Maria Sakkari and Caroline Garcia will face off in the semifinal of the WTA Finals for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:30 pm on Stadium Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.77
Caroline Garcia -> 2.1
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Caroline Garcia
This will be the 3rd time that Maria Sakkari and Caroline Garcia play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Garcia (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Garcia won 7-6(2) 6-7(6) 6-1 in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in August 2022.
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-16 | 12-7 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-11 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, the Greek reached the semifinal after defeating Jessica Pegula 7-66 7-64, Aryna Sabalenka 6-2 6-4 and Ons Jabeur 6-2 6-3.
In the previous match, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (6-2 6-3). During the match, Sakkari scored 58 points vs Jabeur’s 38. Maria was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sakkari couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the encounter and she committed only 3 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 70% of her first serves in, winning 82% (27/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (6/14) on the 2nd serve. The Greek broke Jabeur 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maria hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Sakkari has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 62% of her matches (370-229). 21-11 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sakkari has a composed174-113 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Greek’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in St. Petersburg, Indian Wells, Parma and Guadalajara.
The Greek has a compiled 40-22 win-loss record in 2022, 21-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Fort Worth
Caroline Garcia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-17 | 10-10 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-27 | 23-17 | 4-4 | 7-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 21-13 | 11-4 | 4-1 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-26 | 15-14 | 8-6 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-11 | 5-6 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, the French player got to the semifinal after beating Cori Gauff 6-4 6-3 and Daria Kasatkina 4-6 6-1 7-65.
In the previous match against Kasatkina, Caroline recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 7-65). During the match Garcia scored 107 points vs Kasatkina’s 97. Caroline was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Garcia scored 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Caroline Garcia lost the serve 5 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Garcia put 61% of her first serves in, winning 62% (37/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (18/38) on the 2nd serve. Garcia broke Kasatkina 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Garcia has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Bad Homburg where she beat Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 and in Warsaw where she overcame Ana Bogdan in the final 6-4 6-1 and in Cincinnati where she defeated Petra Kvitova in the final 6-2 6-4.
Garcia has a composed 43-21 win-loss record in 2022, 19-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakkari | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 61 | 49 |
| Pts | 220-179 | 174-148 |
| Total Points | 399 | 322 |
| Winners | 87 | 67 |
| %Winners | 40% | 39% |
Sakkari played 3 matches while Garcia competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Caroline Garcia dropped 1 set while Maria Sakkari hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sakkari has played 1 set more than Garcia (6 vs 5). Therefore, Sakkari played 12 games more than Garcia. Sakkari scored 87 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Garcia recorded 67 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakkari | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 127/194 | 99/159 |
| %1st in | 65% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 87/127 | 67/99 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 36/67 | 29/60 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 48% |
Sakkari fired 4 aces (1.3 per match). Garcia scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Sakkari won 69% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Garcia won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakkari | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 10 |
| Converted | 13/23 | 10/22 |
| % Converted | 57% | 45% |
| Conceded | 15 | 9 |
| Saved | 8 | 2 |
| % Saved | 53% | 22% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 |
Sakkari broke her opponents 13 times with a 57% conversion rate. Maria dropped her serve 7 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded. Caroline broke her opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. Garcia conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 22% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sakkari | |||||
| Round Robin Jabeur |
Round Robin Sabalenka |
Round Robin Pegula |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | 7-66 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 | 26 | 61 | |
| pts | 58-38 | 68-50 | 94-91 | 220-179 | |
| Total points | 96 | 118 | 185 | 399 | |
| Winners | 27 | 25 | 35 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 37% | 37% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 33/47 | 37/61 | 57/86 | 127/194 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 61% | 66% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 25/37 | 35/57 | 87/127 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 68% | 61% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 13/24 | 17/29 | 36/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 54% | 59% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 5/7 | 4/9 | 13/23 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 71% | 44% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 5/7 | 2/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 71% | 33% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | |
| Garcia | |||||
| Round Robin Kasatkina |
Round Robin Swiatek |
Round Robin Gauff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 7-65 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 17 | 19 | 66 | |
| pts | 107-97 | – | 67-51 | 174-148 | |
| Total points | 204 | 0 | 118 | 322 | |
| Winners | 37 | 30 | 67 | ||
| %Winners | 35% | 0% | 45% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | ||
| 1st in | 60/98 | / | 39/61 | 99/159 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 0% | 64% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 37/60 | / | 30/39 | 67/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 0% | 77% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/38 | / | 11/22 | 29/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 0% | 50% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | ||
| Converted | 6/14 | / | 4/8 | 10/22 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 0% | 50% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 | 9 | ||
| Saved | 2/7 | 0/ | 0/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 29% | – | 0% | 10% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 7 | ||
Head 2 Head
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LWLLLWLWLW Tennis Scores in Fort Worth
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Carlos TabernerTaberner (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel Gimeno-TraverGimeno-Traver – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Maria SakkariSakkari (2-0) – H2H and prediction
