Ergi Kirkin and Naoki Nakagawa will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Matsuyama Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:00 am on COURT 16. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naoki Nakagawa who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Naoki Nakagawa is the pick to win this match.
Naoki Nakagawa -> 1.84
Ergi Kirkin -> 1.88
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Prediction and head to head Ergi Kirkin vs. Naoki Nakagawa
There is no head to head record between Ergi Kirkin and Naoki Nakagawa since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Ergi Kirkin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-17 | 11-4 | 25-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-26 | 3-4 | 39-15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-28 | 3-5 | 27-19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-27 | 4-8 | 29-16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-8 | 14-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 406, Ergi got to the qualifications after defeating Renta Tokuda 4-6 6-3 7-5.
In the qualifications against Tokuda, Ergi recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-5). During the match, Kirkin scored 108 points vs Tokuda’s 98. Kirkin was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kirkin fired 3 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Ergi Kirkin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kirkin put 54% of his first serves in, winning 67% (36/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (25/46) on the 2nd serve. The Turk broke Tokuda 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).
Kirkin has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 58% of his matches (162-117). 2-4 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kirkin has an overall40-34 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
Kirkin’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Telfs.
The Turk has a compiled 33-26 win-loss record in 2022, 2-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Matsuyama Challenger
Kirkin has never competed in this tournament before.
Naoki Nakagawa
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 42-19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-27 | 16-16 | 10-9 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-15 | 32-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-4 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 443, Nakagawa got to the qualifications after defeating Ryota Tanuma 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications, Naoki had a good straight sets win against Tanuma (6-3 6-4). During the match Nakagawa scored 73 points vs Tanuma’s 65. Naoki was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Nakagawa scored 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Naoki Nakagawa lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Nakagawa put 68% of his first serves in, winning 73% (35/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Nakagawa broke Tanuma 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
The Japanese has a composed 28-23 win-loss record in 2022, 16-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kirkin | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 19 |
| Pts | 108-98 | 73-65 |
| Total Points | 206 | 138 |
| Winners | 36 | 35 |
| %Winners | 33% | 48% |
Both Kirkin and Nakagawa played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Ergi Kirkin lost 1 set while Naoki Nakagawa hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kirkin has played 1 set more than Nakagawa (3 vs 2). Therefore, Kirkin played 12 games more than Nakagawa. Ergi scored 36 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Naoki managed to score 35 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kirkin | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 11 |
| 1st in | 54/100 | 48/71 |
| %1st in | 54% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 36/54 | 35/48 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 25/46 | 10/23 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 43% |
Kirkin made 3 aces . Nakagawa made 11 aces . Kirkin won 67% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Nakagawa won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kirkin | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/15 | 3/11 |
| % Converted | 33% | 27% |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 33% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
The Turk broke his opponent 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Turk lost his serve 4 times and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. Naoki conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kirkin | |||
| Q1 Tokuda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 108-98 | 108-98 | |
| Total points | 206 | 206 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 54/100 | 54/100 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 36/54 | 36/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/46 | 25/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Nakagawa | |||
| Q1 Tanuma |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 73-65 | 73-65 | |
| Total points | 138 | 138 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 48/71 | 48/71 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 35/48 | 35/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/23 | 10/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/11 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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