning 73% (53/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (19/40) on the 2nd serve. Francesco broke Arnaldi twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
The Italian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir,the Sanremo Challenger,the Forli 6 Challenger,the Milan Challenger,the Trieste Challenger and the Como Challenger.
Passaro has an aggregate 49-27 win-loss record in 2022, 2-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Next Gen ATP Finals
Francesco has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 34 |
| Pts | 162-144 | 111-113 |
| Total Points | 306 | 224 |
| Winners | 71 | 53 |
| %Winners | 44% | 48% |
Nakashima played 2 matches while Passaro competed in 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Brandon Nakashima lost 2 sets, while Francesco Passaro dropped 2 sets. Nakashima has played 3 sets more than Passaro (8 vs 5). Therefore, Nakashima played 17 games more than Passaro. Brandon scored 71 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian blasted 53 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 8 |
| 1st in | 98/155 | 73/113 |
| %1st in | 63% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 71/98 | 53/73 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 32/57 | 19/40 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 48% |
Nakashima made 13 aces (6.5 per match). Passaro blasted 8 aces . Nakashima won 72% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Passaro won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 2 |
| Converted | 7/14 | 2/4 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 18 | 7 |
| Saved | 13 | 4 |
| % Saved | 72% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 |
The American broke his opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Nakashima conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded. Passaro broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Francesco conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nakashima | ||||
| Round Robin Lehecka | Round Robin Arnaldi | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-1 4-32 4-2 | 2-4 4-37 4-34 3-44 4-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 33 | 51 | |
| pts | 64-48 | 98-96 | 162-144 | |
| Total points | 112 | 194 | 306 | |
| Winners | 23 | 48 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 49% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 63/99 | 98/155 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 23/35 | 48/63 | 71/98 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 76% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | 20/36 | 32/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 3/4 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 75% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 12 | 18 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 9/12 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 75% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Passaro | ||||
| Round Robin Arnaldi | Round Robin Lehecka | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-37 2-4 3-44 4-34 4-38 | 4-1 4-37 4-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 17 | 51 | |
| pts | 111-113 | – | 111-113 | |
| Total points | 224 | 0 | 224 | |
| Winners | 53 | 53 | ||
| %Winners | 48% | 0% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | ||
| 1st in | 73/113 | / | 73/113 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 0% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 53/73 | / | 53/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 0% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/40 | / | 19/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 0% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | ||
| Converted | 2/4 | / | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 0% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | ||
| Saved | 4/7 | 0/ | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | – | 29% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | ||
Tennis Scores – Next Gen ATP Finals
- Jack DraperDraper – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (1-4 4-2 4-32 4-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (4-1 4-32 4-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (4-37 2-4 3-44 4-34 4-38) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Francesco PassaroPassaro (4-1 4-37 4-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dominic Stephan StrickerStephan Stricker – Jack DraperDraper (4-35 4-35 4-35) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (4-2 4-2 4-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Francesco PassaroPassaro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction