Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva and Juan Pablo Paz will square off in the qualifications of the Montevideo Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 3:30 pm on CANCHA 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva who should win in 3 sets.
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva -> 1.533
Juan Pablo Paz -> 2.36
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Prediction and head to head Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs. Juan Pablo Paz
There is no head to head record between Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva and Juan Pablo Paz since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 50-30 | 0-1 | 50-29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-28 | 3-3 | 21-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-32 | 4-7 | 24-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-24 | 4-3 | 31-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-30 | 8-5 | 24-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 340 (career-high), Joao got to the qualifications after defeating Ignacio Carou 6-1 6-3.
In the qualifications, Lucas Reis Da had a good straight sets win against Carou (6-1 6-3). During the match, Lucas Reis Da scored 62 points vs Carou’s 40. The Brazilian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Lucas Reis Da was unable to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva was pretty effective on serve to win 72% (21/29) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Joao broke Carou 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Lucas Reis Da has a winning record in the last 6 years having won 59% of his matches (147-104). 29-19 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Lucas Reis Da has an overall101-78 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
Joao’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Guayaquil,M15 Recife and the Ambato Challenger.
Lucas Reis Da has an overall 32-21 win-loss record in 2022, 29-19 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Montevideo Challenger
Joao has never competed in this tournament before.
Juan Pablo Paz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-27 | 3-2 | 35-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-33 | 1-2 | 43-31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-30 | 0-1 | 46-29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 50-32 | 0-0 | 50-32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 409, the Argentine got to the qualifications after beating Matias Zukas 6-2 6-0.
In the qualifications, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Zukas (6-2 6-0). During the match Pablo Paz scored 58 points vs Zukas’s 36. Pablo Paz was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Pablo Paz scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Juan Pablo Paz conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Pablo Paz put 65% of his first serves in, winning 68% (21/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the 2nd serve. Juan broke Zukas 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Pablo Paz’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Litija,M25 Pitesti and M15 Curtea de Arges.
The Argentine has a compiled 42-27 win-loss record in 2022, 42-27 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Lucas Reis Da | Pablo Paz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 14 |
| Pts | 62-40 | 58-36 |
| Total Points | 102 | 94 |
| Winners | 21 | 21 |
| %Winners | 34% | 36% |
Both Lucas Reis Da and Pablo Paz played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Lucas Reis Da and Pablo Paz have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Lucas Reis Da played 2 games more than Pablo Paz. Lucas Reis Da scored 21 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Juan scored 21 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Lucas Reis Da | Pablo Paz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 1 |
| 1st in | 29/49 | 31/48 |
| %1st in | 59% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 21/29 | 21/31 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 11/17 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 65% |
Lucas Reis Da didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Pablo Paz struck 1 ace . Lucas Reis Da won 72% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Pablo Paz won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Lucas Reis Da | Pablo Paz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 |
| % Converted | 71% | 71% |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 |
| Saved | 1 | 1 |
| % Saved | 50% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The Brazilian broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Brazilian dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Pablo Paz broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Juan was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Lucas Reis Da | |||
| Q1 Carou | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 62-40 | 62-40 | |
| Total points | 102 | 102 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 29/49 | 29/49 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 21/29 | 21/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 12/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Pablo Paz | |||
| Q1 Zukas | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 58-36 | 58-36 | |
| Total points | 94 | 94 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 31/48 | 31/48 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 21/31 | 21/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 11/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
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- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Nicolas KickerKicker (0-1) – H2H and prediction
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